Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Konyaspor
Sivasspor
24.7%
49.5%
25.8%
+160
+175
+150
+185
1
1
-1.19985-1.24643-1.35577
Galatasaray
Rizespor
64.7%
15.0%
20.3%
-135
+320
-135
+350
2
1
-0.61797-0.60296-0.43519
Kasımpaşa
Fenerbahce
15.1%
66.3%
18.6%
+650
-315
+650
-290
1
3
-0.33987-0.34585-0.41118
Alanyaspor
Hatayspor
34.6%
38.8%
26.6%
+125
+200
+135
+190
0
1
-1.15268-1.11544-0.94685
Trabzonspor
Besiktas
27.5%
47.9%
24.5%
+265
-110
+300
-110
1
2
-0.70909-0.69693-0.73543
Sivasspor
Gaziantep FK
29.2%
44.9%
25.9%
+250
+100
+265
+105
1
2
-0.75112-0.76424-0.80133
Trabzonspor
Antalyaspor
50.4%
24.6%
24.9%
+120
+210
+120
+230
0
0
-1.28190-1.27418-1.38934
Fenerbahce
Alanyaspor
31.0%
43.3%
25.7%
-185
+420
-180
+450
2
0
-0.49384-0.49248-1.17147
Rizespor
Kasımpaşa
31.3%
42.7%
26.0%
+195
+120
+195
+125
2
3
-0.86097-0.86325-0.85048
Besiktas
Sivasspor
50.7%
24.9%
24.4%
-101
+265
-115
+315
2
0
-0.74099-0.67433-0.67940
Konyaspor
Kayserispor
40.5%
31.4%
28.0%
+195
+145
+200
+145
2
3
-0.94505-0.94868-1.15804
Galatasaray
Gaziantep FK
47.6%
27.1%
25.3%
-238
+500
-235
+590
1
0
-0.42108-0.40381-0.74215
Rizespor
Fenerbahce
14.2%
67.4%
18.4%
+650
-290
+790
-310
2
3
-0.37037-0.32864-0.39478
Alanyaspor
Goztepe
53.2%
22.8%
23.9%
+460
-180
+440
-155
1
0
-1.79174-1.73460-0.63021
Trabzonspor
Kayserispor
62.7%
16.3%
21.0%
+110
+215
+105
+240
0
0
-1.37030-1.35919-1.55884
Antalyaspor
Hatayspor
18.3%
60.1%
21.6%
+140
+180
+230
+120
3
2
-0.94117-1.24434-1.69805
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)21.23.39.573.282.3%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)19.63.610.869.717.7%99.3%0.7%0.0%
3Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)17.06.910.161.20.0%0.7%87.8%0.0%
4Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)16.36.811.059.80.0%0.0%79.7%0.0%
5Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)15.010.18.954.00.0%0.0%4.5%0.0%
6Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)16.811.16.156.50.0%0.0%17.9%0.0%
7Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)14.99.110.154.70.0%0.0%9.4%0.0%
8Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)11.113.79.142.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)10.811.112.144.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)10.112.911.041.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)11.115.87.140.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
12Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)8.815.49.836.30.0%0.0%0.0%4.2%
13Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)8.616.68.734.70.0%0.0%0.0%22.0%
14Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)8.717.57.833.80.0%0.0%0.0%47.4%
15Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)6.814.312.933.30.0%0.0%0.0%47.8%
16Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)8.216.79.133.60.0%0.0%0.0%38.1%
17Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)9.218.56.233.90.0%0.0%0.0%43.6%
18Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)6.017.011.029.00.0%0.0%0.0%96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.