Sweden Allsvenskan Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Hacken
Kalmar		56.8%
18.7%		24.5%
+125
+175
+125
+170
0
1		-1.08040-1.04481-1.67729
Kalmar
Göteborg		21.0%
53.9%		25.1%
+300
-104
+335
-120
1
1		-1.28681-1.34289-1.38163
Elfsborg
AIK Stockholm		37.5%
34.2%		28.2%
+265
+111
+250
+110
1
2		-0.79638-0.79239-1.07242
Hammarby
Sirius		53.6%
24.0%		22.4%
+129
+210
+125
+205
3
0		-0.86123-0.85982-0.62327
AIK Stockholm
Göteborg		37.0%
33.5%		29.5%
+153
+194
+135
+230
2
1		-0.97501-0.90429-0.99404
Hacken
Elfsborg		32.0%
40.4%		27.6%
+290
-125
+275
-120
3
1		-1.41256-1.37346-1.14072
Elfsborg
Sirius		52.6%
23.9%		23.5%
+135
+180
+130
+185
1
4		-1.07444-1.09832-1.43129
Hacken
AIK Stockholm		36.3%
33.7%		30.0%
+285
-101
+275
-105
2
0		-1.38362-1.37322-1.01401
Elfsborg
Kalmar		59.0%
18.5%		22.5%
-123
+360
-120
+310
3
1		-0.63346-0.65732-0.52848
Sirius
Hacken		18.0%
59.8%		22.2%
+300
-120
+300
-130
0
2		-0.63377-0.61982-0.51380
Hammarby
AIK Stockholm		38.3%
34.9%		26.8%
+270
+116
+255
+110
0
1		-0.80136-0.79264-1.05360
Hacken
Hammarby		32.5%
41.3%		26.2%
+200
+120
+195
+115
0
2		-0.82264-0.81520-0.88424
AIK Stockholm
Sirius		44.8%
28.5%		26.6%
+175
+161
+175
+165
1
0		-1.05590-1.05912-0.80216
Hammarby
Elfsborg		33.3%
41.7%		25.0%
+310
-132
+275
-110
0
0		-1.49397-1.38721-1.38741
AIK Stockholm
Kalmar		51.0%
22.5%		26.5%
-109
+320
-120
+310
1
0		-0.70334-0.65732-0.67368
Göteborg
Hacken		22.5%
51.6%		25.8%
+355
-147
+355
-150
3
3		-1.49593-1.50964-1.35336
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Norrkoping (5-0-1, 16 pts)5.00.01.016.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Sirius (3-1-2, 11 pts)3.01.02.011.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
3Varberg (3-2-1, 10 pts)3.02.01.010.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
4Hacken (2-0-4, 10 pts)2.00.04.010.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
5Elfsborg (2-0-4, 10 pts)2.00.04.010.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
6Mjallby (3-2-1, 10 pts)3.02.01.010.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Malmo (2-1-3, 9 pts)2.01.03.09.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8AIK Stockholm (2-2-2, 8 pts)2.02.02.08.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Göteborg (2-2-2, 8 pts)2.02.02.08.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Djurgarden (2-3-1, 7 pts)2.03.01.07.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Hammarby (2-3-1, 7 pts)2.03.01.07.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Kalmar (2-4-0, 6 pts)2.04.00.06.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Orebro (1-2-3, 6 pts)1.02.03.06.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Falkenberg (1-3-2, 5 pts)1.03.02.05.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Ostersund (1-4-1, 4 pts)1.04.01.04.00.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%
16Helsingborg (0-4-2, 2 pts)0.04.02.02.00.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%

Predictions Methodology

The Swedish Allsvenskan season typically runs from the beginning to April to the beginning of November. Each of the sixteen teams play a home-and-home with every other team in the Allsvenskan to play thirty games total for the season. The bottom two teams get relegated and the third to the bottom placed team plays in a two leg match against the 3rd placed Superettan team to see who qualifies for the Allsvenskan.