Sweden Allsvenskan Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Kalmar
AIK Stockholm
17.0%
59.4%
23.6%
+410
-120
+375
-125
0
1
-0.62987-0.63828-0.52136
Elfsborg
Hammarby
33.3%
41.7%
25.0%
+285
-102
+285
-120
0
3
-0.70352-0.65693-0.87349
Göteborg
Hammarby
22.6%
54.7%
22.7%
+555
-182
+520
-200
0
3
-0.46191-0.45680-0.60294
Sirius
Kalmar
39.0%
33.2%
27.8%
+430
-138
+400
-140
1
1
-1.38174-1.37054-1.28111
AIK Stockholm
Elfsborg
27.2%
46.3%
26.4%
+240
+119
+230
+115
2
2
-1.32712-1.31557-1.33078
Elfsborg
Hacken
32.6%
39.8%
27.6%
+186
+142
+185
+135
1
1
-1.36849-1.34389-1.28609
Göteborg
Sirius
38.7%
34.0%
27.4%
+187
+160
+185
+150
2
1
-1.07863-1.09551-0.95008
Hacken
Hammarby
32.5%
41.3%
26.2%
+316
-113
+300
-115
2
2
-1.39752-1.37200-1.33956
Sirius
Hacken
18.0%
59.8%
22.2%
+597
-220
+600
-230
3
4
-0.39771-0.40804-0.51380
Göteborg
Elfsborg
22.5%
53.5%
24.0%
+560
-189
+495
-185
1
3
-0.44964-0.48329-0.62526
Sirius
AIK Stockholm
21.9%
53.8%
24.2%
+714
-235
+650
-240
2
2
-1.62536-1.59820-1.41783
AIK Stockholm
Hammarby
27.5%
47.4%
25.0%
+253
+133
+235
+120
3
3
-1.21987-1.25924-1.38510
Kalmar
Hacken
13.9%
64.7%
21.4%
+400
-136
+360
-135
1
3
-0.57957-0.60462-0.43468
Elfsborg
Sirius
52.6%
23.9%
23.5%
-125
+356
-130
+350
0
2
-1.54127-1.55344-1.43129
Hammarby
Kalmar
60.3%
18.5%
21.2%
+127
+260
+120
+245
0
2
-1.30475-1.28913-1.68854
Göteborg
AIK Stockholm
26.8%
45.6%
27.6%
+482
-143
+430
-140
0
1
-0.56391-0.59131-0.78559
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Norrkoping (5-0-1, 16 pts)5.00.01.016.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Sirius (3-1-2, 11 pts)3.01.02.011.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
3Varberg (3-2-1, 10 pts)3.02.01.010.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
4Hacken (2-0-4, 10 pts)2.00.04.010.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
5Elfsborg (2-0-4, 10 pts)2.00.04.010.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
6Mjallby (3-2-1, 10 pts)3.02.01.010.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Malmo (2-1-3, 9 pts)2.01.03.09.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8AIK Stockholm (2-2-2, 8 pts)2.02.02.08.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Göteborg (2-2-2, 8 pts)2.02.02.08.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Djurgarden (2-3-1, 7 pts)2.03.01.07.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Hammarby (2-3-1, 7 pts)2.03.01.07.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Kalmar (2-4-0, 6 pts)2.04.00.06.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Orebro (1-2-3, 6 pts)1.02.03.06.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Falkenberg (1-3-2, 5 pts)1.03.02.05.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Ostersund (1-4-1, 4 pts)1.04.01.04.00.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%
16Helsingborg (0-4-2, 2 pts)0.04.02.02.00.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%

Predictions Methodology

The Swedish Allsvenskan season typically runs from the beginning to April to the beginning of November. Each of the sixteen teams play a home-and-home with every other team in the Allsvenskan to play thirty games total for the season. The bottom two teams get relegated and the third to the bottom placed team plays in a two leg match against the 3rd placed Superettan team to see who qualifies for the Allsvenskan.