Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 25, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Hatayspor
Besiktas 		27.9%
47.9%		24.2%
+1000
-550

1.21
1.67		2.88
o3½-122
u3½+102

Games for Apr 24, 2025
Games for Apr 26, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Kasımpaşa
Karagumruk		19.6%
58.9%		21.5%
+210
+131
+200
+130
3
2		-1.17980-1.14721-1.62954
Ankaragucu
Galatasaray		7.5%
78.1%		14.4%
+950
-420
+925
-400
1
2		-0.26339-0.27328-0.24715
Hatayspor
Sivasspor		44.2%
29.8%		26.0%
+245
+120
+245
+115
0
0		-1.29273-1.27168-1.34607
Trabzonspor
Fenerbahce		32.7%
41.5%		25.8%
+760
-269
+740
-285
0
4		-0.34610-0.35285-0.87943
Trabzonspor
Hatayspor		32.6%
41.4%		26.0%
+118
+242
+110
+245
2
3		-1.26114-1.28880-0.88216
Fenerbahce
Alanyaspor		31.0%
43.3%		25.7%
-157
+443
-160
+410
1
0		-0.52273-0.53389-1.17147
Kayserispor
Besiktas		9.2%
75.8%		15.0%
+745
-277
+715
-275
1
2		-0.33787-0.35914-0.27764
Konyaspor
Ankaragucu		45.3%
27.8%		26.9%
+195
+145
+185
+145
1
1		-1.25572-1.27558-1.31260
Galatasaray
Trabzonspor		39.3%
33.2%		27.5%
-120
+336
-115
+310
2
1		-0.64341-0.67360-0.93364
Sivasspor
Rizespor		45.2%
28.4%		26.4%
+233
+125
+225
+120
1
1		-1.28688-1.29960-1.33184
Ankaragucu
Sivasspor		15.4%
63.5%		21.1%
+248
+125
+230
+125
3
1		-1.28125-1.24320-1.86788
Hatayspor
Karagumruk		39.5%
34.2%		26.2%
+295
-104
+310
-110
0
0		-1.30030-1.31517-1.33911
Besiktas
Trabzonspor		38.7%
35.0%		26.3%
+120
+224
+115
+225
0
3		-1.21949-1.22803-1.05119
Kasımpaşa
Alanyaspor		14.0%
67.4%		18.6%
+310
-105
+315
-110
3
3		-1.30405-1.30203-1.68067
Antalyaspor
Fenerbahce		18.3%
60.3%		21.4%
+650
-260
+600
-255
2
3		-0.36701-0.37951-0.50637
Gaziantep FK
Kayserispor		55.5%
21.3%		23.3%
+310
+125
+210
+120
0
2		-0.76641-0.84190-1.54844
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-2.05004 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-2.20727 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.76253
0.28751
0.44474

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)21.23.39.573.282.3%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)19.63.610.869.717.7%99.3%0.7%0.0%
3Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)17.06.910.161.20.0%0.7%87.8%0.0%
4Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)16.36.811.059.80.0%0.0%79.7%0.0%
5Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)15.010.18.954.00.0%0.0%4.5%0.0%
6Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)16.811.16.156.50.0%0.0%17.9%0.0%
7Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)14.99.110.154.70.0%0.0%9.4%0.0%
8Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)11.113.79.142.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)10.811.112.144.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)10.112.911.041.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)11.115.87.140.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
12Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)8.815.49.836.30.0%0.0%0.0%4.2%
13Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)8.616.68.734.70.0%0.0%0.0%22.0%
14Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)8.717.57.833.80.0%0.0%0.0%47.4%
15Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)6.814.312.933.30.0%0.0%0.0%47.8%
16Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)8.216.79.133.60.0%0.0%0.0%38.1%
17Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)9.218.56.233.90.0%0.0%0.0%43.6%
18Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)6.017.011.029.00.0%0.0%0.0%96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.