Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 20, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Kayserispor
Fenerbahce 		11.6%
71.2%		17.2%
+1300
-625
+2050
-800
0.84
2.36		3.20
o3½-115
u3½-104

Games for Apr 19, 2025
Games for Apr 25, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Ankaragucu
Antalyaspor		19.4%
57.2%		23.4%
+265
+100
+325
-110
1
1		-1.31074-1.28616-1.45239
Fenerbahce
Trabzonspor		33.2%
40.9%		25.8%
+105
+260
-105
+270
3
2		-0.75519-0.71701-1.10214
Galatasaray
Kasımpaşa		63.8%
15.9%		20.2%
-200
+490
-215
+500
4
3		-0.45323-0.43385-0.44868
Gaziantep FK
Rizespor		50.3%
25.4%		24.3%
+320
-108
+370
-125
1
3		-0.70152-0.63660-1.37125
Antalyaspor
Besiktas		14.7%
65.9%		19.3%
+324
-110
+335
-115
2
1		-1.49290-1.51941-1.91671
Trabzonspor
Ankaragucu		66.9%
13.8%		19.3%
+215
+145
+195
+155
1
2		-0.94518-0.98840-1.98333
Kayserispor
Alanyaspor		10.8%
71.9%		17.3%
+285
+105
+275
+100
0
1		-0.75458-0.74421-0.33053
Konyaspor
Karagumruk		21.2%
55.2%		23.5%
+322
+100
+295
+100
1
1		-1.23316-1.25931-1.44609
Besiktas
Gaziantep FK		47.1%
28.5%		24.4%
+111
+255
+100
+275
0
2		-1.31550-1.37279-1.25667
Hatayspor
Kayserispor		63.4%
16.1%		20.5%
+330
-110
+295
-110
1
1		-1.31449-1.33423-1.58606
Karagumruk
Trabzonspor		27.0%
48.1%		24.8%
+340
-125
+370
-135
1
5		-0.63609-0.60347-0.73135
Antalyaspor
Trabzonspor		18.5%
59.3%		22.2%
+237
+130
+230
+120
0
1		-0.86688-0.83884-0.52256
Alanyaspor
Sivasspor		45.9%
27.9%		26.2%
+198
+145
+180
+155
2
1		-1.14028-1.08063-0.77829
Rizespor
Galatasaray		10.9%
71.9%		17.2%
+950
-385
+915
-400
2
6		-0.26433-0.27307-0.32930
Gaziantep FK
Antalyaspor		42.5%
30.8%		26.6%
+345
-110
+325
-115
0
1		-0.68840-0.67627-1.17658
Trabzonspor
Alanyaspor		30.6%
43.2%		26.2%
+141
+194
+140
+195
1
3		-1.12643-1.13038-0.83898
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-0.92927 
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-0.92272 
DRatings21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.11835
-0.18908
-0.19564

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)21.23.39.573.282.3%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)19.63.610.869.717.7%99.3%0.7%0.0%
3Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)17.06.910.161.20.0%0.7%87.8%0.0%
4Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)16.36.811.059.80.0%0.0%79.7%0.0%
5Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)15.010.18.954.00.0%0.0%4.5%0.0%
6Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)16.811.16.156.50.0%0.0%17.9%0.0%
7Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)14.99.110.154.70.0%0.0%9.4%0.0%
8Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)11.113.79.142.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)10.811.112.144.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)10.112.911.041.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)11.115.87.140.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
12Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)8.815.49.836.30.0%0.0%0.0%4.2%
13Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)8.616.68.734.70.0%0.0%0.0%22.0%
14Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)8.717.57.833.80.0%0.0%0.0%47.4%
15Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)6.814.312.933.30.0%0.0%0.0%47.8%
16Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)8.216.79.133.60.0%0.0%0.0%38.1%
17Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)9.218.56.233.90.0%0.0%0.0%43.6%
18Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)6.017.011.029.00.0%0.0%0.0%96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.