Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated 30 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
10/27/2024 09:30 AM	Konyaspor Gaziantep FK	21.8% 54.5%	23.6%	+175 +160 +180 +155	1 3	-1.02887-0.98709	-0.60635
10/26/2024 04:00 PM	Trabzonspor Goztepe	51.0% 24.7%	24.3%	+180 +140 +195 +135	1 2	-0.93718-0.90342	-1.39845
10/26/2024 10:30 AM	Kayserispor Hatayspor	11.6% 71.0%	17.4%	+230 +112 +195 +135	1 0	-1.25653-1.13082	-2.15081
10/20/2024 04:00 PM	Kasımpaşa Alanyaspor	14.0% 67.4%	18.6%	+185 +150 +175 +150	2 1	-1.09982-1.05976	-1.96618
10/20/2024 01:00 PM	Konyaspor Besiktas	13.2% 68.3%	18.4%	+510 -210 +625 -230	0 2	-0.45828-0.41198	-0.38070
10/20/2024 10:30 AM	Hatayspor Sivasspor	44.2% 29.8%	26.0%	+210 +125 +235 +120	2 3	-0.87863-0.83873	-1.21160
10/19/2024 04:00 PM	Galatasaray Antalyaspor	57.5% 19.1%	23.3%	-200 +440 -200 +460	3 0	-0.47465-0.45561	-0.55344
10/19/2024 01:00 PM	Trabzonspor Trabzonspor	32.7% 40.8%	26.5%	+245 +110 +270 +100	0 1	-0.79633-0.74381	-0.89654
10/19/2024 10:30 AM	Gaziantep FK Kayserispor	55.5% 21.3%	23.3%	+190 +133 +190 +135	2 2	-1.31078-1.31770	-1.45826
10/06/2024 04:00 PM	Besiktas Gaziantep FK	47.1% 28.5%	24.4%	-123 +320 -130 +330	1 1	-1.37654-1.42341	-1.41120
10/06/2024 04:00 PM	Alanyaspor Galatasaray	28.0% 45.6%	26.3%	+725 -370 +750 -310	0 1	-0.31699-0.32907	-0.78419
10/05/2024 04:00 PM	Kayserispor Trabzonspor	11.8% 70.2%	17.9%	+340 -135 +345 -130	1 1	-1.41750-1.38673	-1.71886
10/05/2024 04:00 PM	Trabzonspor Hatayspor	32.6% 41.4%	26.0%	+145 +200 +135 +210	1 1	-1.23746-1.24382	-1.34650
10/05/2024 01:00 PM	Sivasspor Goztepe	38.3% 34.1%	27.6%	+390 -135 +430 -150	2 3	-0.60910-0.56136	-1.07590
10/04/2024 05:00 PM	Antalyaspor Rizespor	38.4% 33.8%	27.8%	+295 -114 +345 -130	1 2	-0.68790-0.62228	-1.08447
09/30/2024 05:00 PM	Besiktas Kayserispor	69.2% 12.8%	18.0%	-152 +370 -155 +385	3 0	-0.55818-0.54867	-0.36882

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation
1	Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)	21.2	3.3	9.5	73.2	82.3%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
2	Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)	19.6	3.6	10.8	69.7	17.7%	99.3%	0.7%	0.0%
3	Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)	17.0	6.9	10.1	61.2	0.0%	0.7%	87.8%	0.0%
4	Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)	16.3	6.8	11.0	59.8	0.0%	0.0%	79.7%	0.0%
5	Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)	15.0	10.1	8.9	54.0	0.0%	0.0%	4.5%	0.0%
6	Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)	16.8	11.1	6.1	56.5	0.0%	0.0%	17.9%	0.0%
7	Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)	14.9	9.1	10.1	54.7	0.0%	0.0%	9.4%	0.0%
8	Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)	11.1	13.7	9.1	42.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
9	Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)	10.8	11.1	12.1	44.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
10	Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)	10.1	12.9	11.0	41.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
11	Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)	11.1	15.8	7.1	40.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%
12	Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)	8.8	15.4	9.8	36.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	4.2%
13	Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)	8.6	16.6	8.7	34.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	22.0%
14	Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)	8.7	17.5	7.8	33.8	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	47.4%
15	Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)	6.8	14.3	12.9	33.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	47.8%
16	Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)	8.2	16.7	9.1	33.6	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	38.1%
17	Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)	9.2	18.5	6.2	33.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	43.6%
18	Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)	6.0	17.0	11.0	29.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.