Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 1, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Konyaspor
Rizespor 		35.6%
36.1%		28.3%
+250
+114

1.15
1.16		2.31
o2¾-104
u2¾-116

Besiktas
Gaziantep FK 		47.1%
28.5%		24.4%
-145
+320

1.64
1.22		2.86
o3-135
u3+115

Games for Apr 30, 2026
Games for May 2, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Sivasspor
Alanyaspor		21.3%
54.9%		23.7%
+250
-115
+280
-120
0
2		-0.69103-0.65732-0.59917
Hatayspor
Rizespor		58.9%
19.5%		21.6%
+760
-460
+800
-385
2
5		-0.26703-0.28158-1.63553
Konyaspor
Fenerbahce		16.6%
62.9%		20.5%
+1000
-385
+865
-355
1
2		-0.27842-0.29880-0.46321
Trabzonspor
Antalyaspor		50.4%
24.6%		24.9%
+140
+184
+140
+180
2
0		-0.93647-0.92576-0.68478
Goztepe
Kasımpaşa		37.4%
35.9%		26.7%
+145
+165
+150
+160
2
1		-0.95039-0.96632-0.98406
Trabzonspor
Galatasaray		26.2%
48.3%		25.5%
+510
-230
+525
-230
0
2		-0.41642-0.41089-0.72741
Fenerbahce
Hatayspor		33.1%
41.5%		25.4%
-556
+900
-475
+950
2
4		-2.38033-2.40053-0.87914
Rizespor
Besiktas		11.3%
72.4%		16.3%
+490
-240
+535
-225
2
1		-1.84396-1.89899-2.18409
Alanyaspor
Konyaspor		55.4%
20.8%		23.8%
+165
+165
+180
+170
2
1		-1.03962-1.07852-0.59066
Kasımpaşa
Gaziantep FK		20.2%
58.2%		21.6%
+131
+170
+150
+155
2
2		-1.39930-1.39865-1.53206
Galatasaray
Goztepe		58.2%
19.1%		22.6%
+135
+165
+115
+180
2
0		-0.91202-0.81629-0.54056
Kayserispor
Galatasaray		9.0%
74.9%		16.1%
+1100
-588
+1350
-650
0
3		-0.22595-0.19244-0.28843
Trabzonspor
Kasımpaşa		56.8%
20.9%		22.3%
+185
+135
+185
+135
3
2		-1.10009-1.09646-0.56546
Besiktas
Alanyaspor		36.2%
37.0%		26.8%
+115
+215
+110
+240
1
1		-1.32923-1.31763-1.31710
Goztepe
Rizespor		38.7%
34.2%		27.1%
+235
+110
+250
+110
3
6		-0.80060-0.79239-1.07426
Gaziantep FK
Antalyaspor		42.5%
30.8%		26.6%
+200
+141
+210
+140
0
0		-1.24393-1.21362-1.32358
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks20-1-1 (0.250)0-1.46234 
Sportsbooks20-1-1 (0.250)0-1.49844 
DRatings20-1-1 (0.250)0-1.49186
-0.02952
0.00658

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)21.23.39.573.282.3%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)19.63.610.869.717.7%99.3%0.7%0.0%
3Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)17.06.910.161.20.0%0.7%87.8%0.0%
4Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)16.36.811.059.80.0%0.0%79.7%0.0%
5Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)15.010.18.954.00.0%0.0%4.5%0.0%
6Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)16.811.16.156.50.0%0.0%17.9%0.0%
7Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)14.99.110.154.70.0%0.0%9.4%0.0%
8Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)11.113.79.142.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)10.811.112.144.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)10.112.911.041.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)11.115.87.140.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
12Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)8.815.49.836.30.0%0.0%0.0%4.2%
13Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)8.616.68.734.70.0%0.0%0.0%22.0%
14Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)8.717.57.833.80.0%0.0%0.0%47.4%
15Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)6.814.312.933.30.0%0.0%0.0%47.8%
16Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)8.216.79.133.60.0%0.0%0.0%38.1%
17Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)9.218.56.233.90.0%0.0%0.0%43.6%
18Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)6.017.011.029.00.0%0.0%0.0%96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.