Sweden Allsvenskan Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 21, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
AIK Stockholm
Kalmar 		51.0%
22.5%		26.5%
-115
+300
-120
+310
1.46
0.88		2.34
o2½-105
u2½-115

Games for Sep 20, 2024
Games for Sep 22, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Göteborg
Hacken		27.1%
48.0%		24.9%
+281
+101
+270
+105
2
3		-0.74204-0.76873-0.73376
Kalmar
Ostersund		35.7%
37.3%		27.0%
+126
+235
+115
+250
1
0		-0.84903-0.81362-1.02929
Hacken
AIK Stockholm		37.2%
35.3%		27.4%
+380
-128
+375
-125
1
2		-0.62083-0.63828-1.04024
Hammarby
Elfsborg		35.5%
41.3%		23.2%
+211
+125
+215
+125
2
2		-1.34392-1.29927-1.46136
AIK Stockholm
Sirius		43.2%
31.7%		25.1%
+103
+268
+100
+270
1
0		-0.74206-0.74381-0.83919
Elfsborg
Hammarby		35.5%
41.3%		23.2%
+248
+103
+265
-105
2
0		-1.29262-1.34289-1.03482
Hammarby
Göteborg		43.6%
32.8%		23.6%
+195
+136
+190
+140
0
0		-1.32062-1.29891-1.44380
Ostersund
Hacken		18.7%
61.0%		20.3%
+900
-232
+680
-220
0
5		-0.33071-0.42443-0.49490
Hammarby
Ostersund		57.7%
23.6%		18.7%
-119
+310
-130
+340
1
1		-1.39404-1.39897-1.67451
Elfsborg
Hacken		33.7%
38.7%		27.6%
+160
+168
+160
+165
1
1		-1.31584-1.28888-1.28685
Kalmar
AIK Stockholm		22.8%
54.4%		22.9%
+355
-110
+400
-130
0
2		-0.67082-0.62021-0.60936
Ostersund
Elfsborg		19.4%
64.1%		16.5%
+608
-204
+540
-210
0
3		-0.42725-0.43926-0.44479
Hacken
Kalmar		52.1%
24.0%		23.9%
+165
+189
+170
+180
3
2		-0.99973-1.04214-0.65214
Göteborg
Ostersund		45.2%
28.6%		26.2%
+136
+215
+125
+225
3
2		-0.89253-0.86034-0.79383
Elfsborg
Göteborg		42.1%
31.7%		26.3%
+180
+162
+165
+170
1
0		-1.06627-1.02407-0.86538
AIK Stockholm
Hacken		29.7%
42.2%		28.0%
+255
+113
+240
+120
1
2		-0.80292-0.83884-0.86164
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Norrkoping (5-0-1, 16 pts)5.00.01.016.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Sirius (3-1-2, 11 pts)3.01.02.011.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
3Varberg (3-2-1, 10 pts)3.02.01.010.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
4Hacken (2-0-4, 10 pts)2.00.04.010.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
5Elfsborg (2-0-4, 10 pts)2.00.04.010.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
6Mjallby (3-2-1, 10 pts)3.02.01.010.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Malmo (2-1-3, 9 pts)2.01.03.09.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8AIK Stockholm (2-2-2, 8 pts)2.02.02.08.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Göteborg (2-2-2, 8 pts)2.02.02.08.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Djurgarden (2-3-1, 7 pts)2.03.01.07.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Hammarby (2-3-1, 7 pts)2.03.01.07.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Kalmar (2-4-0, 6 pts)2.04.00.06.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Orebro (1-2-3, 6 pts)1.02.03.06.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Falkenberg (1-3-2, 5 pts)1.03.02.05.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Ostersund (1-4-1, 4 pts)1.04.01.04.00.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%
16Helsingborg (0-4-2, 2 pts)0.04.02.02.00.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%

Predictions Methodology

The Swedish Allsvenskan season typically runs from the beginning to April to the beginning of November. Each of the sixteen teams play a home-and-home with every other team in the Allsvenskan to play thirty games total for the season. The bottom two teams get relegated and the third to the bottom placed team plays in a two leg match against the 3rd placed Superettan team to see who qualifies for the Allsvenskan.