Sweden Allsvenskan Predictions

Updated 14 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
05/31/2026 12:00 PM	Hammarby Hacken	33.1% 40.6%	26.2%	+119 +205	2 3	-1.17196	-0.90054
05/30/2026 01:00 PM	Sirius AIK Stockholm	21.9% 53.8%	24.2%	+105 +240	3 0	-0.77223	-1.51809
05/25/2026 05:00 PM	Hacken Elfsborg	32.0% 40.4%	27.6%	+152 +176	1 1	-1.28620	-1.28739
05/24/2026 12:00 PM	AIK Stockholm Hammarby	27.5% 47.4%	25.0%	+520 -210	2 1	-1.88368	-1.28935
05/09/2026 01:00 PM	Hammarby Göteborg	45.4% 29.6%	25.0%	-169 +440	1 0	-0.52342	-0.79019
05/03/2026 02:30 PM	AIK Stockholm Elfsborg	27.2% 46.3%	26.4%	+164 +180	1 1	-1.21043	-1.33078
05/02/2026 01:00 PM	Kalmar Sirius	26.2% 48.0%	25.8%	+550 -222	2 3	-0.43078	-0.73493
04/27/2026 05:00 PM	Elfsborg Kalmar	59.0% 18.5%	22.5%	+198 +150	1 2	-0.96795	-1.68740
04/27/2026 05:00 PM	Sirius Hacken	18.0% 59.8%	22.2%	+119 +205	2 2	-1.37164	-1.50666
04/23/2026 05:00 PM	Göteborg Kalmar	45.1% 27.3%	27.6%	+210 +132	1 1	-1.27036	-1.28674
04/19/2026 12:00 PM	Kalmar AIK Stockholm	17.0% 59.4%	23.6%	+390 -139	0 1	-0.59642	-0.52136
04/13/2026 05:00 PM	Hammarby Sirius	53.6% 24.0%	22.4%	+165 +170	0 2	-1.03846	-1.42649
04/11/2026 01:00 PM	Hacken Göteborg	42.8% 29.0%	28.2%	+140 +200	2 0	-0.94074	-0.84765
04/06/2026 12:00 PM	Göteborg Elfsborg	22.5% 53.5%	24.0%	+255 +132	0 2	-0.87132	-0.62526
11/09/2025 02:00 PM	Elfsborg Hammarby	33.3% 41.7%	25.0%	+395 -185	0 3	-0.49199	-0.87349
11/02/2025 01:00 PM	AIK Stockholm Elfsborg	27.2% 46.3%	26.4%	+178 +140	3 0	-1.06462	-1.30133

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation
1	Norrkoping (5-0-1, 16 pts)	5.0	0.0	1.0	16.0	100.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
2	Sirius (3-1-2, 11 pts)	3.0	1.0	2.0	11.0	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%
3	Varberg (3-2-1, 10 pts)	3.0	2.0	1.0	10.0	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%
4	Hacken (2-0-4, 10 pts)	2.0	0.0	4.0	10.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
5	Elfsborg (2-0-4, 10 pts)	2.0	0.0	4.0	10.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
6	Mjallby (3-2-1, 10 pts)	3.0	2.0	1.0	10.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
7	Malmo (2-1-3, 9 pts)	2.0	1.0	3.0	9.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
8	AIK Stockholm (2-2-2, 8 pts)	2.0	2.0	2.0	8.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
9	Göteborg (2-2-2, 8 pts)	2.0	2.0	2.0	8.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
10	Djurgarden (2-3-1, 7 pts)	2.0	3.0	1.0	7.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
11	Hammarby (2-3-1, 7 pts)	2.0	3.0	1.0	7.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
12	Kalmar (2-4-0, 6 pts)	2.0	4.0	0.0	6.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
13	Orebro (1-2-3, 6 pts)	1.0	2.0	3.0	6.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
14	Falkenberg (1-3-2, 5 pts)	1.0	3.0	2.0	5.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
15	Ostersund (1-4-1, 4 pts)	1.0	4.0	1.0	4.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%
16	Helsingborg (0-4-2, 2 pts)	0.0	4.0	2.0	2.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%

Predictions Methodology

The Swedish Allsvenskan season typically runs from the beginning to April to the beginning of November. Each of the sixteen teams play a home-and-home with every other team in the Allsvenskan to play thirty games total for the season. The bottom two teams get relegated and the third to the bottom placed team plays in a two leg match against the 3rd placed Superettan team to see who qualifies for the Allsvenskan.