Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 1, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Konyaspor
Rizespor 		35.6%
36.1%		28.3%
+250
+114

1.15
1.16		2.31
o2¾-105
u2¾-115

Besiktas
Gaziantep FK 		47.1%
28.5%		24.4%
-145
+325

1.64
1.22		2.86
o3¼+102
u3¼-120

Games for Apr 30, 2026
Games for May 2, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Antalyaspor
Kayserispor		43.4%
29.1%		27.5%
+280
-111
+300
-110
1
3		-0.70719-0.69693-1.23381
Hatayspor
Goztepe		51.7%
24.5%		23.8%
+800
-435
+900
-400
1
1		-1.94694-1.93725-1.43712
Galatasaray
Trabzonspor		39.3%
33.2%		27.5%
-190
+420
-190
+460
2
0		-0.48796-0.47273-0.93364
Rizespor
Konyaspor		29.0%
44.3%		26.7%
+185
+149
+190
+155
1
2		-0.97072-0.98438-0.81425
Alanyaspor
Gaziantep FK		42.3%
31.5%		26.2%
+160
+167
+155
+170
1
0		-0.99552-0.98714-0.86008
Fenerbahce
Trabzonspor		33.2%
40.9%		25.8%
-135
+310
-140
+360
4
1		-0.61754-0.58848-1.10214
Trabzonspor
Kasımpaşa		56.8%
20.9%		22.3%
+200
+130
+195
+125
1
1		-1.37555-1.37062-1.50162
Besiktas
Fenerbahce		38.8%
35.5%		25.7%
+440
-210
+515
-210
1
0		-1.76779-1.86575-0.94709
Sivasspor
Galatasaray		17.8%
59.6%		22.6%
+1400
-800
+1650
-700
1
4		-0.18716-0.18212-0.51772
Trabzonspor
Hatayspor		32.6%
41.4%		26.0%
-195
+420
-190
+455
4
2		-0.47588-0.47204-1.12147
Gaziantep FK
Rizespor		50.3%
25.4%		24.3%
+325
-135
+345
-145
0
2		-0.60378-0.57506-1.37125
Kayserispor
Alanyaspor		10.8%
71.9%		17.3%
+210
+128
+230
+125
1
1		-1.24528-1.24316-1.75389
Konyaspor
Antalyaspor		29.7%
42.6%		27.6%
+175
+160
+190
+155
0
1		-1.01915-0.98438-0.85362
Trabzonspor
Goztepe		51.0%
24.7%		24.3%
+200
+130
+220
+130
1
4		-0.90597-0.88201-1.39845
Rizespor
Kayserispor		36.9%
35.0%		28.0%
+220
+125
+240
+120
0
1		-0.88271-0.83884-1.04925
Alanyaspor
Trabzonspor		34.6%
38.1%		27.2%
+370
-149
+440
-145
3
4		-0.57889-0.57426-0.96414
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks20-1-1 (0.250)0-1.46234 
Sportsbooks20-1-1 (0.250)0-1.49844 
DRatings20-1-1 (0.250)0-1.49186
-0.02952
0.00658

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)21.23.39.573.282.3%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)19.63.610.869.717.7%99.3%0.7%0.0%
3Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)17.06.910.161.20.0%0.7%87.8%0.0%
4Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)16.36.811.059.80.0%0.0%79.7%0.0%
5Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)15.010.18.954.00.0%0.0%4.5%0.0%
6Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)16.811.16.156.50.0%0.0%17.9%0.0%
7Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)14.99.110.154.70.0%0.0%9.4%0.0%
8Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)11.113.79.142.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)10.811.112.144.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)10.112.911.041.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)11.115.87.140.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
12Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)8.815.49.836.30.0%0.0%0.0%4.2%
13Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)8.616.68.734.70.0%0.0%0.0%22.0%
14Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)8.717.57.833.80.0%0.0%0.0%47.4%
15Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)6.814.312.933.30.0%0.0%0.0%47.8%
16Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)8.216.79.133.60.0%0.0%0.0%38.1%
17Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)9.218.56.233.90.0%0.0%0.0%43.6%
18Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)6.017.011.029.00.0%0.0%0.0%96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.