Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Kasımpaşa
Sivasspor
23.1%
53.0%
23.8%
+135
+195
+130
+195
0
0
-1.25927-1.33120-1.43435
Trabzonspor
Gaziantep FK
39.9%
33.7%
26.4%
+190
+145
+185
+150
0
3
-0.95954-0.96451-1.08889
Fenerbahce
Kayserispor
63.6%
16.1%
20.3%
-215
+475
-210
+500
6
2
-0.45766-0.43852-0.45194
Sivasspor
Fenerbahce
22.9%
53.5%
23.5%
+1200
-625
+1000
-475
0
4
-0.22342-0.24015-0.62482
Besiktas
Trabzonspor
38.7%
35.0%
26.3%
+120
+225
+120
+230
0
0
-1.26794-1.27418-1.33499
Konyaspor
Goztepe
30.0%
43.0%
26.9%
+275
-105
+300
-105
0
2
-0.73948-0.71980-0.84344
Trabzonspor
Rizespor
58.0%
19.7%
22.3%
+180
+140
+170
+160
1
3
-0.93328-1.00761-1.62450
Gaziantep FK
Hatayspor
26.2%
49.9%
23.9%
+200
+129
+220
+125
1
3
-0.89482-0.86074-0.69485
Kayserispor
Kasımpaşa
26.7%
48.0%
25.2%
+320
-123
+280
-115
2
1
-1.50036-1.38494-1.32039
Fenerbahce
Trabzonspor
33.2%
40.9%
25.8%
-112
+300
-120
+325
3
2
-0.69265-0.65589-1.10214
Trabzonspor
Konyaspor
53.3%
22.5%
24.2%
+195
+145
+185
+155
2
3
-0.96843-0.98556-1.49072
Kasımpaşa
Besiktas
11.9%
71.7%
16.4%
+390
-175
+460
-195
3
1
-1.65235-1.77378-2.12477
Rizespor
Sivasspor
21.8%
54.2%
24.0%
+165
+165
+185
+150
1
2
-1.03510-0.96451-0.61218
Goztepe
Gaziantep FK
23.9%
52.3%
23.8%
+180
+140
+175
+155
1
2
-0.94117-0.98481-0.64896
Besiktas
Galatasaray
31.5%
42.2%
26.3%
+295
-135
+320
-135
1
2
-0.62064-0.60373-0.86282
Antalyaspor
Alanyaspor
17.0%
61.3%
21.7%
+275
+100
+290
-105
2
1
-1.38914-1.41005-1.77113
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)21.23.39.573.282.3%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)19.63.610.869.717.7%99.3%0.7%0.0%
3Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)17.06.910.161.20.0%0.7%87.8%0.0%
4Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)16.36.811.059.80.0%0.0%79.7%0.0%
5Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)15.010.18.954.00.0%0.0%4.5%0.0%
6Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)16.811.16.156.50.0%0.0%17.9%0.0%
7Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)14.99.110.154.70.0%0.0%9.4%0.0%
8Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)11.113.79.142.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)10.811.112.144.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)10.112.911.041.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)11.115.87.140.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
12Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)8.815.49.836.30.0%0.0%0.0%4.2%
13Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)8.616.68.734.70.0%0.0%0.0%22.0%
14Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)8.717.57.833.80.0%0.0%0.0%47.4%
15Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)6.814.312.933.30.0%0.0%0.0%47.8%
16Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)8.216.79.133.60.0%0.0%0.0%38.1%
17Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)9.218.56.233.90.0%0.0%0.0%43.6%
18Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)6.017.011.029.00.0%0.0%0.0%96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.