Sweden Allsvenskan Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 21, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
AIK Stockholm
Kalmar 		51.0%
22.5%		26.5%
-115
+300
-120
+310
1.46
0.88		2.34
o2½-105
u2½-115

Games for Sep 20, 2024
Games for Sep 22, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Hammarby
Kalmar		54.7%
25.0%		20.3%
+147
+195
+140
+190
1
2		-1.12763-1.11480-1.38814
Sirius
Ostersund		40.6%
32.6%		26.8%
+156
+174
+165
+170
0
3		-1.05243-1.04276-1.12021
AIK Stockholm
Ostersund		50.1%
25.4%		24.5%
-122
+375
-125
+370
2
1		-0.63433-0.63660-0.69071
Sirius
Göteborg		30.2%
44.5%		25.3%
+355
-130
+360
-130
2
2		-1.09255-1.09641-1.00356
Göteborg
Kalmar		42.5%
30.0%		27.5%
+185
+174
+190
+170
0
0		-1.06837-1.07636-1.02982
Elfsborg
Sirius		48.3%
28.6%		23.1%
+147
+210
+140
+210
2
0		-0.91330-0.92591-0.72817
Kalmar
Elfsborg		20.7%
61.2%		18.2%
+295
+108
+320
+100
2
2		-1.08072-1.11348-1.03398
Hacken
Göteborg		40.8%
31.1%		28.1%
+159
+183
+160
+170
1
1		-1.04203-1.03077-1.03240
Sirius
Hammarby		24.8%
56.6%		18.5%
+464
-167
+385
-130
2
3		-0.51094-0.62228-0.56849
Elfsborg
AIK Stockholm		37.0%
34.7%		28.2%
+215
+131
+220
+130
0
1		-0.88496-0.88201-1.05760
Hacken
Hammarby		33.9%
39.9%		26.2%
+215
+125
+215
+125
1
1		-1.02569-1.02569-0.99972
Kalmar
Sirius		29.7%
44.7%		25.6%
+193
+161
+195
+160
1
1		-1.06313-1.06884-1.01007
Hammarby
AIK Stockholm		37.8%
35.4%		26.8%
+207
+147
+200
+140
0
2		-0.93290-0.92712-1.03767
Sirius
Hacken		24.2%
54.5%		21.4%
+479
-145
+475
-155
2
1		-1.78017-1.79993-1.41985
AIK Stockholm
Göteborg		36.5%
34.0%		29.5%
+153
+205
+145
+210
0
2		-1.16488-1.17847-1.07910
Ostersund
Kalmar		32.0%
41.4%		26.6%
+280
+115
+240
+120
0
0		-1.08375-1.05651-1.01074

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Norrkoping (5-0-1, 16 pts)5.00.01.016.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Sirius (3-1-2, 11 pts)3.01.02.011.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
3Varberg (3-2-1, 10 pts)3.02.01.010.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
4Hacken (2-0-4, 10 pts)2.00.04.010.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
5Elfsborg (2-0-4, 10 pts)2.00.04.010.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
6Mjallby (3-2-1, 10 pts)3.02.01.010.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Malmo (2-1-3, 9 pts)2.01.03.09.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8AIK Stockholm (2-2-2, 8 pts)2.02.02.08.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Göteborg (2-2-2, 8 pts)2.02.02.08.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Djurgarden (2-3-1, 7 pts)2.03.01.07.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Hammarby (2-3-1, 7 pts)2.03.01.07.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Kalmar (2-4-0, 6 pts)2.04.00.06.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Orebro (1-2-3, 6 pts)1.02.03.06.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Falkenberg (1-3-2, 5 pts)1.03.02.05.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Ostersund (1-4-1, 4 pts)1.04.01.04.00.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%
16Helsingborg (0-4-2, 2 pts)0.04.02.02.00.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%

Predictions Methodology

The Swedish Allsvenskan season typically runs from the beginning to April to the beginning of November. Each of the sixteen teams play a home-and-home with every other team in the Allsvenskan to play thirty games total for the season. The bottom two teams get relegated and the third to the bottom placed team plays in a two leg match against the 3rd placed Superettan team to see who qualifies for the Allsvenskan.