Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Fenerbahce
Besiktas
27.9%
48.1%
24.0%
+115
+220
+120
+220
3
2
-0.83882-0.83605-1.27651
Kasımpaşa
Kayserispor
39.0%
33.9%
27.1%
+240
+115
+255
+105
2
3
-0.81744-0.76776-1.08255
Trabzonspor
Galatasaray
26.2%
48.3%
25.5%
+580
-265
+530
-230
0
0
-1.69614-1.68767-1.36575
Genclerbirligi
Goztepe
21.9%
54.5%
23.5%
+550
-189
+525
-180
0
1
-0.48089-0.49040-0.60658
Fenerbahce
Gaziantep FK
40.6%
33.7%
25.8%
-157
+375
-150
+380
4
0
-0.55335-0.55893-0.90202
Besiktas
Kasımpaşa
63.9%
16.6%
19.4%
-145
+360
-130
+330
1
1
-1.44384-1.42341-1.63748
Goztepe
Galatasaray
14.0%
66.4%
19.6%
+625
-270
+700
-280
1
3
-0.38245-0.35637-0.40968
Konyaspor
Genclerbirligi
42.0%
30.7%
27.4%
+141
+199
+135
+215
2
1
-0.94433-0.90387-0.86838
Trabzonspor
Antalyaspor
50.4%
24.6%
24.9%
-123
+325
+135
+200
4
0
-0.66890-0.90604-0.68478
Kayserispor
Karagumruk
15.2%
64.4%
20.3%
+220
+117
+215
+115
2
2
-1.32051-1.35981-1.59327
Besiktas
Konyaspor
60.3%
18.2%
21.5%
+124
+200
+120
+215
2
0
-0.87774-0.83704-0.50549
Trabzonspor
Rizespor
58.0%
19.7%
22.3%
+180
+149
+200
+135
0
0
-1.30660-1.28591-1.49915
Karagumruk
Fenerbahce
26.9%
48.9%
24.1%
+825
-425
+1100
-510
1
2
-0.28608-0.22877-0.71478
Antalyaspor
Gaziantep FK
23.9%
51.7%
24.4%
+335
-115
+375
-130
2
3
-0.67113-0.61906-0.66054
Goztepe
Alanyaspor
17.0%
62.0%
21.0%
+172
+164
+185
+170
0
1
-1.04245-1.04120-0.47820
Galatasaray
Trabzonspor
39.3%
33.2%
27.5%
-149
+350
-150
+350
2
1
-0.57056-0.56163-0.93364
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)21.23.39.573.282.3%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)19.63.610.869.717.7%99.3%0.7%0.0%
3Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)17.06.910.161.20.0%0.7%87.8%0.0%
4Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)16.36.811.059.80.0%0.0%79.7%0.0%
5Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)15.010.18.954.00.0%0.0%4.5%0.0%
6Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)16.811.16.156.50.0%0.0%17.9%0.0%
7Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)14.99.110.154.70.0%0.0%9.4%0.0%
8Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)11.113.79.142.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)10.811.112.144.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)10.112.911.041.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)11.115.87.140.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
12Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)8.815.49.836.30.0%0.0%0.0%4.2%
13Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)8.616.68.734.70.0%0.0%0.0%22.0%
14Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)8.717.57.833.80.0%0.0%0.0%47.4%
15Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)6.814.312.933.30.0%0.0%0.0%47.8%
16Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)8.216.79.133.60.0%0.0%0.0%38.1%
17Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)9.218.56.233.90.0%0.0%0.0%43.6%
18Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)6.017.011.029.00.0%0.0%0.0%96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.