Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 25, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Hatayspor
Besiktas 		27.9%
47.9%		24.2%
+1000
-575

1.21
1.67		2.88
o3½-122
u3½+102

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Games for Apr 26, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Trabzonspor
Alanyaspor		30.6%
43.2%		26.2%
+141
+194
+140
+195
1
3		-1.12643-1.13038-0.83898
Galatasaray
Besiktas		33.8%
39.4%		26.8%
+112
+225
+110
+230
1
0		-0.79989-0.79025-1.08385
Fenerbahce
Hatayspor		33.1%
41.5%		25.4%
-300
+800
-275
+725
2
0		-0.33294-0.35954-1.10612
Kayserispor
Rizespor		27.9%
45.8%		26.3%
+265
+105
+275
+105
0
3		-0.76660-0.76947-0.78132
Sivasspor
Kasımpaşa		43.9%
30.0%		26.1%
+310
-110
+295
-115
0
0		-1.33556-1.37500-1.34316
Antalyaspor
Galatasaray		14.1%
65.6%		20.3%
+800
-325
+860
-350
1
2		-0.31680-0.30147-0.42170
Alanyaspor
Karagumruk		41.2%
32.1%		26.6%
+338
-115
+340
-115
1
1		-1.31085-1.28906-1.32306
Kasımpaşa
Fenerbahce		15.1%
66.3%		18.6%
+1000
-500
+1150
-525
1
2		-0.23189-0.22464-0.41118
Hatayspor
Konyaspor		54.0%
22.3%		23.6%
+252
+126
+240
+130
0
2		-0.86334-0.88312-1.49937
Trabzonspor
Gaziantep FK		39.9%
33.7%		26.4%
+157
+180
+170
+175
2
0		-0.99198-1.04344-0.91879
Ankaragucu
Kayserispor		28.4%
44.5%		27.1%
+255
+120
+210
+125
2
3		-0.83144-0.85849-0.80982
Kayserispor
Trabzonspor		11.8%
70.2%		17.9%
+310
-105
+360
-125
3
2		-1.44808-1.57557-2.13394
Konyaspor
Besiktas		13.2%
68.3%		18.4%
+540
-180
+550
-195
0
2		-0.48394-0.46291-0.38070
Galatasaray
Ankaragucu		72.4%
10.4%		17.2%
-135
+380
-145
+375
3
0		-0.59533-0.57556-0.32318
Fenerbahce
Rizespor		59.0%
19.5%		21.4%
-230
+580
-240
+600
3
1		-0.41002-0.39591-0.52690
Sivasspor
Hatayspor		22.9%
53.4%		23.7%
+245
+130
+215
+135
1
1		-1.18866-1.22809-1.43864
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.30520 
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.38946 
DRatings21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.23677
0.06844
0.15268

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)21.23.39.573.282.3%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)19.63.610.869.717.7%99.3%0.7%0.0%
3Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)17.06.910.161.20.0%0.7%87.8%0.0%
4Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)16.36.811.059.80.0%0.0%79.7%0.0%
5Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)15.010.18.954.00.0%0.0%4.5%0.0%
6Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)16.811.16.156.50.0%0.0%17.9%0.0%
7Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)14.99.110.154.70.0%0.0%9.4%0.0%
8Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)11.113.79.142.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)10.811.112.144.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)10.112.911.041.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)11.115.87.140.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
12Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)8.815.49.836.30.0%0.0%0.0%4.2%
13Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)8.616.68.734.70.0%0.0%0.0%22.0%
14Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)8.717.57.833.80.0%0.0%0.0%47.4%
15Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)6.814.312.933.30.0%0.0%0.0%47.8%
16Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)8.216.79.133.60.0%0.0%0.0%38.1%
17Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)9.218.56.233.90.0%0.0%0.0%43.6%
18Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)6.017.011.029.00.0%0.0%0.0%96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.