Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 22, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Antalyaspor
Kasımpaşa 		37.1%
35.6%		27.3%
+250
-105
+265
-105
1.24
1.21		2.45
o3-104
u3-115

Games for Sep 21, 2024
Games for Sep 23, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Sivasspor
Rizespor		45.2%
28.4%		26.4%
+126
+196
+125
+210
2
1		-0.87184-0.86232-0.79456
Hatayspor
Konyaspor		54.0%
22.3%		23.6%
+499
-215
+500
-210
1
3		-0.44021-0.43852-1.49937
Antalyaspor
Kasımpaşa		37.1%
35.6%		27.3%
+175
+145
+165
+145
4
2		-1.03877-1.02544-0.99153
Karagumruk
Fenerbahce		26.9%
48.9%		24.1%
+361
-145
+375
-155
0
0		-1.49188-1.50828-1.42113
Gaziantep FK
Alanyaspor		24.4%
51.5%		24.0%
+631
-232
+625
-250
0
3		-0.39107-0.38737-0.66289
Besiktas
Goztepe		58.2%
20.1%		21.7%
-174
+440
-180
+395
2
0		-0.48436-0.49164-0.54137
Yeni Malatyaspor
Kayserispor		41.8%
30.7%		27.5%
+579
-240
+675
-275
0
3		-0.40010-0.35994-1.18127
Konyaspor
Antalyaspor		29.7%
42.6%		27.6%
+186
+140
+180
+145
2
3		-0.91787-0.94585-0.85362
Fenerbahce
Besiktas		27.9%
48.1%		24.0%
+198
+138
+185
+135
1
1		-1.33800-1.34389-1.42870
Rizespor
Yeni Malatyaspor		28.3%
45.7%		26.0%
+114
+252
-115
+290
3
1		-0.78730-0.67548-1.26298
Galatasaray
Trabzonspor		39.3%
33.2%		27.5%
+350
-114
+320
-115
0
0		-1.33325-1.33044-1.29178
Goztepe
Karagumruk		23.3%
53.0%		23.7%
+455
-189
+445
-180
1
3		-0.48141-0.49407-0.63450
Kasımpaşa
Sivasspor		23.1%
53.0%		23.8%
+150
+189
+195
+135
3
1		-0.93757-1.13082-1.46512
Kayserispor
Gaziantep FK		15.7%
64.0%		20.3%
+398
-131
+340
-130
1
1		-1.37535-1.39897-1.59450
Trabzonspor
Hatayspor		32.6%
41.4%		26.0%
+167
+160
+165
+155
1
1		-1.34923-1.31692-1.34650
Rizespor
Goztepe		27.0%
47.8%		25.2%
+244
+114
+290
-110
7
1		-1.25372-1.41022-1.31115
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks20-1-1 (0.250)0-1.23880 
Sportsbooks20-1-1 (0.250)0-1.30286 
DRatings21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.10368
0.13512
0.19918

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)21.23.39.573.282.3%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)19.63.610.869.717.7%99.3%0.7%0.0%
3Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)17.06.910.161.20.0%0.7%87.8%0.0%
4Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)16.36.811.059.80.0%0.0%79.7%0.0%
5Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)15.010.18.954.00.0%0.0%4.5%0.0%
6Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)16.811.16.156.50.0%0.0%17.9%0.0%
7Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)14.99.110.154.70.0%0.0%9.4%0.0%
8Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)11.113.79.142.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)10.811.112.144.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)10.112.911.041.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)11.115.87.140.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
12Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)8.815.49.836.30.0%0.0%0.0%4.2%
13Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)8.616.68.734.70.0%0.0%0.0%22.0%
14Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)8.717.57.833.80.0%0.0%0.0%47.4%
15Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)6.814.312.933.30.0%0.0%0.0%47.8%
16Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)8.216.79.133.60.0%0.0%0.0%38.1%
17Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)9.218.56.233.90.0%0.0%0.0%43.6%
18Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)6.017.011.029.00.0%0.0%0.0%96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.