Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 22, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Rayo Vallecano
Barcelona 		5.1%
83.7%		11.2%
+1050
-425

0.60
2.89		3.49
o3½-118
u3½-102

Alavés
Celta Vigo 		27.2%
45.3%		27.4%
+413
-118

0.99
1.36		2.35
o2-126
u2¼-125

Betis
Athletic Club 		27.9%
46.0%		26.1%
+245
+110

1.09
1.47		2.56
o2½-104
u2½-115

Atlético Madrid
Real Madrid 		33.7%
36.3%		30.0%
+258
-105

1.03
1.07		2.10
o2¾-125
u3-124

Games for Mar 21, 2026
Games for Mar 23, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Osasuna
Real Sociedad		17.4%
61.1%		21.5%
+300
-102
+315
-108
1
3		-0.71775-0.69643-0.49202
Celta Vigo
Betis		29.2%
44.8%		26.0%
+285
+108
+288
+105
1
1		-1.25783-1.25204-1.34688
Sevilla
Barcelona		21.4%
54.2%		24.4%
+825
-317
+825
-340
2
5		-0.30857-0.30162-0.61304
Elche
Real Madrid		6.1%
80.8%		13.2%
+940
-360
+900
-370
1
4		-0.27720-0.28538-0.21370
Getafe
Atlético Madrid		9.6%
70.8%		19.5%
+600
-154
+570
-160
0
1		-0.52621-0.53079-0.34470
Villarreal
Alavés		60.7%
17.4%		21.9%
+109
+273
+110
+255
1
1		-1.27414-1.28710-1.51759
Alavés
Valencia		20.5%
55.4%		24.1%
+310
+113
+295
+120
2
3		-0.79045-0.82342-0.59037
Rayo Vallecano
Sevilla		8.7%
74.9%		16.4%
+210
+158
+205
+157
1
1		-1.16142-1.17018-1.80734
Betis
Getafe		30.5%
41.5%		28.0%
+221
+172
+210
+170
0
2		-1.03266-1.03033-0.87842
Elche
Villarreal		11.4%
70.8%		17.8%
+578
-210
+590
-215
1
2		-0.42009-0.41923-0.34503
Barcelona
Athletic Club		67.0%
13.5%		19.6%
-157
+390
-155
+375
1
0		-0.52701-0.54003-0.40121
Real Sociedad
Atlético Madrid		17.6%
59.1%		23.3%
+452
-157
+475
-155
2
3		-0.52816-0.52611-0.52523
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo		70.5%
11.4%		18.0%
+146
+223
+140
+206
2
1		-0.91033-0.91659-0.34910
Getafe
Real Madrid		10.5%
71.0%		18.5%
+835
-255
+875
-255
1
0		-2.26847-2.31042-2.25694
Sevilla
Betis		59.5%
18.2%		22.3%
+405
-128
+375
-132
2
2		-1.35732-1.37678-1.50018
Osasuna
Valencia		27.2%
46.9%		25.9%
+218
+147
+220
+145
0
1		-0.93938-0.93843-0.75766
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.76138 
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.75003 
DRatings32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.81731
-0.05593
-0.06728

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.