Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 20, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Gaziantep FK
Trabzonspor 		26.4%
49.1%		24.5%
+350
-139
+400
-145
1.13
1.64		2.77
o2½-122
u2½+102

Kayserispor
Fenerbahce 		11.6%
71.2%		17.2%
+1300
-714
+1800
-800
0.84
2.36		3.20
o3½-107
u3½-112

Games for Apr 19, 2025
Games for Apr 25, 2025

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Besiktas
Goztepe 		58.2%
20.1%		21.7%
+145
+175
+150
+180
3.01
o2½-111
u2½-105

2nd H
73:00		1
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Kayserispor
Sivasspor		18.2%
59.0%		22.8%
+250
-120
+285
-115
1
2		-0.68711-0.67548-0.52728
Antalyaspor
Alanyaspor		17.0%
61.3%		21.7%
+310
-145
+365
-155
1
1		-1.50629-1.53058-1.52680
Fenerbahce
Galatasaray		26.5%
48.6%		24.8%
+180
+125
+185
+130
1
0		-1.08913-1.09832-1.32674
Karagumruk
Gaziantep FK		33.5%
40.1%		26.3%
+145
+176
+150
+170
1
3		-1.06991-1.04401-0.91335
Hatayspor
Besiktas		27.9%
47.9%		24.2%
+540
-210
+475
-200
2
2		-1.54080-1.60794-1.42055
Trabzonspor
Trabzonspor		32.7%
40.8%		26.5%
+210
+133
+220
+125
1
0		-1.17626-1.21295-1.11795
Konyaspor
Kayserispor		40.5%
31.4%		28.0%
+195
+185
+225
+185
2
2		-0.95036-0.98556-1.27161
Kasımpaşa
Rizespor		34.3%
39.2%		26.5%
+190
+129
+190
+125
0
0		-1.39821-1.39594-1.32689
Besiktas
Alanyaspor		36.2%
37.0%		26.8%
+135
+174
+135
+180
1
1		-1.35720-1.36991-1.31710
Kayserispor
Fenerbahce		11.6%
71.2%		17.2%
+1300
-625
+1350
-650
0
3		-0.21311-0.19372-0.33955
Antalyaspor
Kasımpaşa		37.1%
35.6%		27.3%
+310
-134
+355
-135
1
3		-0.62790-0.60373-1.03392
Ankaragucu
Hatayspor		9.7%
74.7%		15.6%
+165
+155
+180
+155
1
2		-0.99777-0.98709-0.29165
Trabzonspor
Sivasspor		43.5%
29.9%		26.5%
+128
+210
+130
+225
1
0		-0.88639-0.88187-0.83147
Galatasaray
Karagumruk		46.5%
27.7%		25.9%
-238
+520
-235
+550
3
2		-0.42195-0.40470-0.76606
Fenerbahce
Konyaspor		54.2%
22.4%		23.4%
-250
+650
-245
+600
0
0		-1.58905-1.66919-1.45261
Sivasspor
Galatasaray		17.8%
59.6%		22.6%
+1200
-667
+1600
-750
1
6		-0.20594-0.17327-0.51772
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.69730 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.61941 
DRatings10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.20367
-0.50637
-0.58426

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)21.23.39.573.282.3%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)19.63.610.869.717.7%99.3%0.7%0.0%
3Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)17.06.910.161.20.0%0.7%87.8%0.0%
4Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)16.36.811.059.80.0%0.0%79.7%0.0%
5Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)15.010.18.954.00.0%0.0%4.5%0.0%
6Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)16.811.16.156.50.0%0.0%17.9%0.0%
7Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)14.99.110.154.70.0%0.0%9.4%0.0%
8Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)11.113.79.142.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)10.811.112.144.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)10.112.911.041.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)11.115.87.140.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
12Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)8.815.49.836.30.0%0.0%0.0%4.2%
13Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)8.616.68.734.70.0%0.0%0.0%22.0%
14Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)8.717.57.833.80.0%0.0%0.0%47.4%
15Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)6.814.312.933.30.0%0.0%0.0%47.8%
16Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)8.216.79.133.60.0%0.0%0.0%38.1%
17Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)9.218.56.233.90.0%0.0%0.0%43.6%
18Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)6.017.011.029.00.0%0.0%0.0%96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.