Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 25, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Hatayspor
Besiktas 		27.9%
47.9%		24.2%
+1000
-550

1.21
1.67		2.88
o3½-122
u3½+102

Games for Apr 24, 2025
Games for Apr 26, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Kayserispor
Hatayspor		11.6%
71.0%		17.4%
+223
+135
+220
+125
2
1		-1.18761-1.21295-2.15081
Alanyaspor
Trabzonspor		34.6%
38.1%		27.2%
+391
-132
+375
-145
0
1		-0.58754-0.57556-0.96414
Hatayspor
Fenerbahce		33.1%
41.5%		25.4%
+1530
-560
+1300
-550
2
4		-0.19559-0.21671-0.88051
Kasımpaşa
Sivasspor		23.1%
53.0%		23.8%
+297
-105
+270
-105
1
0		-1.40907-1.35973-1.46512
Besiktas
Galatasaray		31.5%
42.2%		26.3%
+388
-146
+360
-150
1
2		-0.55066-0.56217-0.86282
Antalyaspor
Gaziantep FK		23.9%
51.7%		24.4%
+184
+172
+165
+180
0
1		-1.02496-1.08028-0.66054
Rizespor
Kayserispor		36.9%
35.0%		28.0%
+250
+120
+215
+130
1
3		-0.82059-0.88242-1.04925
Fenerbahce
Kasımpaşa		57.7%
20.7%		21.6%
-225
+570
-230
+575
2
0		-0.41641-0.41106-0.55012
Konyaspor
Hatayspor		16.5%
62.7%		20.7%
+207
+155
+185
+155
1
3		-0.96509-0.98556-0.46654
Gaziantep FK
Trabzonspor		26.4%
49.1%		24.5%
+280
+110
+285
+100
0
2		-0.76830-0.74156-0.71101
Galatasaray
Antalyaspor		57.5%
19.1%		23.3%
-130
+370
-140
+365
2
0		-0.59220-0.59234-0.55344
Kayserispor
Ankaragucu		35.8%
35.3%		28.8%
+228
+124
+225
+120
0
3		-0.85510-0.83924-1.04035
Karagumruk
Alanyaspor		25.0%
50.4%		24.6%
+208
+135
+230
+125
1
2		-0.90199-0.86022-0.68530
Trabzonspor
Kayserispor		62.7%
16.3%		21.0%
+185
+164
+185
+155
0
0		-1.25145-1.22816-1.55884
Besiktas
Konyaspor		60.3%
18.2%		21.5%
+138
+220
+115
+230
2
0		-0.89270-0.81410-0.50549
Rizespor
Fenerbahce		14.2%
67.4%		18.4%
+872
-375
+825
-350
0
5		-0.28502-0.30254-0.39478
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-2.05004 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-2.20727 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.76253
0.28751
0.44474

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)21.23.39.573.282.3%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)19.63.610.869.717.7%99.3%0.7%0.0%
3Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)17.06.910.161.20.0%0.7%87.8%0.0%
4Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)16.36.811.059.80.0%0.0%79.7%0.0%
5Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)15.010.18.954.00.0%0.0%4.5%0.0%
6Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)16.811.16.156.50.0%0.0%17.9%0.0%
7Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)14.99.110.154.70.0%0.0%9.4%0.0%
8Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)11.113.79.142.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)10.811.112.144.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)10.112.911.041.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)11.115.87.140.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
12Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)8.815.49.836.30.0%0.0%0.0%4.2%
13Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)8.616.68.734.70.0%0.0%0.0%22.0%
14Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)8.717.57.833.80.0%0.0%0.0%47.4%
15Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)6.814.312.933.30.0%0.0%0.0%47.8%
16Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)8.216.79.133.60.0%0.0%0.0%38.1%
17Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)9.218.56.233.90.0%0.0%0.0%43.6%
18Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)6.017.011.029.00.0%0.0%0.0%96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.