Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 22, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Antalyaspor
Kasımpaşa 		37.1%
35.6%		27.3%
+260
+100
+275
-110
1.24
1.21		2.45
o3+105
u3-120

Games for Sep 21, 2024
Games for Sep 23, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Kayserispor
Kasımpaşa		26.7%
48.0%		25.2%
+264
+115
+220
+120
1
0		-1.31019-1.21456-1.32039
Trabzonspor
Fenerbahce		32.7%
41.5%		25.8%
+355
-110
+315
-110
0
1		-0.66627-0.69587-0.87943
Sivasspor
Trabzonspor		23.1%
52.6%		24.3%
+509
-170
+420
-160
0
1		-0.48151-0.53582-0.64183
Fenerbahce
Ankaragucu		68.1%
13.5%		18.4%
-112
+335
-120
+320
3
0		-0.66264-0.65514-0.38428
Trabzonspor
Besiktas		27.5%
47.9%		24.5%
+285
+107
+290
-105
2
2		-1.30129-1.31602-1.40495
Gaziantep FK
Konyaspor		45.4%
28.5%		26.1%
+412
-137
+410
-150
1
0		-1.65627-1.67729-0.78880
Galatasaray
Kayserispor		68.5%
12.4%		19.1%
-108
+319
-120
+310
1
2		-1.45697-1.46218-2.08973
Hatayspor
Karagumruk		39.5%
34.2%		26.2%
+278
+105
+275
-105
0
3		-0.74904-0.71701-1.07186
Antalyaspor
Alanyaspor		17.0%
61.3%		21.7%
+218
+132
+215
+120
2
3		-0.86764-0.84077-0.49012
Kasımpaşa
Trabzonspor		15.3%
65.4%		19.3%
+541
-195
+465
-190
0
0		-1.62151-1.56576-1.64507
Sivasspor
Trabzonspor		23.1%
52.6%		24.3%
+502
-145
+470
-155
2
0		-1.79697-1.78922-1.46603
Karagumruk
Fenerbahce		26.9%
48.9%		24.1%
+650
-254
+685
-270
4
5		-0.37564-0.36691-0.71478
Alanyaspor
Hatayspor		34.6%
38.8%		26.6%
+163
+187
+140
+180
0
1		-1.04611-1.07993-0.94685
Konyaspor
Antalyaspor		29.7%
42.6%		27.6%
+186
+175
+175
+165
1
1		-1.22697-1.21527-1.28558
Fenerbahce
Besiktas		27.9%
48.1%		24.0%
+187
+153
+175
+140
0
0		-1.28793-1.35767-1.42870
Hatayspor
Sivasspor		44.2%
29.8%		26.0%
+328
-105
+255
+110
2
1		-1.47731-1.31763-0.81651
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks20-1-1 (0.250)0-1.23880 
Sportsbooks20-1-1 (0.250)0-1.30286 
DRatings21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.10368
0.13512
0.19918

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)21.23.39.573.282.3%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)19.63.610.869.717.7%99.3%0.7%0.0%
3Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)17.06.910.161.20.0%0.7%87.8%0.0%
4Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)16.36.811.059.80.0%0.0%79.7%0.0%
5Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)15.010.18.954.00.0%0.0%4.5%0.0%
6Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)16.811.16.156.50.0%0.0%17.9%0.0%
7Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)14.99.110.154.70.0%0.0%9.4%0.0%
8Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)11.113.79.142.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)10.811.112.144.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)10.112.911.041.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)11.115.87.140.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
12Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)8.815.49.836.30.0%0.0%0.0%4.2%
13Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)8.616.68.734.70.0%0.0%0.0%22.0%
14Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)8.717.57.833.80.0%0.0%0.0%47.4%
15Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)6.814.312.933.30.0%0.0%0.0%47.8%
16Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)8.216.79.133.60.0%0.0%0.0%38.1%
17Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)9.218.56.233.90.0%0.0%0.0%43.6%
18Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)6.017.011.029.00.0%0.0%0.0%96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.