Sweden Allsvenskan Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 3, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Elfsborg
Hacken 		32.6%
39.8%		27.6%
+118
+195

1.12
1.27		2.39
o3-112
u3-108

Games for Aug 2, 2025
Games for Aug 4, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Göteborg
Elfsborg		22.5%
53.5%		24.0%
+176
+149

3
4		-0.94590-0.62526
Göteborg
Sirius		38.7%
34.0%		27.4%
+147
+176

1
0		-0.94819-0.95008
Elfsborg
Göteborg		44.4%
29.2%		26.4%
+192
+147

2
1		-1.10809-0.81141
Hacken
Elfsborg		32.0%
40.4%		27.6%
+350
-137

2
0		-1.55315-1.14072
Sirius
Göteborg		26.8%
47.7%		25.5%
+320
-125

1
3		-0.63354-0.74055
Göteborg
AIK Stockholm		26.8%
45.6%		27.6%
+260
+131

0
3		-0.86996-0.78559
AIK Stockholm
Sirius		44.8%
28.5%		26.6%
+120
+245

1
3		-1.28913-1.25516
Hammarby
Elfsborg		33.3%
41.7%		25.0%
+194
+140

2
0		-1.12402-1.10054
Hammarby
AIK Stockholm		38.3%
34.9%		26.8%
+135
+230

0
0		-1.19241-1.31647
AIK Stockholm
Hacken		27.1%
44.7%		28.2%
+161
+180

3
3		-1.24698-1.26713
Sirius
Hammarby		17.7%
62.7%		19.6%
+350
-135

2
3		-0.60296-0.46620
Hacken
Sirius		51.0%
24.0%		25.0%
+151
+164

0
2		-1.01716-1.42749
Elfsborg
AIK Stockholm		37.5%
34.2%		28.2%
+290
+120

0
2		-0.82144-1.07242
Hammarby
Hacken		33.1%
40.6%		26.2%
+140
+186

1
1		-1.31382-1.33811
Sirius
Elfsborg		17.7%
61.5%		20.7%
+370
-139

3
4		-0.58841-0.48558
Hacken
Göteborg		42.8%
29.0%		28.2%
+220
+125

3
2		-1.21295-0.84765
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Norrkoping (5-0-1, 16 pts)5.00.01.016.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Sirius (3-1-2, 11 pts)3.01.02.011.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
3Varberg (3-2-1, 10 pts)3.02.01.010.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
4Hacken (2-0-4, 10 pts)2.00.04.010.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
5Elfsborg (2-0-4, 10 pts)2.00.04.010.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
6Mjallby (3-2-1, 10 pts)3.02.01.010.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Malmo (2-1-3, 9 pts)2.01.03.09.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8AIK Stockholm (2-2-2, 8 pts)2.02.02.08.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Göteborg (2-2-2, 8 pts)2.02.02.08.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Djurgarden (2-3-1, 7 pts)2.03.01.07.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Hammarby (2-3-1, 7 pts)2.03.01.07.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Kalmar (2-4-0, 6 pts)2.04.00.06.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Orebro (1-2-3, 6 pts)1.02.03.06.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Falkenberg (1-3-2, 5 pts)1.03.02.05.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Ostersund (1-4-1, 4 pts)1.04.01.04.00.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%
16Helsingborg (0-4-2, 2 pts)0.04.02.02.00.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%

Predictions Methodology

The Swedish Allsvenskan season typically runs from the beginning to April to the beginning of November. Each of the sixteen teams play a home-and-home with every other team in the Allsvenskan to play thirty games total for the season. The bottom two teams get relegated and the third to the bottom placed team plays in a two leg match against the 3rd placed Superettan team to see who qualifies for the Allsvenskan.