Sweden Allsvenskan Predictions

Updated 124 days ago

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Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
08/22/2021 01:00 PM	Hammarby Elfsborg	35.5% 41.3%	23.2%	+211 +125 +215 +125	2 2	-1.34392-1.29927	-1.46136
08/16/2021 05:00 PM	AIK Stockholm Sirius	43.2% 31.7%	25.1%	+103 +268 +100 +270	1 0	-0.74206-0.74381	-0.83919
08/15/2021 03:30 PM	Elfsborg Hammarby	35.5% 41.3%	23.2%	+248 +103 +265 -105	2 0	-1.29262-1.34289	-1.03482
08/08/2021 03:30 PM	Hammarby Göteborg	43.6% 32.8%	23.6%	+195 +136 +190 +140	0 0	-1.32062-1.29891	-1.44380
08/08/2021 01:00 PM	Ostersund Hacken	18.7% 61.0%	20.3%	+900 -232 +680 -220	0 5	-0.33071-0.42443	-0.49490
08/01/2021 03:30 PM	Hammarby Ostersund	57.7% 23.6%	18.7%	-119 +310 -130 +340	1 1	-1.39404-1.39897	-1.67451
07/25/2021 03:30 PM	Elfsborg Hacken	33.7% 38.7%	27.6%	+160 +168 +160 +165	1 1	-1.31584-1.28888	-1.28685
07/18/2021 03:30 PM	Kalmar AIK Stockholm	22.8% 54.4%	22.9%	+355 -110 +400 -130	0 2	-0.67082-0.62021	-0.60936
07/17/2021 03:30 PM	Ostersund Elfsborg	19.4% 64.1%	16.5%	+608 -204 +540 -210	0 3	-0.42725-0.43926	-0.44479
07/12/2021 05:00 PM	Hacken Kalmar	52.1% 24.0%	23.9%	+165 +189 +170 +180	3 2	-0.99973-1.04214	-0.65214
07/11/2021 03:30 PM	Göteborg Ostersund	45.2% 28.6%	26.2%	+136 +215 +125 +225	3 2	-0.89253-0.86034	-0.79383
07/05/2021 05:00 PM	Elfsborg Göteborg	42.1% 31.7%	26.3%	+180 +162 +165 +170	1 0	-1.06627-1.02407	-0.86538
07/04/2021 01:00 PM	AIK Stockholm Hacken	29.7% 42.2%	28.0%	+255 +113 +240 +120	1 2	-0.80292-0.83884	-0.86164
05/23/2021 01:00 PM	Hammarby Kalmar	54.7% 25.0%	20.3%	+147 +195 +140 +190	1 2	-1.12763-1.11480	-1.38814
05/22/2021 03:30 PM	Sirius Ostersund	40.6% 32.6%	26.8%	+156 +174 +165 +170	0 3	-1.05243-1.04276	-1.12021
05/17/2021 04:30 PM	AIK Stockholm Ostersund	50.1% 25.4%	24.5%	-122 +375 -125 +370	2 1	-0.63433-0.63660	-0.69071

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation
1	Norrkoping (5-0-1, 16 pts)	5.0	0.0	1.0	16.0	100.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
2	Sirius (3-1-2, 11 pts)	3.0	1.0	2.0	11.0	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%
3	Varberg (3-2-1, 10 pts)	3.0	2.0	1.0	10.0	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%
4	Hacken (2-0-4, 10 pts)	2.0	0.0	4.0	10.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
5	Elfsborg (2-0-4, 10 pts)	2.0	0.0	4.0	10.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
6	Mjallby (3-2-1, 10 pts)	3.0	2.0	1.0	10.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
7	Malmo (2-1-3, 9 pts)	2.0	1.0	3.0	9.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
8	AIK Stockholm (2-2-2, 8 pts)	2.0	2.0	2.0	8.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
9	Göteborg (2-2-2, 8 pts)	2.0	2.0	2.0	8.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
10	Djurgarden (2-3-1, 7 pts)	2.0	3.0	1.0	7.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
11	Hammarby (2-3-1, 7 pts)	2.0	3.0	1.0	7.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
12	Kalmar (2-4-0, 6 pts)	2.0	4.0	0.0	6.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
13	Orebro (1-2-3, 6 pts)	1.0	2.0	3.0	6.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
14	Falkenberg (1-3-2, 5 pts)	1.0	3.0	2.0	5.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
15	Ostersund (1-4-1, 4 pts)	1.0	4.0	1.0	4.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%
16	Helsingborg (0-4-2, 2 pts)	0.0	4.0	2.0	2.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%

Predictions Methodology

The Swedish Allsvenskan season typically runs from the beginning to April to the beginning of November. Each of the sixteen teams play a home-and-home with every other team in the Allsvenskan to play thirty games total for the season. The bottom two teams get relegated and the third to the bottom placed team plays in a two leg match against the 3rd placed Superettan team to see who qualifies for the Allsvenskan.