Sweden Allsvenskan Predictions

Updated 7 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
08/22/2022 05:00 PM	Hacken Sirius	51.0% 24.0%	25.0%	-121 +326 -135 +320	1 0	-0.61184-0.60373	-0.67278
08/22/2022 05:00 PM	Göteborg Kalmar	45.1% 27.3%	27.6%	+270 +118 +280 +105	0 1	-0.79553-0.76613	-1.29964
08/15/2022 05:10 PM	Hammarby Göteborg	45.4% 29.6%	25.0%	-113 +320 -120 +315	1 0	-0.65861-0.65786	-0.79019
08/07/2022 01:00 PM	AIK Stockholm Kalmar	51.0% 22.5%	26.5%	+196 +165 +185 +155	0 1	-0.99352-0.98556	-1.49197
07/31/2022 01:00 PM	Hacken Elfsborg	32.0% 40.4%	27.6%	+221 +115 +200 +110	4 4	-1.45878-1.47238	-1.28739
07/24/2022 03:30 PM	Elfsborg Kalmar	59.0% 18.5%	22.5%	+228 +131 +225 +120	0 1	-0.85654-0.83924	-1.68740
07/17/2022 01:00 PM	Kalmar AIK Stockholm	17.0% 59.4%	23.6%	+410 -120 +375 -125	0 1	-0.62987-0.63828	-0.52136
07/17/2022 01:00 PM	Elfsborg Hammarby	33.3% 41.7%	25.0%	+285 -102 +285 -120	0 3	-0.70352-0.65693	-0.87349
07/11/2022 05:00 PM	Göteborg Hammarby	22.6% 54.7%	22.7%	+555 -182 +520 -200	0 3	-0.46191-0.45680	-0.60294
07/10/2022 03:30 PM	Sirius Kalmar	39.0% 33.2%	27.8%	+430 -138 +400 -140	1 1	-1.38174-1.37054	-1.28111
07/10/2022 01:00 PM	AIK Stockholm Elfsborg	27.2% 46.3%	26.4%	+240 +119 +230 +115	2 2	-1.32712-1.31557	-1.33078
07/03/2022 03:30 PM	Elfsborg Hacken	32.6% 39.8%	27.6%	+186 +142 +185 +135	1 1	-1.36849-1.34389	-1.28609
06/27/2022 05:00 PM	Göteborg Sirius	38.7% 34.0%	27.4%	+187 +160 +185 +150	2 1	-1.07863-1.09551	-0.95008
06/26/2022 01:00 PM	Hacken Hammarby	32.5% 41.3%	26.2%	+316 -113 +300 -115	2 2	-1.39752-1.37200	-1.33956
05/28/2022 03:00 PM	Sirius Hacken	18.0% 59.8%	22.2%	+597 -220 +600 -230	3 4	-0.39771-0.40804	-0.51380
05/22/2022 01:00 PM	Göteborg Elfsborg	22.5% 53.5%	24.0%	+560 -189 +495 -185	1 3	-0.44964-0.48329	-0.62526

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation
1	Norrkoping (5-0-1, 16 pts)	5.0	0.0	1.0	16.0	100.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
2	Sirius (3-1-2, 11 pts)	3.0	1.0	2.0	11.0	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%
3	Varberg (3-2-1, 10 pts)	3.0	2.0	1.0	10.0	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%
4	Hacken (2-0-4, 10 pts)	2.0	0.0	4.0	10.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
5	Elfsborg (2-0-4, 10 pts)	2.0	0.0	4.0	10.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
6	Mjallby (3-2-1, 10 pts)	3.0	2.0	1.0	10.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
7	Malmo (2-1-3, 9 pts)	2.0	1.0	3.0	9.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
8	AIK Stockholm (2-2-2, 8 pts)	2.0	2.0	2.0	8.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
9	Göteborg (2-2-2, 8 pts)	2.0	2.0	2.0	8.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
10	Djurgarden (2-3-1, 7 pts)	2.0	3.0	1.0	7.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
11	Hammarby (2-3-1, 7 pts)	2.0	3.0	1.0	7.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
12	Kalmar (2-4-0, 6 pts)	2.0	4.0	0.0	6.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
13	Orebro (1-2-3, 6 pts)	1.0	2.0	3.0	6.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
14	Falkenberg (1-3-2, 5 pts)	1.0	3.0	2.0	5.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
15	Ostersund (1-4-1, 4 pts)	1.0	4.0	1.0	4.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%
16	Helsingborg (0-4-2, 2 pts)	0.0	4.0	2.0	2.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%

Predictions Methodology

The Swedish Allsvenskan season typically runs from the beginning to April to the beginning of November. Each of the sixteen teams play a home-and-home with every other team in the Allsvenskan to play thirty games total for the season. The bottom two teams get relegated and the third to the bottom placed team plays in a two leg match against the 3rd placed Superettan team to see who qualifies for the Allsvenskan.