Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 25, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Hatayspor
Besiktas 		27.9%
47.9%		24.2%
+1000
-550

1.21
1.67		2.88
o3½-122
u3½+102

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Rizespor
Konyaspor		29.0%
44.3%		26.7%
+300
-105
+290
-110
2
1		-1.41268-1.41022-1.23825
Fenerbahce
Ankaragucu		68.1%
13.5%		18.4%
-135
+350
-150
+400
1
0		-0.60296-0.55961-0.38428
Sivasspor
Besiktas		18.7%
59.7%		21.6%
+630
-250
+635
-250
0
2		-0.38534-0.38557-0.51589
Kayserispor
Antalyaspor		22.6%
52.3%		25.2%
+320
-115
+290
-115
1
1		-1.38994-1.38802-1.37976
Galatasaray
Gaziantep FK		47.6%
27.1%		25.3%
-200
+500
-195
+500
3
0		-0.45271-0.46267-0.74215
Konyaspor
Trabzonspor		16.8%
61.9%		21.3%
+232
+130
+210
+130
1
0		-1.22963-1.18159-1.78612
Karagumruk
Rizespor		51.0%
24.7%		24.2%
+254
+115
+245
+110
0
1		-0.80802-0.79239-1.39829
Trabzonspor
Kasımpaşa		56.8%
20.9%		22.3%
+136
+200
+140
+190
5
1		-0.90693-0.92553-0.56546
Hatayspor
Alanyaspor		30.9%
43.1%		25.9%
+260
+110
+245
+110
0
0		-1.30199-1.30328-1.34904
Ankaragucu
Karagumruk		12.8%
68.7%		18.4%
+190
+135
+190
+140
1
1		-1.32795-1.28844-1.69173
Antalyaspor
Sivasspor		26.9%
46.7%		26.4%
+188
+153
+200
+140
1
1		-1.22762-1.24559-1.33052
Rizespor
Trabzonspor		14.4%
66.3%		19.3%
+375
-135
+385
-150
3
2		-1.59870-1.63071-1.93614
Gaziantep FK
Konyaspor		45.4%
28.5%		26.1%
+310
-115
+340
-130
0
2		-0.67015-0.62146-1.25600
Sivasspor
Gaziantep FK		29.2%
44.9%		25.9%
+157
+175
+150
+170
3
1		-0.98561-0.96703-1.23182
Karagumruk
Trabzonspor		27.0%
48.1%		24.8%
+310
-115
+335
-130
2
0		-1.45887-1.52037-1.30807
Trabzonspor
Galatasaray		26.2%
48.3%		25.5%
+350
-140
+330
-135
0
2		-0.58727-0.60684-0.72741
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-2.05004 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-2.20727 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.76253
0.28751
0.44474

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)21.23.39.573.282.3%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)19.63.610.869.717.7%99.3%0.7%0.0%
3Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)17.06.910.161.20.0%0.7%87.8%0.0%
4Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)16.36.811.059.80.0%0.0%79.7%0.0%
5Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)15.010.18.954.00.0%0.0%4.5%0.0%
6Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)16.811.16.156.50.0%0.0%17.9%0.0%
7Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)14.99.110.154.70.0%0.0%9.4%0.0%
8Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)11.113.79.142.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)10.811.112.144.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)10.112.911.041.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)11.115.87.140.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
12Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)8.815.49.836.30.0%0.0%0.0%4.2%
13Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)8.616.68.734.70.0%0.0%0.0%22.0%
14Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)8.717.57.833.80.0%0.0%0.0%47.4%
15Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)6.814.312.933.30.0%0.0%0.0%47.8%
16Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)8.216.79.133.60.0%0.0%0.0%38.1%
17Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)9.218.56.233.90.0%0.0%0.0%43.6%
18Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)6.017.011.029.00.0%0.0%0.0%96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.