Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated 30 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
10/18/2025 02:00 PM	Genclerbirligi Besiktas	8.8% 76.9%	14.3%	+1000 -435 +1050 -430	2 1	-2.45877-2.49314	-2.43486
10/18/2025 02:00 PM	Trabzonspor Rizespor	58.0% 19.7%	22.3%	+133 +205 +135 +200	2 1	-0.89578-0.90604	-0.54547
10/05/2025 05:00 PM	Trabzonspor Goztepe	51.0% 24.7%	24.3%	+320 -112 +355 -120	0 1	-0.70956-0.65583	-1.39845
10/05/2025 02:00 PM	Gaziantep FK Karagumruk	32.2% 42.0%	25.9%	+142 +193 +140 +195	2 0	-0.93974-0.92402	-1.13466
10/05/2025 11:30 AM	Konyaspor Kasımpaşa	34.5% 38.1%	27.4%	+150 +178 +165 +165	1 1	-1.23285-1.27147	-1.29441
10/04/2025 05:00 PM	Besiktas Galatasaray	31.5% 42.2%	26.3%	+310 -142 +380 -165	1 1	-1.51086-1.56466	-1.33728
10/04/2025 11:30 AM	Alanyaspor Genclerbirligi	66.3% 14.3%	19.4%	+128 +215 +120 +240	2 2	-1.22946-1.24434	-1.63871
10/03/2025 05:00 PM	Kayserispor Trabzonspor	11.8% 70.2%	17.9%	+600 -238 +610 -240	0 4	-0.41318-0.39988	-0.35351
10/03/2025 05:00 PM	Rizespor Antalyaspor	26.8% 47.3%	25.9%	+169 +164 +175 +170	5 2	-1.06502-1.06178	-1.31815
09/28/2025 05:00 PM	Genclerbirligi Kayserispor	31.4% 41.3%	27.4%	+215 +129 +250 +115	1 1	-1.22769-1.25713	-1.29620
09/28/2025 05:00 PM	Antalyaspor Fenerbahce	18.3% 60.3%	21.4%	+975 -417 +1200 -475	0 2	-0.27285-0.24095	-0.50637
09/28/2025 02:00 PM	Trabzonspor Konyaspor	53.3% 22.5%	24.2%	+235 +123 +255 +115	1 2	-0.84646-0.81410	-1.49072
09/28/2025 02:00 PM	Kasımpaşa Rizespor	34.3% 39.2%	26.5%	+265 -101 +275 +105	2 1	-1.36293-1.36920	-1.07110
09/27/2025 05:00 PM	Trabzonspor Karagumruk	39.0% 34.3%	26.7%	+113 +235 +115 +220	4 3	-0.80462-0.81577	-0.94222
09/26/2025 05:00 PM	Galatasaray Alanyaspor	36.8% 35.2%	28.0%	-238 +550 -205 +555	1 0	-0.41705-0.44563	-0.99916
09/24/2025 05:00 PM	Besiktas Kayserispor	69.2% 12.8%	18.0%	-160 +400 -135 +340	4 0	-0.53495-0.60475	-0.36882

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation
1	Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)	21.2	3.3	9.5	73.2	82.3%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
2	Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)	19.6	3.6	10.8	69.7	17.7%	99.3%	0.7%	0.0%
3	Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)	17.0	6.9	10.1	61.2	0.0%	0.7%	87.8%	0.0%
4	Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)	16.3	6.8	11.0	59.8	0.0%	0.0%	79.7%	0.0%
5	Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)	15.0	10.1	8.9	54.0	0.0%	0.0%	4.5%	0.0%
6	Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)	16.8	11.1	6.1	56.5	0.0%	0.0%	17.9%	0.0%
7	Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)	14.9	9.1	10.1	54.7	0.0%	0.0%	9.4%	0.0%
8	Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)	11.1	13.7	9.1	42.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
9	Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)	10.8	11.1	12.1	44.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
10	Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)	10.1	12.9	11.0	41.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
11	Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)	11.1	15.8	7.1	40.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%
12	Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)	8.8	15.4	9.8	36.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	4.2%
13	Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)	8.6	16.6	8.7	34.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	22.0%
14	Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)	8.7	17.5	7.8	33.8	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	47.4%
15	Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)	6.8	14.3	12.9	33.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	47.8%
16	Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)	8.2	16.7	9.1	33.6	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	38.1%
17	Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)	9.2	18.5	6.2	33.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	43.6%
18	Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)	6.0	17.0	11.0	29.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.