Sweden Allsvenskan Predictions

Updated 6 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
06/04/2023 01:00 PM	Kalmar AIK Stockholm	17.0% 59.4%	23.6%	+270 +120 +260 +120	1 1	-1.16873-1.19600	-1.44286
05/29/2023 05:10 PM	Göteborg Hacken	22.5% 51.6%	25.8%	+645 -240 +530 -230	1 4	-0.37914-0.41149	-0.66130
05/21/2023 03:30 PM	Hammarby Göteborg	45.4% 29.6%	25.0%	+151 +198 +140 +195	1 1	-1.24091-1.27236	-1.38494
05/15/2023 05:10 PM	Göteborg AIK Stockholm	26.8% 45.6%	27.6%	+453 -137 +380 -130	2 2	-1.34304-1.33097	-1.28587
05/03/2023 05:00 PM	Sirius Kalmar	39.0% 33.2%	27.8%	+327 -101 +330 -110	2 2	-1.25829-1.27300	-1.28111
04/29/2023 01:00 PM	Sirius AIK Stockholm	21.9% 53.8%	24.2%	+317 -103 +350 -130	0 0	-1.29131-1.38438	-1.41783
04/23/2023 03:30 PM	Hacken Sirius	51.0% 24.0%	25.0%	+101 +270 -105 +265	4 1	-0.72660-0.72054	-0.67278
04/16/2023 01:00 PM	Hammarby AIK Stockholm	38.3% 34.9%	26.8%	+172 +189 +140 +205	0 2	-1.08616-1.16603	-1.05360
04/15/2023 03:30 PM	Kalmar Hacken	13.9% 64.7%	21.4%	+450 -150 +440 -165	3 1	-1.73308-1.73682	-1.97544
04/09/2023 03:30 PM	Göteborg Kalmar	45.1% 27.3%	27.6%	+325 +105 +335 -115	0 2	-0.73322-0.67495	-1.29964
04/09/2023 01:00 PM	Hammarby Hacken	33.1% 40.6%	26.2%	+286 +105 +245 +100	1 3	-0.73628-0.74482	-0.90054
04/03/2023 05:10 PM	Hacken Elfsborg	32.0% 40.4%	27.6%	+180 +149 +165 +150	2 0	-1.05895-1.02110	-1.14072
11/06/2022 02:00 PM	Elfsborg AIK Stockholm	37.5% 34.2%	28.2%	+295 -105 +295 -115	1 0	-1.39853-1.42366	-0.98014
10/24/2022 05:10 PM	AIK Stockholm Göteborg	37.0% 33.5%	29.5%	+151 +191 +135 +190	0 1	-1.09395-1.11544	-1.09491
10/24/2022 05:00 PM	Kalmar Sirius	26.2% 48.0%	25.8%	+115 +273 +110 +260	0 0	-1.27154-1.27072	-1.35398
10/23/2022 01:00 PM	Hammarby Elfsborg	33.3% 41.7%	25.0%	+113 +262 +120 +205	1 2	-1.28536-1.16648	-0.87349

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation
1	Norrkoping (5-0-1, 16 pts)	5.0	0.0	1.0	16.0	100.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
2	Sirius (3-1-2, 11 pts)	3.0	1.0	2.0	11.0	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%
3	Varberg (3-2-1, 10 pts)	3.0	2.0	1.0	10.0	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%
4	Hacken (2-0-4, 10 pts)	2.0	0.0	4.0	10.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
5	Elfsborg (2-0-4, 10 pts)	2.0	0.0	4.0	10.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
6	Mjallby (3-2-1, 10 pts)	3.0	2.0	1.0	10.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
7	Malmo (2-1-3, 9 pts)	2.0	1.0	3.0	9.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
8	AIK Stockholm (2-2-2, 8 pts)	2.0	2.0	2.0	8.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
9	Göteborg (2-2-2, 8 pts)	2.0	2.0	2.0	8.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
10	Djurgarden (2-3-1, 7 pts)	2.0	3.0	1.0	7.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
11	Hammarby (2-3-1, 7 pts)	2.0	3.0	1.0	7.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
12	Kalmar (2-4-0, 6 pts)	2.0	4.0	0.0	6.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
13	Orebro (1-2-3, 6 pts)	1.0	2.0	3.0	6.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
14	Falkenberg (1-3-2, 5 pts)	1.0	3.0	2.0	5.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
15	Ostersund (1-4-1, 4 pts)	1.0	4.0	1.0	4.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%
16	Helsingborg (0-4-2, 2 pts)	0.0	4.0	2.0	2.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%

Predictions Methodology

The Swedish Allsvenskan season typically runs from the beginning to April to the beginning of November. Each of the sixteen teams play a home-and-home with every other team in the Allsvenskan to play thirty games total for the season. The bottom two teams get relegated and the third to the bottom placed team plays in a two leg match against the 3rd placed Superettan team to see who qualifies for the Allsvenskan.