Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 21, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Sivasspor
Konyaspor 		40.6%
31.5%		27.9%
+260
+100
+250
+110
1.27
1.08		2.35
o2¼-114
u2¼-102

Galatasaray
Fenerbahce 		39.5%
33.8%		26.8%
+220
+115
+220
+110
1.33
1.20		2.53
o3+101
u3-118

Games for Sep 20, 2024
Games for Sep 22, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Alanyaspor
Trabzonspor		34.6%
38.1%		27.2%
+295
+105
+255
+115
2
3		-0.75914-0.81410-0.96414
Kasımpaşa
Ankaragucu		43.8%
30.0%		26.1%
+210
+135
+210
+135
1
3		-0.89414-0.90429-1.20314
Galatasaray
Sivasspor		50.9%
23.7%		25.4%
-153
+415
-180
+450
1
1		-1.43406-1.53225-1.37062
Konyaspor
Fenerbahce		50.0%
50.0%		0.0%


1
7
Kayserispor
Karagumruk		50.0%
50.0%		0.0%


1
4
Gaziantep FK
Hatayspor		50.0%
50.0%		0.0%


0
0
Alanyaspor
Besiktas		29.5%
45.2%		25.2%
+435
-155
+405
-160
3
1		-1.70507-1.67232-1.21993
Hatayspor
Ankaragucu		67.9%
13.5%		18.6%
+243
+125
+245
+120
0
0		-1.23220-1.22946-1.68314
Kasımpaşa
Antalyaspor		28.3%
46.1%		25.6%
+275
+101
+285
-110
0
0		-1.36004-1.37074-1.36094
Karagumruk
Galatasaray		21.1%
55.5%		23.4%
+900
-390
+1000
-425
0
1		-0.27682-0.25874-0.58821
Fenerbahce
Kayserispor		63.6%
16.1%		20.3%
-175
+475
-195
+500
4
3		-0.48159-0.46267-0.45194
Sivasspor
Trabzonspor		23.1%
52.6%		24.3%
+257
+121
+225
+120
1
3		-0.81769-0.83924-0.64183
Sivasspor
Konyaspor		40.6%
31.5%		27.9%
+282
+105
+270
+105
1
0		-1.38721-1.35922-0.90081
Rizespor
Ankaragucu		41.6%
31.2%		27.1%
+270
+105
+260
+105
1
1		-1.28518-1.30280-1.30512
Trabzonspor
Gaziantep FK		39.9%
33.7%		26.4%
+110
+285
+110
+255
3
1		-0.76740-0.79264-0.91879
Hatayspor
Trabzonspor		33.2%
40.8%		26.0%
+290
-105
+300
-105
0
1		-0.71812-0.71980-0.89715
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.48921 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.46145 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.71886
-0.22965
-0.25741

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)21.23.39.573.282.3%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)19.63.610.869.717.7%99.3%0.7%0.0%
3Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)17.06.910.161.20.0%0.7%87.8%0.0%
4Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)16.36.811.059.80.0%0.0%79.7%0.0%
5Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)15.010.18.954.00.0%0.0%4.5%0.0%
6Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)16.811.16.156.50.0%0.0%17.9%0.0%
7Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)14.99.110.154.70.0%0.0%9.4%0.0%
8Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)11.113.79.142.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)10.811.112.144.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)10.112.911.041.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)11.115.87.140.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
12Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)8.815.49.836.30.0%0.0%0.0%4.2%
13Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)8.616.68.734.70.0%0.0%0.0%22.0%
14Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)8.717.57.833.80.0%0.0%0.0%47.4%
15Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)6.814.312.933.30.0%0.0%0.0%47.8%
16Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)8.216.79.133.60.0%0.0%0.0%38.1%
17Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)9.218.56.233.90.0%0.0%0.0%43.6%
18Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)6.017.011.029.00.0%0.0%0.0%96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.