Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 22, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Antalyaspor
Kasımpaşa 		37.1%
35.6%		27.3%
+250
-105
+275
-110
1.24
1.21		2.45
o3+105
u3-120

Games for Sep 21, 2024
Games for Sep 23, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Besiktas
Ankaragucu		72.9%
10.7%		16.3%
-139
+395
-140
+360
3
2		-0.56514-0.58848-0.31564
Kayserispor
Fenerbahce		11.6%
71.2%		17.2%
+618
-220
+600
-240
0
2		-0.39730-0.39591-0.33955
Alanyaspor
Trabzonspor		34.6%
38.1%		27.2%
+400
-125
+335
-125
0
2		-0.60364-0.63858-0.96414
Karagumruk
Sivasspor		36.6%
35.6%		27.8%
+260
+115
+250
+110
0
0		-1.27683-1.28884-1.28096
Sivasspor
Besiktas		18.7%
59.7%		21.6%
+515
-185
+525
-200
1
3		-0.46037-0.45558-0.51589
Fenerbahce
Konyaspor		54.2%
22.4%		23.4%
-110
+314
-110
+280
0
1		-1.44545-1.38390-1.49767
Galatasaray
Trabzonspor		39.3%
33.2%		27.5%
+175
+171
+180
+150
0
0		-1.27097-1.27379-1.29178
Hatayspor
Kasımpaşa		57.5%
20.7%		21.8%
+259
+110
+250
+100
0
1		-0.75833-0.74421-1.57552
Ankaragucu
Karagumruk		12.8%
68.7%		18.4%
+225
+115
+245
+105
1
4		-0.81191-0.76819-0.37477
Antalyaspor
Gaziantep FK		23.9%
51.7%		24.4%
+189
+159
+190
+145
2
5		-0.97755-0.94631-0.66054
Alanyaspor
Sivasspor		45.9%
27.9%		26.2%
+194
+156
+170
+155
1
1		-1.27931-1.28942-1.33914
Karagumruk
Besiktas		22.1%
55.4%		22.5%
+385
-135
+370
-140
1
4		-0.57570-0.59018-0.59101
Kayserispor
Trabzonspor		11.8%
70.2%		17.9%
+447
-147
+500
-175
0
2		-0.54352-0.50073-0.35351
Trabzonspor
Antalyaspor		50.4%
24.6%		24.9%
+178
+172
+175
+165
2
5		-1.01852-1.02210-1.40076
Gaziantep FK
Hatayspor		26.2%
49.9%		23.9%
+185
+166
+175
+155
2
1		-1.05976-1.06031-1.33884
Fenerbahce
Kasımpaşa		57.7%
20.7%		21.6%
+100
+280
-105
+255
6
0		-0.70621-0.71812-0.55012
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks20-1-1 (0.250)0-1.23880 
Sportsbooks20-1-1 (0.250)0-1.30286 
DRatings21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.10368
0.13512
0.19918

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)21.23.39.573.282.3%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)19.63.610.869.717.7%99.3%0.7%0.0%
3Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)17.06.910.161.20.0%0.7%87.8%0.0%
4Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)16.36.811.059.80.0%0.0%79.7%0.0%
5Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)15.010.18.954.00.0%0.0%4.5%0.0%
6Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)16.811.16.156.50.0%0.0%17.9%0.0%
7Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)14.99.110.154.70.0%0.0%9.4%0.0%
8Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)11.113.79.142.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)10.811.112.144.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)10.112.911.041.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)11.115.87.140.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
12Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)8.815.49.836.30.0%0.0%0.0%4.2%
13Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)8.616.68.734.70.0%0.0%0.0%22.0%
14Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)8.717.57.833.80.0%0.0%0.0%47.4%
15Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)6.814.312.933.30.0%0.0%0.0%47.8%
16Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)8.216.79.133.60.0%0.0%0.0%38.1%
17Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)9.218.56.233.90.0%0.0%0.0%43.6%
18Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)6.017.011.029.00.0%0.0%0.0%96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.