Sweden Allsvenskan Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Hammarby
Göteborg		45.4%
29.6%		25.0%
+169
+159
+165
+155
1
0		-1.04021-1.02449-0.79019
Göteborg
Elfsborg		22.5%
53.5%		24.0%
+340
-128
+295
-120
1
3		-0.62142-0.65662-0.62526
Sirius
Göteborg		26.8%
47.7%		25.5%
+195
+135
+225
+115
1
1		-1.33249-1.33025-1.36704
Kalmar
Sirius		26.2%
48.0%		25.8%
+380
-143
+375
-145
1
3		-0.57898-0.57556-0.73493
Hammarby
Kalmar		60.3%
18.5%		21.2%
+125
+235
+120
+215
4
1		-0.83147-0.83704-0.50537
Göteborg
Hammarby		22.6%
54.7%		22.7%
+263
-105
+275
-110
1
0		-1.33884-1.37074-1.48811
Elfsborg
Hacken		32.6%
39.8%		27.6%
+255
-108
+275
-115
5
3		-1.32268-1.37200-1.12193
Kalmar
AIK Stockholm		17.0%
59.4%		23.6%
+595
-220
+575
-225
2
1		-1.98639-1.96141-1.77231
AIK Stockholm
Hacken		27.1%
44.7%		28.2%
+255
+102
+240
+100
1
4		-0.73570-0.74244-0.80410
Elfsborg
Göteborg		44.4%
29.2%		26.4%
+160
+160
+160
+160
0
1		-1.00367-1.00518-1.23056
Göteborg
AIK Stockholm		26.8%
45.6%		27.6%
+285
+105
+260
+105
2
5		-0.74511-0.76787-0.78559
Sirius
Hammarby		17.7%
62.7%		19.6%
+228
+115
+260
+105
0
3		-0.81213-0.76787-0.46620
AIK Stockholm
Hammarby		27.5%
47.4%		25.0%
+155
+178
+155
+175
1
2		-1.06991-1.06447-0.74615
Göteborg
Sirius		38.7%
34.0%		27.4%
+202
+135
+215
+125
2
2		-1.29839-1.28884-1.29605
AIK Stockholm
Elfsborg		27.2%
46.3%		26.4%
+220
+130
+220
+120
1
6		-0.86698-0.83986-0.76910
Kalmar
Hacken		13.9%
64.7%		21.4%
+575
-255
+460
-195
1
3		-0.37959-0.46501-0.43468
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Norrkoping (5-0-1, 16 pts)5.00.01.016.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Sirius (3-1-2, 11 pts)3.01.02.011.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
3Varberg (3-2-1, 10 pts)3.02.01.010.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
4Hacken (2-0-4, 10 pts)2.00.04.010.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
5Elfsborg (2-0-4, 10 pts)2.00.04.010.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
6Mjallby (3-2-1, 10 pts)3.02.01.010.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Malmo (2-1-3, 9 pts)2.01.03.09.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8AIK Stockholm (2-2-2, 8 pts)2.02.02.08.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Göteborg (2-2-2, 8 pts)2.02.02.08.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Djurgarden (2-3-1, 7 pts)2.03.01.07.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Hammarby (2-3-1, 7 pts)2.03.01.07.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Kalmar (2-4-0, 6 pts)2.04.00.06.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Orebro (1-2-3, 6 pts)1.02.03.06.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Falkenberg (1-3-2, 5 pts)1.03.02.05.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Ostersund (1-4-1, 4 pts)1.04.01.04.00.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%
16Helsingborg (0-4-2, 2 pts)0.04.02.02.00.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%

Predictions Methodology

The Swedish Allsvenskan season typically runs from the beginning to April to the beginning of November. Each of the sixteen teams play a home-and-home with every other team in the Allsvenskan to play thirty games total for the season. The bottom two teams get relegated and the third to the bottom placed team plays in a two leg match against the 3rd placed Superettan team to see who qualifies for the Allsvenskan.