Sweden Allsvenskan Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Hacken
AIK Stockholm
36.3%
33.7%
30.0%
+255
+100

2
2
-1.32840-1.20374
Elfsborg
Sirius
52.6%
23.9%
23.5%
+305
-137

0
4
-0.60658-1.43129
AIK Stockholm
Hammarby
27.5%
47.4%
25.0%
+410
-147

1
2
-0.57190-0.74615
Sirius
Hacken
18.0%
59.8%
22.2%
+235
-104

1
1
-1.45248-1.50666
Hammarby
Göteborg
45.4%
29.6%
25.0%
+135
+163

2
1
-0.93113-0.79019
Hacken
Hammarby
32.5%
41.3%
26.2%
+345
-158

0
4
-0.54801-0.88424
Göteborg
Hacken
22.5%
51.6%
25.8%
+175
+126

2
1
-1.06039-1.49001
Sirius
AIK Stockholm
21.9%
53.8%
24.2%
+315
-119

1
2
-0.66312-0.61897
Hammarby
Sirius
53.6%
24.0%
22.4%
-116
+290

1
3
-1.40964-1.42649
AIK Stockholm
Göteborg
37.0%
33.5%
29.5%
+230
+131

1
2
-0.88926-1.09491
Elfsborg
Hacken
32.6%
39.8%
27.6%
+116
+210

2
1
-0.81121-1.12193
Göteborg
Elfsborg
22.5%
53.5%
24.0%
+176
+149

3
4
-0.94590-0.62526
Göteborg
Sirius
38.7%
34.0%
27.4%
+147
+176

1
0
-0.94819-0.95008
Elfsborg
Göteborg
44.4%
29.2%
26.4%
+192
+147

2
1
-1.10809-0.81141
Hacken
Elfsborg
32.0%
40.4%
27.6%
+350
-137

2
0
-1.55315-1.14072
Sirius
Göteborg
26.8%
47.7%
25.5%
+320
-125

1
3
-0.63354-0.74055
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Norrkoping (5-0-1, 16 pts)5.00.01.016.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Sirius (3-1-2, 11 pts)3.01.02.011.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
3Varberg (3-2-1, 10 pts)3.02.01.010.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
4Hacken (2-0-4, 10 pts)2.00.04.010.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
5Elfsborg (2-0-4, 10 pts)2.00.04.010.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
6Mjallby (3-2-1, 10 pts)3.02.01.010.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Malmo (2-1-3, 9 pts)2.01.03.09.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8AIK Stockholm (2-2-2, 8 pts)2.02.02.08.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Göteborg (2-2-2, 8 pts)2.02.02.08.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Djurgarden (2-3-1, 7 pts)2.03.01.07.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Hammarby (2-3-1, 7 pts)2.03.01.07.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Kalmar (2-4-0, 6 pts)2.04.00.06.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Orebro (1-2-3, 6 pts)1.02.03.06.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Falkenberg (1-3-2, 5 pts)1.03.02.05.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Ostersund (1-4-1, 4 pts)1.04.01.04.00.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%
16Helsingborg (0-4-2, 2 pts)0.04.02.02.00.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%

Predictions Methodology

The Swedish Allsvenskan season typically runs from the beginning to April to the beginning of November. Each of the sixteen teams play a home-and-home with every other team in the Allsvenskan to play thirty games total for the season. The bottom two teams get relegated and the third to the bottom placed team plays in a two leg match against the 3rd placed Superettan team to see who qualifies for the Allsvenskan.