Sweden Allsvenskan Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 21, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
AIK Stockholm
Kalmar 		51.0%
22.5%		26.5%
-115
+300
-120
+310
1.46
0.88		2.34
o2½+101
u2½-115

Games for Sep 20, 2024
Games for Sep 22, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Sirius
AIK Stockholm		21.9%
53.8%		24.2%
+714
-235
+650
-240
2
2		-1.62536-1.59820-1.41783
AIK Stockholm
Hammarby		27.5%
47.4%		25.0%
+253
+133
+235
+120
3
3		-1.21987-1.25924-1.38510
Kalmar
Hacken		13.9%
64.7%		21.4%
+400
-136
+360
-135
1
3		-0.57957-0.60462-0.43468
Elfsborg
Sirius		52.6%
23.9%		23.5%
-125
+356
-130
+350
0
2		-1.54127-1.55344-1.43129
Hammarby
Kalmar		60.3%
18.5%		21.2%
+127
+260
+120
+245
0
2		-1.30475-1.28913-1.68854
Göteborg
AIK Stockholm		26.8%
45.6%		27.6%
+482
-143
+430
-140
0
1		-0.56391-0.59131-0.78559
Kalmar
Göteborg		21.0%
53.9%		25.1%
+247
+132
+230
+130
2
1		-1.26705-1.24303-1.56008
Hammarby
Sirius		53.6%
24.0%		22.4%
-147
+412
-150
+375
3
0		-0.54820-0.56103-0.62327
Göteborg
Hacken		22.5%
51.6%		25.8%
+309
+102
+285
-105
2
0		-1.42122-1.40031-1.49001
AIK Stockholm
Hacken		27.1%
44.7%		28.2%
+210
+157
+175
+175
2
4		-0.96309-1.06025-0.80410
Sirius
AIK Stockholm		27.0%
49.6%		23.4%
+802
-286
+1250
-450
2
4		-0.34300-0.25040-0.70080
Kalmar
Hammarby		20.7%
61.2%		18.1%
+380
-154
+370
-155
3
5		-0.54094-0.54965-0.49047
Hacken
Sirius		47.6%
28.5%		23.9%
+173
+146
+170
+155
0
3		-0.94163-0.98714-1.25509
AIK Stockholm
Elfsborg		30.7%
44.2%		25.0%
+205
+142
+205
+140
4
2		-1.15141-1.16603-1.17951
Ostersund
Göteborg		24.5%
52.2%		23.3%
+1213
-417
+1150
-425
0
4		-0.25089-0.26338-0.64913
Göteborg
Sirius		39.0%
35.7%		25.2%
+170
+185
+150
+195
3
3		-1.24109-1.21335-1.37733
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Norrkoping (5-0-1, 16 pts)5.00.01.016.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Sirius (3-1-2, 11 pts)3.01.02.011.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
3Varberg (3-2-1, 10 pts)3.02.01.010.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
4Hacken (2-0-4, 10 pts)2.00.04.010.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
5Elfsborg (2-0-4, 10 pts)2.00.04.010.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
6Mjallby (3-2-1, 10 pts)3.02.01.010.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Malmo (2-1-3, 9 pts)2.01.03.09.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8AIK Stockholm (2-2-2, 8 pts)2.02.02.08.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Göteborg (2-2-2, 8 pts)2.02.02.08.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Djurgarden (2-3-1, 7 pts)2.03.01.07.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Hammarby (2-3-1, 7 pts)2.03.01.07.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Kalmar (2-4-0, 6 pts)2.04.00.06.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Orebro (1-2-3, 6 pts)1.02.03.06.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Falkenberg (1-3-2, 5 pts)1.03.02.05.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Ostersund (1-4-1, 4 pts)1.04.01.04.00.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%
16Helsingborg (0-4-2, 2 pts)0.04.02.02.00.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%

Predictions Methodology

The Swedish Allsvenskan season typically runs from the beginning to April to the beginning of November. Each of the sixteen teams play a home-and-home with every other team in the Allsvenskan to play thirty games total for the season. The bottom two teams get relegated and the third to the bottom placed team plays in a two leg match against the 3rd placed Superettan team to see who qualifies for the Allsvenskan.