Sweden Allsvenskan Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 21, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
AIK Stockholm
Kalmar 		51.0%
22.5%		26.5%
-115
+300
-120
+310
1.46
0.88		2.34
o2½+101
u2½-115

Games for Sep 20, 2024
Games for Sep 22, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Hammarby
Hacken		33.1%
40.6%		26.2%
+286
+105
+245
+100
1
3		-0.73628-0.74482-0.90054
Hacken
Elfsborg		32.0%
40.4%		27.6%
+180
+149
+165
+150
2
0		-1.05895-1.02110-1.14072
Elfsborg
AIK Stockholm		37.5%
34.2%		28.2%
+295
-105
+295
-115
1
0		-1.39853-1.42366-0.98014
AIK Stockholm
Göteborg		37.0%
33.5%		29.5%
+151
+191
+135
+190
0
1		-1.09395-1.11544-1.09491
Kalmar
Sirius		26.2%
48.0%		25.8%
+115
+273
+110
+260
0
0		-1.27154-1.27072-1.35398
Hammarby
Elfsborg		33.3%
41.7%		25.0%
+113
+262
+120
+205
1
2		-1.28536-1.16648-0.87349
Sirius
Hammarby		17.7%
62.7%		19.6%
+1434
-485
+1200
-450
1
1		-2.00671-1.89972-1.63179
Hacken
AIK Stockholm		36.3%
33.7%		30.0%
+178
+156
+165
+150
2
1		-1.04001-1.02460-1.01401
Kalmar
Elfsborg		13.6%
67.0%		19.5%
+350
-111
+340
-130
2
0		-1.50878-1.53252-1.99797
Elfsborg
Göteborg		44.4%
29.2%		26.4%
+132
+207
+130
+200
3
1		-0.86895-0.88150-0.81141
AIK Stockholm
Sirius		44.8%
28.5%		26.6%
+125
+235
+110
+235
1
1		-1.30144-1.33211-1.32246
Sirius
Elfsborg		17.7%
61.5%		20.7%
+550
-201
+510
-205
0
3		-0.43041-0.44937-0.48558
Hammarby
Hacken		33.1%
40.6%		26.2%
+195
+137
+190
+130
1
1		-1.36270-1.35701-1.33811
Hacken
Kalmar		56.8%
18.7%		24.5%
+163
+172
+155
+175
1
1		-1.31030-1.27247-1.40801
Sirius
Göteborg		26.8%
47.7%		25.5%
+340
-107
+335
-120
0
2		-0.67280-0.65427-0.74055
Hammarby
AIK Stockholm		38.3%
34.9%		26.8%
+148
+197
+130
+195
2
2		-1.28833-1.33120-1.31647
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Norrkoping (5-0-1, 16 pts)5.00.01.016.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Sirius (3-1-2, 11 pts)3.01.02.011.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
3Varberg (3-2-1, 10 pts)3.02.01.010.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
4Hacken (2-0-4, 10 pts)2.00.04.010.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
5Elfsborg (2-0-4, 10 pts)2.00.04.010.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
6Mjallby (3-2-1, 10 pts)3.02.01.010.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Malmo (2-1-3, 9 pts)2.01.03.09.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8AIK Stockholm (2-2-2, 8 pts)2.02.02.08.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Göteborg (2-2-2, 8 pts)2.02.02.08.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Djurgarden (2-3-1, 7 pts)2.03.01.07.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Hammarby (2-3-1, 7 pts)2.03.01.07.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Kalmar (2-4-0, 6 pts)2.04.00.06.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Orebro (1-2-3, 6 pts)1.02.03.06.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Falkenberg (1-3-2, 5 pts)1.03.02.05.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Ostersund (1-4-1, 4 pts)1.04.01.04.00.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%
16Helsingborg (0-4-2, 2 pts)0.04.02.02.00.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%

Predictions Methodology

The Swedish Allsvenskan season typically runs from the beginning to April to the beginning of November. Each of the sixteen teams play a home-and-home with every other team in the Allsvenskan to play thirty games total for the season. The bottom two teams get relegated and the third to the bottom placed team plays in a two leg match against the 3rd placed Superettan team to see who qualifies for the Allsvenskan.