Sweden Allsvenskan Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 27, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Sirius
Hacken 		18.0%
59.8%		22.2%
+126
+200

0.92
1.88		2.80
o2¾-124
u3-118

Elfsborg
Kalmar 		59.0%
18.5%		22.5%
+192
+156

1.84
0.92		2.76
o2¼-111
u2¼-108

Games for Apr 26, 2026
Games for Apr 28, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Kalmar
Hacken		13.9%
64.7%		21.4%
+450
-150
+440
-165
3
1		-1.73308-1.73682-1.97544
Göteborg
Kalmar		45.1%
27.3%		27.6%
+325
+105
+335
-115
0
2		-0.73322-0.67495-1.29964
Hammarby
Hacken		33.1%
40.6%		26.2%
+286
+105
+245
+100
1
3		-0.73628-0.74482-0.90054
Hacken
Elfsborg		32.0%
40.4%		27.6%
+180
+149
+165
+150
2
0		-1.05895-1.02110-1.14072
Elfsborg
AIK Stockholm		37.5%
34.2%		28.2%
+295
-105
+295
-115
1
0		-1.39853-1.42366-0.98014
AIK Stockholm
Göteborg		37.0%
33.5%		29.5%
+151
+191
+135
+190
0
1		-1.09395-1.11544-1.09491
Kalmar
Sirius		26.2%
48.0%		25.8%
+115
+273
+110
+260
0
0		-1.27154-1.27072-1.35398
Hammarby
Elfsborg		33.3%
41.7%		25.0%
+113
+262
+120
+205
1
2		-1.28536-1.16648-0.87349
Sirius
Hammarby		17.7%
62.7%		19.6%
+1434
-485
+1200
-450
1
1		-2.00671-1.89972-1.63179
Hacken
AIK Stockholm		36.3%
33.7%		30.0%
+178
+156
+165
+150
2
1		-1.04001-1.02460-1.01401
Kalmar
Elfsborg		13.6%
67.0%		19.5%
+350
-111
+340
-130
2
0		-1.50878-1.53252-1.99797
Elfsborg
Göteborg		44.4%
29.2%		26.4%
+132
+207
+130
+200
3
1		-0.86895-0.88150-0.81141
AIK Stockholm
Sirius		44.8%
28.5%		26.6%
+125
+235
+110
+235
1
1		-1.30144-1.33211-1.32246
Sirius
Elfsborg		17.7%
61.5%		20.7%
+550
-201
+510
-205
0
3		-0.43041-0.44937-0.48558
Hammarby
Hacken		33.1%
40.6%		26.2%
+195
+137
+190
+130
1
1		-1.36270-1.35701-1.33811
Hacken
Kalmar		56.8%
18.7%		24.5%
+163
+172
+155
+175
1
1		-1.31030-1.27247-1.40801
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Norrkoping (5-0-1, 16 pts)5.00.01.016.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Sirius (3-1-2, 11 pts)3.01.02.011.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
3Varberg (3-2-1, 10 pts)3.02.01.010.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
4Hacken (2-0-4, 10 pts)2.00.04.010.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
5Elfsborg (2-0-4, 10 pts)2.00.04.010.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
6Mjallby (3-2-1, 10 pts)3.02.01.010.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Malmo (2-1-3, 9 pts)2.01.03.09.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8AIK Stockholm (2-2-2, 8 pts)2.02.02.08.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Göteborg (2-2-2, 8 pts)2.02.02.08.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Djurgarden (2-3-1, 7 pts)2.03.01.07.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Hammarby (2-3-1, 7 pts)2.03.01.07.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Kalmar (2-4-0, 6 pts)2.04.00.06.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Orebro (1-2-3, 6 pts)1.02.03.06.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Falkenberg (1-3-2, 5 pts)1.03.02.05.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Ostersund (1-4-1, 4 pts)1.04.01.04.00.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%
16Helsingborg (0-4-2, 2 pts)0.04.02.02.00.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%

Predictions Methodology

The Swedish Allsvenskan season typically runs from the beginning to April to the beginning of November. Each of the sixteen teams play a home-and-home with every other team in the Allsvenskan to play thirty games total for the season. The bottom two teams get relegated and the third to the bottom placed team plays in a two leg match against the 3rd placed Superettan team to see who qualifies for the Allsvenskan.