Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 21, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Galatasaray
Fenerbahce 		39.5%
33.8%		26.8%
+220
+121
+250
+110
1.33
1.20		2.53
o2¾-108
u2¾-102

Games for Sep 20, 2024
Games for Sep 22, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Kasımpaşa
Hatayspor		15.1%
66.1%		18.8%
+161
+167
+145
+170
0
1		-1.00613-1.04441-0.41417
Gaziantep FK
Antalyaspor		42.5%
30.8%		26.6%
+348
-110
+310
-115
0
1		-0.65952-0.67360-1.17658
Besiktas
Sivasspor		50.7%
24.9%		24.4%
+126
+257
+125
+225
0
1		-1.26837-1.22806-1.38846
Karagumruk
Ankaragucu		60.9%
17.6%		21.5%
+230
+124
+230
+110
2
0		-1.24078-1.24573-0.49630
Trabzonspor
Kayserispor		62.7%
16.3%		21.0%
+144
+241
+150
+205
0
1		-1.25103-1.16437-1.81394
Antalyaspor
Trabzonspor		18.5%
59.3%		22.2%
+435
-137
+435
-150
0
2		-0.57185-0.55968-0.52256
Hatayspor
Gaziantep FK		40.6%
33.6%		25.8%
+238
+125
+250
+115
1
4		-0.83503-0.81362-1.08996
Besiktas
Karagumruk		46.0%
29.1%		24.9%
-115
+285
-115
+275
1
1		-1.41655-1.43658-1.39195
Sivasspor
Alanyaspor		21.3%
54.9%		23.7%
+260
+110
+250
+105
3
0		-1.31442-1.30280-1.54576
Kasımpaşa
Fenerbahce		15.1%
66.3%		18.6%
+755
-276
+745
-310
1
5		-0.33380-0.32973-0.41118
Konyaspor
Trabzonspor		16.8%
61.9%		21.3%
+325
+102
+295
+100
0
2		-0.72896-0.74354-0.47902
Gaziantep FK
Ankaragucu		60.2%
18.1%		21.6%
+367
-130
+340
-130
2
0		-1.58616-1.53252-0.50718
Trabzonspor
Hatayspor		32.6%
41.4%		26.0%
-125
+383
-130
+375
1
2		-1.60028-1.60664-0.88216
Alanyaspor
Besiktas		29.5%
45.2%		25.2%
+427
-150
+415
-165
0
3		-0.53556-0.52197-0.79359
Ankaragucu
Konyaspor		21.3%
54.2%		24.4%
+246
+120
+245
+115
1
0		-1.27827-1.28630-1.54506
Karagumruk
Alanyaspor		25.0%
50.4%		24.6%
+290
-115
+285
-120
2
2		-1.42674-1.44953-1.40381
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.26104 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.30247 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.27762
-0.01658
0.02485

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)21.23.39.573.282.3%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)19.63.610.869.717.7%99.3%0.7%0.0%
3Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)17.06.910.161.20.0%0.7%87.8%0.0%
4Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)16.36.811.059.80.0%0.0%79.7%0.0%
5Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)15.010.18.954.00.0%0.0%4.5%0.0%
6Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)16.811.16.156.50.0%0.0%17.9%0.0%
7Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)14.99.110.154.70.0%0.0%9.4%0.0%
8Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)11.113.79.142.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)10.811.112.144.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)10.112.911.041.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)11.115.87.140.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
12Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)8.815.49.836.30.0%0.0%0.0%4.2%
13Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)8.616.68.734.70.0%0.0%0.0%22.0%
14Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)8.717.57.833.80.0%0.0%0.0%47.4%
15Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)6.814.312.933.30.0%0.0%0.0%47.8%
16Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)8.216.79.133.60.0%0.0%0.0%38.1%
17Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)9.218.56.233.90.0%0.0%0.0%43.6%
18Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)6.017.011.029.00.0%0.0%0.0%96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.