Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 1, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Konyaspor
Rizespor 		35.6%
36.1%		28.3%
+250
+114

1.15
1.16		2.31
o2¾-105
u2¾-115

Besiktas
Gaziantep FK 		47.1%
28.5%		24.4%
-145
+325

1.64
1.22		2.86
o3¼+102
u3¼-120

Games for Apr 30, 2026
Games for May 2, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Fenerbahce
Gaziantep FK		40.6%
33.7%		25.8%
-217
+475
-225
+535
3
1		-0.44571-0.41632-0.90202
Antalyaspor
Sivasspor		26.9%
46.7%		26.4%
+245
+100
+300
-105
0
2		-0.77379-0.71980-0.76190
Hatayspor
Besiktas		27.9%
47.9%		24.2%
+850
-476
+1075
-475
1
5		-0.26848-0.24179-0.73509
Kayserispor
Fenerbahce		11.6%
71.2%		17.2%
+1300
-625
+2050
-800
3
3		-2.05004-2.20727-1.76253
Gaziantep FK
Trabzonspor		26.4%
49.1%		24.5%
+370
-155
+400
-145
1
2		-0.56037-0.57164-0.71101
Besiktas
Goztepe		58.2%
20.1%		21.7%
+145
+175
+150
+180
1
1		-1.29817-1.27379-1.52569
Sivasspor
Kasımpaşa		43.9%
30.0%		26.1%
+265
-114
+315
-130
1
3		-0.69730-0.61941-1.20367
Konyaspor
Hatayspor		16.5%
62.7%		20.7%
-132
+310
-150
+350
3
2		-0.62491-0.55912-1.79890
Fenerbahce
Sivasspor		44.3%
29.9%		25.8%
-200
+460
-235
+575
3
1		-0.47074-0.40300-0.81360
Rizespor
Trabzonspor		14.4%
66.3%		19.3%
+270
-109
+285
-105
0
2		-0.71468-0.71756-0.41157
Hatayspor
Gaziantep FK		40.6%
33.6%		25.8%
+360
-156
+410
-175
1
2		-0.55295-0.50289-1.08996
Kasımpaşa
Kayserispor		39.0%
33.9%		27.1%
+195
+126
+230
+115
0
1		-0.87292-0.81410-1.08255
Trabzonspor
Besiktas		27.5%
47.9%		24.5%
+290
-115
+340
-120
2
0		-1.42420-1.53090-1.29015
Goztepe
Konyaspor		34.6%
37.4%		28.0%
+170
+160
+180
+165
0
1		-1.02082-1.02521-0.98374
Gaziantep FK
Goztepe		43.0%
31.0%		26.0%
+460
-185
+525
-185
1
1		-1.51709-1.46266-1.34792
Besiktas
Kasımpaşa		63.9%
16.6%		19.4%
+100
+275
-105
+280
1
1		-1.33458-1.34289-1.63748
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks20-1-1 (0.250)0-1.46234 
Sportsbooks20-1-1 (0.250)0-1.49844 
DRatings20-1-1 (0.250)0-1.49186
-0.02952
0.00658

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)21.23.39.573.282.3%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)19.63.610.869.717.7%99.3%0.7%0.0%
3Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)17.06.910.161.20.0%0.7%87.8%0.0%
4Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)16.36.811.059.80.0%0.0%79.7%0.0%
5Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)15.010.18.954.00.0%0.0%4.5%0.0%
6Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)16.811.16.156.50.0%0.0%17.9%0.0%
7Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)14.99.110.154.70.0%0.0%9.4%0.0%
8Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)11.113.79.142.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)10.811.112.144.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)10.112.911.041.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)11.115.87.140.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
12Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)8.815.49.836.30.0%0.0%0.0%4.2%
13Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)8.616.68.734.70.0%0.0%0.0%22.0%
14Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)8.717.57.833.80.0%0.0%0.0%47.4%
15Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)6.814.312.933.30.0%0.0%0.0%47.8%
16Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)8.216.79.133.60.0%0.0%0.0%38.1%
17Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)9.218.56.233.90.0%0.0%0.0%43.6%
18Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)6.017.011.029.00.0%0.0%0.0%96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.