Sweden Allsvenskan Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 21, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
AIK Stockholm
Kalmar 		51.0%
22.5%		26.5%
-115
+300
-120
+310
1.46
0.88		2.34
o2½+101
u2½-115

Games for Sep 20, 2024
Games for Sep 22, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Hacken
Sirius		51.0%
24.0%		25.0%
-121
+326
-135
+320
1
0		-0.61184-0.60373-0.67278
Göteborg
Kalmar		45.1%
27.3%		27.6%
+270
+118
+280
+105
0
1		-0.79553-0.76613-1.29964
Hammarby
Göteborg		45.4%
29.6%		25.0%
-113
+320
-120
+315
1
0		-0.65861-0.65786-0.79019
AIK Stockholm
Kalmar		51.0%
22.5%		26.5%
+196
+165
+185
+155
0
1		-0.99352-0.98556-1.49197
Hacken
Elfsborg		32.0%
40.4%		27.6%
+221
+115
+200
+110
4
4		-1.45878-1.47238-1.28739
Elfsborg
Kalmar		59.0%
18.5%		22.5%
+228
+131
+225
+120
0
1		-0.85654-0.83924-1.68740
Kalmar
AIK Stockholm		17.0%
59.4%		23.6%
+410
-120
+375
-125
0
1		-0.62987-0.63828-0.52136
Elfsborg
Hammarby		33.3%
41.7%		25.0%
+285
-102
+285
-120
0
3		-0.70352-0.65693-0.87349
Göteborg
Hammarby		22.6%
54.7%		22.7%
+555
-182
+520
-200
0
3		-0.46191-0.45680-0.60294
Sirius
Kalmar		39.0%
33.2%		27.8%
+430
-138
+400
-140
1
1		-1.38174-1.37054-1.28111
AIK Stockholm
Elfsborg		27.2%
46.3%		26.4%
+240
+119
+230
+115
2
2		-1.32712-1.31557-1.33078
Elfsborg
Hacken		32.6%
39.8%		27.6%
+186
+142
+185
+135
1
1		-1.36849-1.34389-1.28609
Göteborg
Sirius		38.7%
34.0%		27.4%
+187
+160
+185
+150
2
1		-1.07863-1.09551-0.95008
Hacken
Hammarby		32.5%
41.3%		26.2%
+316
-113
+300
-115
2
2		-1.39752-1.37200-1.33956
Sirius
Hacken		18.0%
59.8%		22.2%
+597
-220
+600
-230
3
4		-0.39771-0.40804-0.51380
Göteborg
Elfsborg		22.5%
53.5%		24.0%
+560
-189
+495
-185
1
3		-0.44964-0.48329-0.62526
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Norrkoping (5-0-1, 16 pts)5.00.01.016.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Sirius (3-1-2, 11 pts)3.01.02.011.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
3Varberg (3-2-1, 10 pts)3.02.01.010.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
4Hacken (2-0-4, 10 pts)2.00.04.010.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
5Elfsborg (2-0-4, 10 pts)2.00.04.010.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
6Mjallby (3-2-1, 10 pts)3.02.01.010.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Malmo (2-1-3, 9 pts)2.01.03.09.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8AIK Stockholm (2-2-2, 8 pts)2.02.02.08.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Göteborg (2-2-2, 8 pts)2.02.02.08.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Djurgarden (2-3-1, 7 pts)2.03.01.07.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Hammarby (2-3-1, 7 pts)2.03.01.07.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Kalmar (2-4-0, 6 pts)2.04.00.06.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Orebro (1-2-3, 6 pts)1.02.03.06.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Falkenberg (1-3-2, 5 pts)1.03.02.05.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Ostersund (1-4-1, 4 pts)1.04.01.04.00.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%
16Helsingborg (0-4-2, 2 pts)0.04.02.02.00.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%

Predictions Methodology

The Swedish Allsvenskan season typically runs from the beginning to April to the beginning of November. Each of the sixteen teams play a home-and-home with every other team in the Allsvenskan to play thirty games total for the season. The bottom two teams get relegated and the third to the bottom placed team plays in a two leg match against the 3rd placed Superettan team to see who qualifies for the Allsvenskan.