Sweden Allsvenskan Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 21, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
AIK Stockholm
Kalmar 		51.0%
22.5%		26.5%
-115
+300
-120
+310
1.46
0.88		2.34
o2½-101
u2½-115

Games for Sep 20, 2024
Games for Sep 22, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Elfsborg
Kalmar		59.0%
18.5%		22.5%
+110
+275
+100
+270
4
0		-0.76237-0.74381-0.52848
Hammarby
Sirius		53.6%
24.0%		22.4%
+145
+185
+130
+200
2
1		-0.93077-0.88533-0.62327
Hacken
AIK Stockholm		36.3%
33.7%		30.0%
+130
+210
+115
+225
2
1		-0.87508-0.81482-1.01401
Hammarby
Elfsborg		33.3%
41.7%		25.0%
+470
-180
+440
-170
0
2		-0.49143-0.51153-0.87349
Göteborg
Sirius		38.7%
34.0%		27.4%
+240
+115
+225
+115
0
2		-0.79813-0.81482-1.07999
Elfsborg
AIK Stockholm		37.5%
34.2%		28.2%
-105
+300
+115
+230
2
1		-0.71200-0.81410-0.98014
Kalmar
AIK Stockholm		17.0%
59.4%		23.6%
+270
+120
+260
+120
1
1		-1.16873-1.19600-1.44286
Göteborg
Hacken		22.5%
51.6%		25.8%
+645
-240
+530
-230
1
4		-0.37914-0.41149-0.66130
Hammarby
Göteborg		45.4%
29.6%		25.0%
+151
+198
+140
+195
1
1		-1.24091-1.27236-1.38494
Göteborg
AIK Stockholm		26.8%
45.6%		27.6%
+453
-137
+380
-130
2
2		-1.34304-1.33097-1.28587
Sirius
Kalmar		39.0%
33.2%		27.8%
+327
-101
+330
-110
2
2		-1.25829-1.27300-1.28111
Sirius
AIK Stockholm		21.9%
53.8%		24.2%
+317
-103
+350
-130
0
0		-1.29131-1.38438-1.41783
Hacken
Sirius		51.0%
24.0%		25.0%
+101
+270
-105
+265
4
1		-0.72660-0.72054-0.67278
Hammarby
AIK Stockholm		38.3%
34.9%		26.8%
+172
+189
+140
+205
0
2		-1.08616-1.16603-1.05360
Kalmar
Hacken		13.9%
64.7%		21.4%
+450
-150
+440
-165
3
1		-1.73308-1.73682-1.97544
Göteborg
Kalmar		45.1%
27.3%		27.6%
+325
+105
+335
-115
0
2		-0.73322-0.67495-1.29964
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Norrkoping (5-0-1, 16 pts)5.00.01.016.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Sirius (3-1-2, 11 pts)3.01.02.011.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
3Varberg (3-2-1, 10 pts)3.02.01.010.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
4Hacken (2-0-4, 10 pts)2.00.04.010.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
5Elfsborg (2-0-4, 10 pts)2.00.04.010.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
6Mjallby (3-2-1, 10 pts)3.02.01.010.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Malmo (2-1-3, 9 pts)2.01.03.09.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8AIK Stockholm (2-2-2, 8 pts)2.02.02.08.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Göteborg (2-2-2, 8 pts)2.02.02.08.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Djurgarden (2-3-1, 7 pts)2.03.01.07.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Hammarby (2-3-1, 7 pts)2.03.01.07.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Kalmar (2-4-0, 6 pts)2.04.00.06.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Orebro (1-2-3, 6 pts)1.02.03.06.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Falkenberg (1-3-2, 5 pts)1.03.02.05.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Ostersund (1-4-1, 4 pts)1.04.01.04.00.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%
16Helsingborg (0-4-2, 2 pts)0.04.02.02.00.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%

Predictions Methodology

The Swedish Allsvenskan season typically runs from the beginning to April to the beginning of November. Each of the sixteen teams play a home-and-home with every other team in the Allsvenskan to play thirty games total for the season. The bottom two teams get relegated and the third to the bottom placed team plays in a two leg match against the 3rd placed Superettan team to see who qualifies for the Allsvenskan.