Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Konyaspor
Galatasaray
12.7%
67.9%
19.4%
+1000
-455
+1100
-475
1
3
-0.26125-0.24201-0.38716
Fenerbahce
Kasımpaşa
57.7%
20.7%
21.6%
-312
+760
-300
+800
1
1
-1.70452-1.71630-1.53289
Alanyaspor
Trabzonspor
34.6%
38.1%
27.2%
+330
-101
+310
-110
1
1
-1.24195-1.30482-1.30056
Gaziantep FK
Trabzonspor
26.4%
49.1%
24.5%
+350
-134
+390
-140
1
1
-1.39139-1.38434-1.40646
Kayserispor
Antalyaspor
22.6%
52.3%
25.2%
+195
+138
+225
+130
1
1
-1.25425-1.22758-1.37976
Besiktas
Goztepe
58.2%
20.1%
21.7%
+200
+128
+205
+130
0
3
-0.87640-0.88409-1.60679
Trabzonspor
Karagumruk
39.0%
34.3%
26.7%
+100
+265
-110
+295
2
0
-0.75901-0.69631-0.94222
Alanyaspor
Fenerbahce
34.7%
38.9%
26.4%
+950
-400
+1000
-390
2
2
-1.81609-1.85784-1.33366
Genclerbirligi
Rizespor
27.2%
47.4%
25.4%
+500
-164
+510
-175
0
1
-0.52261-0.50106-0.74638
Trabzonspor
Fenerbahce
32.7%
41.5%
25.8%
+610
-240
+625
-225
0
1
-0.41499-0.41885-0.87943
Goztepe
Kayserispor
43.8%
29.4%
26.8%
+111
+255
+100
+275
1
1
-1.27229-1.30383-1.31707
Alanyaspor
Konyaspor
55.4%
20.8%
23.8%
+275
-101
+280
+105
2
1
-1.38721-1.38326-0.59066
Trabzonspor
Besiktas
27.5%
47.9%
24.5%
+350
-132
+450
-170
1
2
-0.61042-0.51371-0.73543
Kasımpaşa
Karagumruk
19.6%
58.9%
21.5%
+142
+215
+145
+210
1
0
-0.94069-0.94804-1.62954
Besiktas
Alanyaspor
36.2%
37.0%
26.8%
-101
+270
+105
+250
0
2
-1.36516-1.30280-0.99417
Fenerbahce
Genclerbirligi
65.2%
15.4%
19.3%
-230
+610
-215
+595
3
1
-0.43157-0.43181-0.42701
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)21.23.39.573.282.3%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)19.63.610.869.717.7%99.3%0.7%0.0%
3Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)17.06.910.161.20.0%0.7%87.8%0.0%
4Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)16.36.811.059.80.0%0.0%79.7%0.0%
5Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)15.010.18.954.00.0%0.0%4.5%0.0%
6Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)16.811.16.156.50.0%0.0%17.9%0.0%
7Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)14.99.110.154.70.0%0.0%9.4%0.0%
8Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)11.113.79.142.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)10.811.112.144.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)10.112.911.041.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)11.115.87.140.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
12Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)8.815.49.836.30.0%0.0%0.0%4.2%
13Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)8.616.68.734.70.0%0.0%0.0%22.0%
14Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)8.717.57.833.80.0%0.0%0.0%47.4%
15Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)6.814.312.933.30.0%0.0%0.0%47.8%
16Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)8.216.79.133.60.0%0.0%0.0%38.1%
17Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)9.218.56.233.90.0%0.0%0.0%43.6%
18Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)6.017.011.029.00.0%0.0%0.0%96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.