Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 25, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Hatayspor
Besiktas 		27.9%
47.9%		24.2%
+1000
-575

1.21
1.67		2.88
o3½-122
u3½+102

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Games for Apr 26, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Hatayspor
Kasımpaşa		57.5%
20.7%		21.8%
+250
+110
+265
-105
0
3		-0.77150-0.72054-1.57552
Kayserispor
Galatasaray		9.0%
74.9%		16.1%
+1300
-565
+1050
-460
1
2		-0.21183-0.24669-0.28843
Fenerbahce
Gaziantep FK		40.6%
33.7%		25.8%
-305
+750
-290
+750
1
0		-0.32640-0.34670-0.90202
Trabzonspor
Antalyaspor		50.4%
24.6%		24.9%
+210
+145
+155
+180
1
1		-1.19004-1.24493-1.38934
Karagumruk
Besiktas		22.1%
55.4%		22.5%
+300
-110
+270
-105
0
3		-0.67513-0.72044-0.59101
Alanyaspor
Trabzonspor		34.6%
38.1%		27.2%
+295
+105
+255
+115
2
3		-0.75914-0.81410-0.96414
Kasımpaşa
Ankaragucu		43.8%
30.0%		26.1%
+210
+135
+210
+135
1
3		-0.89414-0.90429-1.20314
Galatasaray
Sivasspor		50.9%
23.7%		25.4%
-153
+415
-180
+450
1
1		-1.43406-1.53225-1.37062
Konyaspor
Fenerbahce		50.0%
50.0%		0.0%


1
7
Kayserispor
Karagumruk		50.0%
50.0%		0.0%


1
4
Gaziantep FK
Hatayspor		50.0%
50.0%		0.0%


0
0
Alanyaspor
Besiktas		29.5%
45.2%		25.2%
+435
-155
+405
-160
3
1		-1.70507-1.67232-1.21993
Hatayspor
Ankaragucu		67.9%
13.5%		18.6%
+243
+125
+245
+120
0
0		-1.23220-1.22946-1.68314
Kasımpaşa
Antalyaspor		28.3%
46.1%		25.6%
+275
+101
+285
-110
0
0		-1.36004-1.37074-1.36094
Karagumruk
Galatasaray		21.1%
55.5%		23.4%
+900
-390
+1000
-425
0
1		-0.27682-0.25874-0.58821
Fenerbahce
Kayserispor		63.6%
16.1%		20.3%
-175
+475
-195
+500
4
3		-0.48159-0.46267-0.45194
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.30520 
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.38946 
DRatings21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.23677
0.06844
0.15268

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)21.23.39.573.282.3%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)19.63.610.869.717.7%99.3%0.7%0.0%
3Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)17.06.910.161.20.0%0.7%87.8%0.0%
4Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)16.36.811.059.80.0%0.0%79.7%0.0%
5Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)15.010.18.954.00.0%0.0%4.5%0.0%
6Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)16.811.16.156.50.0%0.0%17.9%0.0%
7Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)14.99.110.154.70.0%0.0%9.4%0.0%
8Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)11.113.79.142.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)10.811.112.144.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)10.112.911.041.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)11.115.87.140.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
12Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)8.815.49.836.30.0%0.0%0.0%4.2%
13Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)8.616.68.734.70.0%0.0%0.0%22.0%
14Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)8.717.57.833.80.0%0.0%0.0%47.4%
15Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)6.814.312.933.30.0%0.0%0.0%47.8%
16Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)8.216.79.133.60.0%0.0%0.0%38.1%
17Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)9.218.56.233.90.0%0.0%0.0%43.6%
18Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)6.017.011.029.00.0%0.0%0.0%96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.