Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated 30 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
03/10/2025 05:30 PM	Gaziantep FK Besiktas	21.5% 56.5%	22.0%	+600 -256 +625 -230	2 1	-2.01590-2.02974	-1.53540
03/09/2025 05:30 PM	Galatasaray Alanyaspor	36.8% 35.2%	28.0%	-165 +390 -175 +450	2 1	-0.53659-0.50149	-0.99916
03/09/2025 10:30 AM	Goztepe Sivasspor	27.0% 47.3%	25.7%	+123 +230 +115 +260	1 3	-1.26535-1.33029	-0.74925
03/08/2025 05:30 PM	Hatayspor Trabzonspor	33.2% 40.8%	26.0%	+575 -270 +640 -250	2 1	-1.98450-2.04973	-1.10380
03/08/2025 01:00 PM	Rizespor Antalyaspor	26.8% 47.3%	25.9%	+160 +180 +165 +175	1 2	-1.08246-1.06372	-0.74771
03/08/2025 10:30 AM	Trabzonspor Kayserispor	62.7% 16.3%	21.0%	+145 +190 +170 +175	1 3	-1.12362-1.06178	-1.81394
03/03/2025 05:30 PM	Sivasspor Trabzonspor	23.1% 52.6%	24.3%	+570 -210 +625 -215	0 1	-0.45223-0.43106	-0.64183
03/03/2025 01:00 PM	Trabzonspor Konyaspor	53.3% 22.5%	24.2%	+150 +175 +150 +175	0 1	-1.06775-1.06372	-1.49072
03/02/2025 05:30 PM	Antalyaspor Fenerbahce	18.3% 60.3%	21.4%	+1100 -460 +1200 -485	0 3	-0.25367-0.23712	-0.50637
03/02/2025 01:00 PM	Galatasaray Kasımpaşa	63.8% 15.9%	20.2%	-156 +370 -160 +360	3 3	-1.49357-1.55760	-1.59870
03/02/2025 10:30 AM	Alanyaspor Rizespor	60.2% 18.1%	21.7%	+310 -123 +385 -130	1 3	-0.66211-0.62228	-1.70898
03/01/2025 05:30 PM	Kayserispor Besiktas	9.2% 75.8%	15.0%	+440 -190 +490 -195	0 2	-0.48127-0.46304	-0.27764
02/24/2025 05:00 PM	Fenerbahce Galatasaray	26.5% 48.6%	24.8%	+185 +130 +205 +130	0 0	-1.32174-1.30001	-1.39235
02/23/2025 04:00 PM	Gaziantep FK Trabzonspor	26.4% 49.1%	24.5%	+420 -170 +435 -170	2 3	-0.52093-0.51316	-0.71101
02/23/2025 10:30 AM	Goztepe Kayserispor	43.8% 29.4%	26.8%	+140 +194 +135 +200	0 1	-1.14090-1.15024	-1.22445
02/22/2025 01:00 PM	Kasımpaşa Antalyaspor	28.3% 46.1%	25.6%	+180 +144 +195 +140	1 2	-0.95130-0.92821	-0.77510

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation
1	Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)	21.2	3.3	9.5	73.2	82.3%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
2	Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)	19.6	3.6	10.8	69.7	17.7%	99.3%	0.7%	0.0%
3	Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)	17.0	6.9	10.1	61.2	0.0%	0.7%	87.8%	0.0%
4	Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)	16.3	6.8	11.0	59.8	0.0%	0.0%	79.7%	0.0%
5	Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)	15.0	10.1	8.9	54.0	0.0%	0.0%	4.5%	0.0%
6	Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)	16.8	11.1	6.1	56.5	0.0%	0.0%	17.9%	0.0%
7	Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)	14.9	9.1	10.1	54.7	0.0%	0.0%	9.4%	0.0%
8	Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)	11.1	13.7	9.1	42.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
9	Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)	10.8	11.1	12.1	44.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
10	Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)	10.1	12.9	11.0	41.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
11	Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)	11.1	15.8	7.1	40.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%
12	Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)	8.8	15.4	9.8	36.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	4.2%
13	Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)	8.6	16.6	8.7	34.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	22.0%
14	Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)	8.7	17.5	7.8	33.8	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	47.4%
15	Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)	6.8	14.3	12.9	33.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	47.8%
16	Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)	8.2	16.7	9.1	33.6	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	38.1%
17	Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)	9.2	18.5	6.2	33.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	43.6%
18	Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)	6.0	17.0	11.0	29.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.