Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 22, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Antalyaspor
Kasımpaşa 		37.1%
35.6%		27.3%
+270
+100
+275
-110
1.24
1.21		2.45
o3+105
u3-120

Games for Sep 21, 2024
Games for Sep 23, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Karagumruk
Alanyaspor		25.0%
50.4%		24.6%
+290
-115
+285
-120
2
2		-1.42674-1.44953-1.40381
Besiktas
Kayserispor		69.2%
12.8%		18.0%
+113
+243
+110
+225
2
0		-0.78981-0.79125-0.36882
Sivasspor
Gaziantep FK		29.2%
44.9%		25.9%
+215
+144
+195
+145
2
1		-1.17818-1.13075-1.23182
Antalyaspor
Galatasaray		14.1%
65.6%		20.3%
+900
-309
+825
-300
1
2		-0.31114-0.33687-0.42170
Trabzonspor
Kasımpaşa		56.8%
20.9%		22.3%
+137
+222
+135
+210
3
1		-0.88834-0.90429-0.56546
Fenerbahce
Gaziantep FK		40.6%
33.7%		25.8%
-130
+376
-125
+325
2
1		-0.59860-0.63713-0.90202
Karagumruk
Kasımpaşa		49.7%
26.1%		24.1%
+205
+125
+215
+110
2
2		-1.32980-1.40007-1.42288
Trabzonspor
Trabzonspor		32.7%
40.8%		26.5%
+320
+109
+275
+105
0
1		-0.73622-0.76947-0.89654
Besiktas
Konyaspor		60.3%
18.2%		21.5%
+165
+173
+165
+155
2
1		-0.99883-1.02449-0.50549
Hatayspor
Galatasaray		26.5%
48.4%		25.1%
+950
-350

0
4		-0.27829-0.72559
Sivasspor
Kayserispor		50.3%
24.1%		25.6%
+240
+129

1
4		-0.85743-1.42258
Trabzonspor
Alanyaspor		30.6%
43.2%		26.2%
+130
+226
+120
+225
0
5		-1.20391-1.22550-0.83898
Galatasaray
Fenerbahce		39.5%
33.8%		26.8%
+249
+123
+240
+120
3
0		-1.25882-1.27418-0.92973
Kayserispor
Ankaragucu		35.8%
35.3%		28.8%
+310
+110
+250
+105
1
2		-0.74611-0.76787-1.04035
Konyaspor
Karagumruk		21.2%
55.2%		23.5%
+175
+167
+150
+165
3
3		-1.29675-1.34481-1.44609
Kasımpaşa
Besiktas		11.9%
71.7%		16.4%
+441
-118
+330
-140
1
2		-0.56077-0.58891-0.33327
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks20-1-1 (0.250)0-1.23880 
Sportsbooks20-1-1 (0.250)0-1.30286 
DRatings21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.10368
0.13512
0.19918

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)21.23.39.573.282.3%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)19.63.610.869.717.7%99.3%0.7%0.0%
3Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)17.06.910.161.20.0%0.7%87.8%0.0%
4Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)16.36.811.059.80.0%0.0%79.7%0.0%
5Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)15.010.18.954.00.0%0.0%4.5%0.0%
6Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)16.811.16.156.50.0%0.0%17.9%0.0%
7Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)14.99.110.154.70.0%0.0%9.4%0.0%
8Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)11.113.79.142.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)10.811.112.144.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)10.112.911.041.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)11.115.87.140.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
12Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)8.815.49.836.30.0%0.0%0.0%4.2%
13Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)8.616.68.734.70.0%0.0%0.0%22.0%
14Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)8.717.57.833.80.0%0.0%0.0%47.4%
15Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)6.814.312.933.30.0%0.0%0.0%47.8%
16Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)8.216.79.133.60.0%0.0%0.0%38.1%
17Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)9.218.56.233.90.0%0.0%0.0%43.6%
18Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)6.017.011.029.00.0%0.0%0.0%96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.