Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 1, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Konyaspor
Rizespor 		35.6%
36.1%		28.3%
+250
+114

1.15
1.16		2.31
o2¾-104
u2¾-115

Besiktas
Gaziantep FK 		47.1%
28.5%		24.4%
-145
+325

1.64
1.22		2.86
o3¼+102
u3¼-120

Games for Apr 30, 2026
Games for May 2, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Goztepe
Sivasspor		27.0%
47.3%		25.7%
+123
+230
+115
+260
1
3		-1.26535-1.33029-0.74925
Hatayspor
Trabzonspor		33.2%
40.8%		26.0%
+575
-270
+640
-250
2
1		-1.98450-2.04973-1.10380
Rizespor
Antalyaspor		26.8%
47.3%		25.9%
+160
+180
+165
+175
1
2		-1.08246-1.06372-0.74771
Trabzonspor
Kayserispor		62.7%
16.3%		21.0%
+145
+190
+170
+175
1
3		-1.12362-1.06178-1.81394
Sivasspor
Trabzonspor		23.1%
52.6%		24.3%
+570
-210
+625
-215
0
1		-0.45223-0.43106-0.64183
Trabzonspor
Konyaspor		53.3%
22.5%		24.2%
+150
+175
+150
+175
0
1		-1.06775-1.06372-1.49072
Antalyaspor
Fenerbahce		18.3%
60.3%		21.4%
+1100
-460
+1200
-485
0
3		-0.25367-0.23712-0.50637
Galatasaray
Kasımpaşa		63.8%
15.9%		20.2%
-156
+370
-160
+360
3
3		-1.49357-1.55760-1.59870
Alanyaspor
Rizespor		60.2%
18.1%		21.7%
+310
-123
+385
-130
1
3		-0.66211-0.62228-1.70898
Kayserispor
Besiktas		9.2%
75.8%		15.0%
+440
-190
+490
-195
0
2		-0.48127-0.46304-0.27764
Fenerbahce
Galatasaray		26.5%
48.6%		24.8%
+185
+130
+205
+130
0
0		-1.32174-1.30001-1.39235
Gaziantep FK
Trabzonspor		26.4%
49.1%		24.5%
+420
-170
+435
-170
2
3		-0.52093-0.51316-0.71101
Goztepe
Kayserispor		43.8%
29.4%		26.8%
+140
+194
+135
+200
0
1		-1.14090-1.15024-1.22445
Kasımpaşa
Antalyaspor		28.3%
46.1%		25.6%
+180
+144
+195
+140
1
2		-0.95130-0.92821-0.77510
Konyaspor
Sivasspor		24.7%
49.5%		25.8%
+160
+175
+150
+185
1
1		-1.19985-1.24643-1.35577
Galatasaray
Rizespor		64.7%
15.0%		20.3%
-135
+320
-135
+350
2
1		-0.61797-0.60296-0.43519
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks20-1-1 (0.250)0-1.46234 
Sportsbooks20-1-1 (0.250)0-1.49844 
DRatings20-1-1 (0.250)0-1.49186
-0.02952
0.00658

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)21.23.39.573.282.3%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)19.63.610.869.717.7%99.3%0.7%0.0%
3Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)17.06.910.161.20.0%0.7%87.8%0.0%
4Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)16.36.811.059.80.0%0.0%79.7%0.0%
5Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)15.010.18.954.00.0%0.0%4.5%0.0%
6Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)16.811.16.156.50.0%0.0%17.9%0.0%
7Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)14.99.110.154.70.0%0.0%9.4%0.0%
8Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)11.113.79.142.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)10.811.112.144.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)10.112.911.041.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)11.115.87.140.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
12Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)8.815.49.836.30.0%0.0%0.0%4.2%
13Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)8.616.68.734.70.0%0.0%0.0%22.0%
14Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)8.717.57.833.80.0%0.0%0.0%47.4%
15Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)6.814.312.933.30.0%0.0%0.0%47.8%
16Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)8.216.79.133.60.0%0.0%0.0%38.1%
17Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)9.218.56.233.90.0%0.0%0.0%43.6%
18Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)6.017.011.029.00.0%0.0%0.0%96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.