Sweden Allsvenskan Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 21, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
AIK Stockholm
Kalmar 		51.0%
22.5%		26.5%
-115
+300
-120
+310
1.46
0.88		2.34
o2½-101
u2½-115

Games for Sep 20, 2024
Games for Sep 22, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Göteborg
Hammarby		22.6%
54.7%		22.7%
+344
-110
+335
-115
1
1		-1.29722-1.30203-1.48298
AIK Stockholm
Hacken		27.1%
44.7%		28.2%
+283
-110
+275
-110
0
2		-0.68399-0.69563-0.80410
Kalmar
Elfsborg		13.6%
67.0%		19.5%
+600
-210
+540
-210
3
0		-1.98989-1.90609-1.99797
AIK Stockholm
Hammarby		27.5%
47.4%		25.0%
+215
+130
+210
+130
2
4		-0.87822-0.88312-0.74615
Hacken
Göteborg		42.8%
29.0%		28.2%
+102
+240
+105
+240
2
4		-1.27150-1.27465-1.23919
Hammarby
Kalmar		60.3%
18.5%		21.2%
+160
+184
+145
+190
0
0		-1.21120-1.25917-1.55211
Sirius
Hacken		18.0%
59.8%		22.2%
+475
-200
+465
-200
2
3		-0.44915-0.45615-0.51380
Elfsborg
Hammarby		33.3%
41.7%		25.0%
+124
+220
+125
+210
0
1		-1.21160-1.17896-0.87349
Kalmar
Sirius		26.2%
48.0%		25.8%
+245
+118
+230
+120
0
3		-0.81461-0.83884-0.73493
Sirius
Elfsborg		17.7%
61.5%		20.7%
+750
-315
+715
-290
0
1		-0.31814-0.34485-0.48558
AIK Stockholm
Kalmar		51.0%
22.5%		26.5%
+140
+215
+145
+200
1
1		-1.20875-1.22670-1.32738
AIK Stockholm
Sirius		44.8%
28.5%		26.6%
+115
+242
+130
+210
1
0		-0.80392-0.88312-0.80216
Kalmar
Göteborg		21.0%
53.9%		25.1%
+245
+125
+255
+120
0
2		-0.85951-0.83605-0.61873
Elfsborg
Hacken		32.6%
39.8%		27.6%
+182
+130
+160
+145
1
3		-0.88088-0.94729-0.92153
Kalmar
Hammarby		13.4%
68.4%		18.1%
+425
-145
+380
-140
1
3		-0.56572-0.58913-0.37913
Göteborg
Elfsborg		22.5%
53.5%		24.0%
+760
-285
+725
-280
1
1		-1.68848-1.68989-1.42703
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Norrkoping (5-0-1, 16 pts)5.00.01.016.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Sirius (3-1-2, 11 pts)3.01.02.011.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
3Varberg (3-2-1, 10 pts)3.02.01.010.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
4Hacken (2-0-4, 10 pts)2.00.04.010.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
5Elfsborg (2-0-4, 10 pts)2.00.04.010.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
6Mjallby (3-2-1, 10 pts)3.02.01.010.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Malmo (2-1-3, 9 pts)2.01.03.09.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8AIK Stockholm (2-2-2, 8 pts)2.02.02.08.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Göteborg (2-2-2, 8 pts)2.02.02.08.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Djurgarden (2-3-1, 7 pts)2.03.01.07.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Hammarby (2-3-1, 7 pts)2.03.01.07.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Kalmar (2-4-0, 6 pts)2.04.00.06.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Orebro (1-2-3, 6 pts)1.02.03.06.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Falkenberg (1-3-2, 5 pts)1.03.02.05.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Ostersund (1-4-1, 4 pts)1.04.01.04.00.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%
16Helsingborg (0-4-2, 2 pts)0.04.02.02.00.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%

Predictions Methodology

The Swedish Allsvenskan season typically runs from the beginning to April to the beginning of November. Each of the sixteen teams play a home-and-home with every other team in the Allsvenskan to play thirty games total for the season. The bottom two teams get relegated and the third to the bottom placed team plays in a two leg match against the 3rd placed Superettan team to see who qualifies for the Allsvenskan.