Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 25, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Hatayspor
Besiktas 		27.9%
47.9%		24.2%
+1000
-575

1.21
1.67		2.88
o3½-122
u3½+102

Games for Apr 24, 2025
Games for Apr 26, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Antalyaspor
Kayserispor		43.4%
29.1%		27.5%
+136
+205
+135
+205
1
1		-1.25998-1.25956-1.29077
Ankaragucu
Fenerbahce		9.7%
74.9%		15.4%
+1300
-525
+1450
-575
1
2		-0.22344-0.20885-0.28871
Rizespor
Karagumruk		18.5%
60.0%		21.5%
+220
+130
+220
+125
0
4		-0.87683-0.86074-0.51038
Besiktas
Sivasspor		50.7%
24.9%		24.4%
+130
+215
+125
+215
0
1		-1.19274-1.19786-1.38846
Trabzonspor
Konyaspor		53.3%
22.5%		24.2%
+168
+185
+165
+180
3
2		-1.03136-1.02521-0.62929
Trabzonspor
Rizespor		58.0%
19.7%		22.3%
+204
+140
+190
+145
0
1		-0.91864-0.94631-1.62450
Fenerbahce
Trabzonspor		33.2%
40.9%		25.8%
-205
+550
-210
+580
1
0		-0.44532-0.43992-1.10214
Sivasspor
Antalyaspor		37.9%
33.8%		28.3%
+500
-165
+465
-160
1
2		-0.52167-0.53631-1.08373
Karagumruk
Ankaragucu		60.9%
17.6%		21.5%
+250
+120
+245
+120
0
2		-0.83529-0.83924-1.73642
Konyaspor
Gaziantep FK		21.8%
54.5%		23.6%
+185
+163
+205
+150
1
1		-1.19040-1.18061-1.44215
Alanyaspor
Hatayspor		34.6%
38.8%		26.6%
+183
+160
+205
+135
1
1		-1.22980-1.25956-1.32550
Galatasaray
Trabzonspor		39.3%
33.2%		27.5%
-120
+323
-135
+350
5
1		-0.64497-0.60296-0.93364
Antalyaspor
Konyaspor		34.3%
36.9%		28.8%
+153
+200
+155
+205
1
1		-1.18130-1.15059-1.24605
Gaziantep FK
Sivasspor		36.0%
36.5%		27.5%
+285
+105
+315
+100
2
2		-1.25400-1.22615-1.28960
Trabzonspor
Karagumruk		39.0%
34.3%		26.7%
+185
+162
+220
+125
1
1		-1.19624-1.27357-1.32129
Rizespor
Alanyaspor		13.2%
68.2%		18.6%
+235
+115
+205
+135
1
2		-0.81362-0.90503-0.38340
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.30520 
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.38946 
DRatings21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.23677
0.06844
0.15268

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)21.23.39.573.282.3%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)19.63.610.869.717.7%99.3%0.7%0.0%
3Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)17.06.910.161.20.0%0.7%87.8%0.0%
4Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)16.36.811.059.80.0%0.0%79.7%0.0%
5Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)15.010.18.954.00.0%0.0%4.5%0.0%
6Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)16.811.16.156.50.0%0.0%17.9%0.0%
7Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)14.99.110.154.70.0%0.0%9.4%0.0%
8Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)11.113.79.142.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)10.811.112.144.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)10.112.911.041.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)11.115.87.140.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
12Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)8.815.49.836.30.0%0.0%0.0%4.2%
13Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)8.616.68.734.70.0%0.0%0.0%22.0%
14Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)8.717.57.833.80.0%0.0%0.0%47.4%
15Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)6.814.312.933.30.0%0.0%0.0%47.8%
16Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)8.216.79.133.60.0%0.0%0.0%38.1%
17Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)9.218.56.233.90.0%0.0%0.0%43.6%
18Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)6.017.011.029.00.0%0.0%0.0%96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.