Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 22, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Antalyaspor
Kasımpaşa 		37.1%
35.6%		27.3%
+250
-105
+265
-105
1.24
1.21		2.45
o3-104
u3-115

Games for Sep 21, 2024
Games for Sep 23, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Trabzonspor
Konyaspor		53.3%
22.5%		24.2%
+131
+236
+130
+205
0
0		-1.26061-1.28953-1.42018
Besiktas
Alanyaspor		36.2%
37.0%		26.8%
+145
+194
+135
+185
3
3		-1.31875-1.34389-1.31710
Ankaragucu
Gaziantep FK		13.2%
68.2%		18.6%
+288
+106
+275
+100
0
1		-0.74803-0.74421-0.38255
Konyaspor
Ankaragucu		45.3%
27.8%		26.9%
+137
+216
+125
+215
0
0		-1.28479-1.28884-1.31260
Kasımpaşa
Trabzonspor		15.3%
65.4%		19.3%
+297
+105
+275
-105
0
4		-0.72921-0.71701-0.42509
Galatasaray
Antalyaspor		57.5%
19.1%		23.3%
+185
+160
+175
+155
1
0		-1.06831-1.06031-0.55344
Alanyaspor
Karagumruk		41.2%
32.1%		26.6%
+208
+130
+160
+165
4
2		-1.16296-1.00605-0.88566
Kayserispor
Besiktas		9.2%
75.8%		15.0%
+500
-186
+500
-195
0
1		-0.45959-0.46267-0.27764
Gaziantep FK
Sivasspor		36.0%
36.5%		27.5%
+240
+129
+215
+130
1
1		-1.24838-1.25846-1.28960
Alanyaspor
Karagumruk		41.2%
32.1%		26.6%
+128
+200
+110
+215
1
0		-0.85534-0.79396-0.88566
Trabzonspor
Trabzonspor		32.7%
40.8%		26.5%
+551
-192
+600
-200
1
3		-0.44879-0.45751-0.89654
Fenerbahce
Yeni Malatyaspor		53.4%
23.2%		23.4%
-421
+964
-400
+900
5
0		-0.27117-0.27017-0.62676
Konyaspor
Besiktas		13.2%
68.3%		18.4%
+262
-100
+250
-105
1
1		-1.41408-1.43309-1.69228
Kayserispor
Sivasspor		18.2%
59.0%		22.8%
+201
+136
+320
-120
1
2		-0.88741-0.65857-0.52728
Rizespor
Gaziantep FK		19.0%
59.3%		21.6%
+300
-119
+320
-130
0
2		-0.63609-0.62248-0.52195
Galatasaray
Antalyaspor		57.5%
19.1%		23.3%
+230
+119
+205
+120
1
1		-1.35755-1.35969-1.45483
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks20-1-1 (0.250)0-1.23880 
Sportsbooks20-1-1 (0.250)0-1.30286 
DRatings21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.10368
0.13512
0.19918

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)21.23.39.573.282.3%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)19.63.610.869.717.7%99.3%0.7%0.0%
3Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)17.06.910.161.20.0%0.7%87.8%0.0%
4Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)16.36.811.059.80.0%0.0%79.7%0.0%
5Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)15.010.18.954.00.0%0.0%4.5%0.0%
6Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)16.811.16.156.50.0%0.0%17.9%0.0%
7Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)14.99.110.154.70.0%0.0%9.4%0.0%
8Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)11.113.79.142.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)10.811.112.144.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)10.112.911.041.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)11.115.87.140.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
12Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)8.815.49.836.30.0%0.0%0.0%4.2%
13Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)8.616.68.734.70.0%0.0%0.0%22.0%
14Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)8.717.57.833.80.0%0.0%0.0%47.4%
15Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)6.814.312.933.30.0%0.0%0.0%47.8%
16Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)8.216.79.133.60.0%0.0%0.0%38.1%
17Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)9.218.56.233.90.0%0.0%0.0%43.6%
18Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)6.017.011.029.00.0%0.0%0.0%96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.