Sweden Allsvenskan Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 27, 2025

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TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Hammarby
Hacken 		33.1%
40.6%		26.2%
+120
+205

1.22
1.39		2.61
o2¾-110
u2¾-110

Elfsborg
AIK Stockholm 		37.5%
34.2%		28.2%
+205
+130

1.19
1.12		2.31
o2¼-116
u2¼+102

Games for Apr 26, 2025
Games for Apr 28, 2025

Completed Games

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TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Ostersund
Göteborg		24.5%
52.2%		23.3%
+1213
-417
+1150
-425
0
4		-0.25089-0.26338-0.64913
Göteborg
Sirius		39.0%
35.7%		25.2%
+170
+185
+150
+195
3
3		-1.24109-1.21335-1.37733
Ostersund
AIK Stockholm		21.3%
56.6%		22.2%
+1700
-600
+2000
-700
0
3		-0.19584-0.18311-0.56941
Hacken
Ostersund		54.6%
22.6%		22.8%
-180
+470
-190
+460
1
1		-1.54384-1.57591-1.47964
Hammarby
Sirius		49.4%
29.3%		21.3%
-135
+340
-155
+360
1
0		-0.59014-0.54901-0.70437
Ostersund
Hammarby		19.4%
63.9%		16.8%
+1700
-625
+1350
-550
3
4		-0.18723-0.21875-0.44840
Sirius
Elfsborg		24.4%
55.5%		20.1%
+710
-259
+625
-250
0
3		-0.36667-0.38737-0.58853
AIK Stockholm
Hammarby		31.3%
45.0%		23.7%
+192
+155
+175
+150
0
1		-0.96192-0.96840-0.79773
Sirius
Kalmar		39.3%
35.1%		25.6%
+420
-145
+450
-160
1
3		-0.56365-0.54089-1.04574
Göteborg
Elfsborg		27.5%
49.3%		23.2%
+490
-174
+495
-180
0
1		-0.49581-0.48970-0.70710
Kalmar
Göteborg		25.9%
49.6%		24.5%
+161
+185
+160
+190
2
0		-0.99398-1.00622-1.35070
Hammarby
Hacken		35.2%
40.4%		24.4%
+145
+179
+145
+180
1
1		-1.34450-1.30254-1.41243
Göteborg
Hammarby		28.0%
50.2%		21.9%
+375
-152
+380
-160
0
3		-0.54822-0.54025-0.68965
AIK Stockholm
Kalmar		47.5%
26.9%		25.6%
+140
+220
+135
+230
1
1		-1.20614-1.18130-1.36215
Göteborg
AIK Stockholm		30.1%
43.7%		26.2%
+350
-110
+380
-115
1
3		-0.69021-0.67537-0.82823
Elfsborg
Ostersund		56.1%
23.0%		20.9%
-159
+430
-155
+420
1
3		-1.70760-1.69756-1.47076
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Season Prediction Results

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 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20
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#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Norrkoping (5-0-1, 16 pts)5.00.01.016.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Sirius (3-1-2, 11 pts)3.01.02.011.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
3Varberg (3-2-1, 10 pts)3.02.01.010.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
4Hacken (2-0-4, 10 pts)2.00.04.010.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
5Elfsborg (2-0-4, 10 pts)2.00.04.010.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
6Mjallby (3-2-1, 10 pts)3.02.01.010.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Malmo (2-1-3, 9 pts)2.01.03.09.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8AIK Stockholm (2-2-2, 8 pts)2.02.02.08.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Göteborg (2-2-2, 8 pts)2.02.02.08.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Djurgarden (2-3-1, 7 pts)2.03.01.07.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Hammarby (2-3-1, 7 pts)2.03.01.07.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Kalmar (2-4-0, 6 pts)2.04.00.06.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Orebro (1-2-3, 6 pts)1.02.03.06.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Falkenberg (1-3-2, 5 pts)1.03.02.05.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Ostersund (1-4-1, 4 pts)1.04.01.04.00.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%
16Helsingborg (0-4-2, 2 pts)0.04.02.02.00.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%

Predictions Methodology

The Swedish Allsvenskan season typically runs from the beginning to April to the beginning of November. Each of the sixteen teams play a home-and-home with every other team in the Allsvenskan to play thirty games total for the season. The bottom two teams get relegated and the third to the bottom placed team plays in a two leg match against the 3rd placed Superettan team to see who qualifies for the Allsvenskan.