Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 22, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Antalyaspor
Kasımpaşa 		37.1%
35.6%		27.3%
+240
+100
+275
-110
1.24
1.21		2.45
o3+105
u3-120

Games for Sep 21, 2024
Games for Sep 23, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Trabzonspor
Ankaragucu		66.9%
13.8%		19.3%
+112
+268
-110
+310
2
1		-0.78014-0.69866-0.40142
Trabzonspor
Kayserispor		62.7%
16.3%		21.0%
+105
+273
+105
+255
2
1		-0.74948-0.76776-0.46756
Gaziantep FK
Kasımpaşa		49.0%
26.9%		24.2%
+228
+121
+200
+125
0
1		-0.81331-0.86138-1.31453
Alanyaspor
Fenerbahce		34.7%
38.9%		26.4%
+471
-173
+420
-175
0
5		-0.48918-0.50163-0.94446
Sivasspor
Ankaragucu		55.1%
20.8%		24.1%
+260
+118
+240
+115
1
2		-0.80290-0.81744-1.56911
Karagumruk
Trabzonspor		27.0%
48.1%		24.8%
+425
-158
+440
-160
0
0		-1.45672-1.43565-1.39300
Gaziantep FK
Trabzonspor		26.4%
49.1%		24.5%
+378
-142
+360
-145
2
3		-0.56179-0.57629-0.71101
Konyaspor
Galatasaray		12.7%
67.9%		19.4%
+399
-130
+380
-135
1
2		-0.59691-0.60259-0.38716
Kayserispor
Hatayspor		11.6%
71.0%		17.4%
+213
+142
+220
+125
4
0		-1.16091-1.21295-2.15081
Trabzonspor
Besiktas		27.5%
47.9%		24.5%
+228
+133
+225
+120
1
0		-1.21147-1.22946-1.29015
Antalyaspor
Kayserispor		43.4%
29.1%		27.5%
+184
+163
+170
+160
0
1		-0.98811-1.00761-1.23381
Galatasaray
Kasımpaşa		63.8%
15.9%		20.2%
-132
+354
-135
+335
3
2		-0.59256-0.60431-0.44868
Hatayspor
Konyaspor		54.0%
22.3%		23.6%
+394
-133
+375
-140
0
1		-0.58990-0.59122-1.49937
Ankaragucu
Alanyaspor		9.1%
75.3%		15.6%
+363
-125
+370
-145
1
2		-0.60908-0.57476-0.28417
Gaziantep FK
Galatasaray		20.5%
56.7%		22.8%
+436
-152
+440
-160
1
2		-0.53524-0.53485-0.56763
Kasımpaşa
Antalyaspor		28.3%
46.1%		25.6%
+355
-126
+375
-140
2
0		-1.53907-1.60719-1.26277
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks20-1-1 (0.250)0-1.23880 
Sportsbooks20-1-1 (0.250)0-1.30286 
DRatings21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.10368
0.13512
0.19918

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)21.23.39.573.282.3%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)19.63.610.869.717.7%99.3%0.7%0.0%
3Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)17.06.910.161.20.0%0.7%87.8%0.0%
4Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)16.36.811.059.80.0%0.0%79.7%0.0%
5Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)15.010.18.954.00.0%0.0%4.5%0.0%
6Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)16.811.16.156.50.0%0.0%17.9%0.0%
7Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)14.99.110.154.70.0%0.0%9.4%0.0%
8Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)11.113.79.142.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)10.811.112.144.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)10.112.911.041.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)11.115.87.140.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
12Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)8.815.49.836.30.0%0.0%0.0%4.2%
13Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)8.616.68.734.70.0%0.0%0.0%22.0%
14Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)8.717.57.833.80.0%0.0%0.0%47.4%
15Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)6.814.312.933.30.0%0.0%0.0%47.8%
16Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)8.216.79.133.60.0%0.0%0.0%38.1%
17Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)9.218.56.233.90.0%0.0%0.0%43.6%
18Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)6.017.011.029.00.0%0.0%0.0%96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.