Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 21, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Sivasspor
Konyaspor 		40.6%
31.5%		27.9%
+225
+116
+230
+120
1.27
1.08		2.35
o2¼-115
u2¼-104

Galatasaray
Fenerbahce 		39.5%
33.8%		26.8%
+220
+115
+225
+110
1.33
1.20		2.53
o3-104
u3-112

Games for Sep 20, 2024
Games for Sep 22, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Kayserispor
Trabzonspor		11.8%
70.2%		17.9%
+440
-172
+400
-155
2
2		-1.48921-1.46145-1.71886
Gaziantep FK
Galatasaray		20.5%
56.7%		22.8%
+900
-476
+1250
-535
1
3		-0.27009-0.22007-0.56763
Besiktas
Trabzonspor		38.7%
35.0%		26.3%
+145
+180
+140
+190
1
1		-1.29204-1.28844-1.33499
Hatayspor
Alanyaspor		30.9%
43.1%		25.9%
+340
-132
+375
-135
0
0		-1.36258-1.37215-1.34904
Fenerbahce
Kasımpaşa		57.7%
20.7%		21.6%
-204
+460
-220
+515
2
0		-0.46601-0.42358-0.55012
Rizespor
Galatasaray		10.9%
71.9%		17.2%
+625
-300
+750
-330
0
5		-0.34627-0.31516-0.32930
Gaziantep FK
Sivasspor		36.0%
36.5%		27.5%
+240
+111
+230
+120
2
3		-0.81114-0.83884-1.00884
Sivasspor
Besiktas		18.7%
59.7%		21.6%
+700
-323
+750
-300
0
2		-0.34752-0.33596-0.51589
Antalyaspor
Trabzonspor		18.5%
59.3%		22.2%
+370
-125
+350
-125
2
5		-0.63286-0.63824-0.52256
Kayserispor
Konyaspor		24.6%
49.4%		25.9%
+270
+104
+295
-105
0
0		-1.28746-1.30258-1.34950
Kasımpaşa
Rizespor		34.3%
39.2%		26.5%
+245
+100
+240
+110
1
0		-1.30745-1.27075-1.07110
Alanyaspor
Fenerbahce		34.7%
38.9%		26.4%
+740
-345
+780
-340
0
3		-0.33105-0.30691-0.94446
Hatayspor
Antalyaspor		51.1%
24.5%		24.4%
+190
+150
+190
+150
2
3		-0.96304-0.96748-1.40768
Fenerbahce
Rizespor		59.0%
19.5%		21.4%
-135
+330
-140
+345
5
0		-0.61582-0.58965-0.52690
Goztepe
Alanyaspor		17.0%
62.0%		21.0%
+230
+129
+230
+130
1
1		-1.20301-1.21221-1.55841
Kasımpaşa
Hatayspor		15.1%
66.1%		18.8%
+175
+160
+170
+155
1
1		-1.23309-1.28942-1.67147
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.48921 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.46145 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.71886
-0.22965
-0.25741

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)21.23.39.573.282.3%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)19.63.610.869.717.7%99.3%0.7%0.0%
3Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)17.06.910.161.20.0%0.7%87.8%0.0%
4Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)16.36.811.059.80.0%0.0%79.7%0.0%
5Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)15.010.18.954.00.0%0.0%4.5%0.0%
6Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)16.811.16.156.50.0%0.0%17.9%0.0%
7Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)14.99.110.154.70.0%0.0%9.4%0.0%
8Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)11.113.79.142.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)10.811.112.144.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)10.112.911.041.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)11.115.87.140.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
12Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)8.815.49.836.30.0%0.0%0.0%4.2%
13Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)8.616.68.734.70.0%0.0%0.0%22.0%
14Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)8.717.57.833.80.0%0.0%0.0%47.4%
15Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)6.814.312.933.30.0%0.0%0.0%47.8%
16Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)8.216.79.133.60.0%0.0%0.0%38.1%
17Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)9.218.56.233.90.0%0.0%0.0%43.6%
18Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)6.017.011.029.00.0%0.0%0.0%96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.