Sweden Allsvenskan Predictions

Updated 5 days ago

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Games for Jun 7, 2025

Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
06/01/2025 02:30 PM	AIK Stockholm Sirius	44.8% 28.5%	26.6%	+120 +245	1 3	-1.28913	-1.25516
05/31/2025 01:00 PM	Hammarby Elfsborg	33.3% 41.7%	25.0%	+194 +140	2 0	-1.12402	-1.10054
05/18/2025 12:00 PM	Hammarby AIK Stockholm	38.3% 34.9%	26.8%	+135 +230	0 0	-1.19241	-1.31647
05/14/2025 05:00 PM	AIK Stockholm Hacken	27.1% 44.7%	28.2%	+161 +180	3 3	-1.24698	-1.26713
05/14/2025 05:00 PM	Sirius Hammarby	17.7% 62.7%	19.6%	+350 -135	2 3	-0.60296	-0.46620
05/10/2025 03:30 PM	Hacken Sirius	51.0% 24.0%	25.0%	+151 +164	0 2	-1.01716	-1.42749
04/27/2025 02:01 PM	Elfsborg AIK Stockholm	37.5% 34.2%	28.2%	+290 +120	0 2	-0.82144	-1.07242
04/27/2025 12:00 PM	Hammarby Hacken	33.1% 40.6%	26.2%	+140 +186	1 1	-1.31382	-1.33811
04/23/2025 05:00 PM	Sirius Elfsborg	17.7% 61.5%	20.7%	+370 -139	3 4	-0.58841	-0.48558
04/20/2025 02:30 PM	Hacken Göteborg	42.8% 29.0%	28.2%	+220 +125	3 2	-1.21295	-0.84765
03/30/2025 12:00 PM	Göteborg Hammarby	22.6% 54.7%	22.7%	+285 -105	0 4	-0.73712	-0.60294
11/10/2024 02:00 PM	Hacken Kalmar	56.8% 18.7%	24.5%	+125 +175 +125 +170	0 1	-1.08040-1.04481	-1.67729
11/02/2024 04:30 PM	Kalmar Göteborg	21.0% 53.9%	25.1%	+300 -104 +335 -120	1 1	-1.28681-1.34289	-1.38163
10/27/2024 01:00 PM	Elfsborg AIK Stockholm	37.5% 34.2%	28.2%	+265 +111 +250 +110	1 2	-0.79638-0.79239	-1.07242
10/26/2024 01:00 PM	Hammarby Sirius	53.6% 24.0%	22.4%	+129 +210 +125 +205	3 0	-0.86123-0.85982	-0.62327
10/21/2024 05:10 PM	AIK Stockholm Göteborg	37.0% 33.5%	29.5%	+153 +194 +135 +230	2 1	-0.97501-0.90429	-0.99404

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation
1	Norrkoping (5-0-1, 16 pts)	5.0	0.0	1.0	16.0	100.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
2	Sirius (3-1-2, 11 pts)	3.0	1.0	2.0	11.0	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%
3	Varberg (3-2-1, 10 pts)	3.0	2.0	1.0	10.0	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%
4	Hacken (2-0-4, 10 pts)	2.0	0.0	4.0	10.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
5	Elfsborg (2-0-4, 10 pts)	2.0	0.0	4.0	10.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
6	Mjallby (3-2-1, 10 pts)	3.0	2.0	1.0	10.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
7	Malmo (2-1-3, 9 pts)	2.0	1.0	3.0	9.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
8	AIK Stockholm (2-2-2, 8 pts)	2.0	2.0	2.0	8.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
9	Göteborg (2-2-2, 8 pts)	2.0	2.0	2.0	8.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
10	Djurgarden (2-3-1, 7 pts)	2.0	3.0	1.0	7.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
11	Hammarby (2-3-1, 7 pts)	2.0	3.0	1.0	7.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
12	Kalmar (2-4-0, 6 pts)	2.0	4.0	0.0	6.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
13	Orebro (1-2-3, 6 pts)	1.0	2.0	3.0	6.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
14	Falkenberg (1-3-2, 5 pts)	1.0	3.0	2.0	5.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
15	Ostersund (1-4-1, 4 pts)	1.0	4.0	1.0	4.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%
16	Helsingborg (0-4-2, 2 pts)	0.0	4.0	2.0	2.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%

Predictions Methodology

The Swedish Allsvenskan season typically runs from the beginning to April to the beginning of November. Each of the sixteen teams play a home-and-home with every other team in the Allsvenskan to play thirty games total for the season. The bottom two teams get relegated and the third to the bottom placed team plays in a two leg match against the 3rd placed Superettan team to see who qualifies for the Allsvenskan.