Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 22, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Antalyaspor
Kasımpaşa 		37.1%
35.6%		27.3%
+250
-105
+265
-105
1.24
1.21		2.45
o3-104
u3-115

Games for Sep 21, 2024
Games for Sep 23, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Sivasspor
Galatasaray		17.8%
59.6%		22.6%
+331
-111
+325
-120
3
2		-1.48400-1.49669-1.72418
Yeni Malatyaspor
Alanyaspor		15.9%
63.4%		20.6%
+1638
-735
+980
-370
1
2		-0.17300-0.29157-0.45558
Besiktas
Kayserispor		69.2%
12.8%		18.0%
+118
+205
-115
+285
3
2		-0.83257-0.67548-0.36882
Antalyaspor
Trabzonspor		18.5%
59.3%		22.2%
+401
-132
+370
-135
2
2		-1.37405-1.37425-1.50620
Trabzonspor
Kasımpaşa		56.8%
20.9%		22.3%
+155
+186
+170
+160
3
2		-0.96808-1.04537-0.56546
Karagumruk
Konyaspor		46.2%
27.8%		26.0%
+380
-139
+310
-125
2
1		-1.60192-1.45925-0.77210
Gaziantep FK
Fenerbahce		26.2%
49.9%		23.8%
+701
-252
+675
-260
2
3		-0.36600-0.37733-0.69473
Alanyaspor
Sivasspor		45.9%
27.9%		26.2%
+241
+125
+200
+135
0
1		-0.83328-0.90199-1.27762
Kasımpaşa
Besiktas		11.9%
71.7%		16.4%
+316
-119
+290
-120
3
0		-1.45342-1.41153-2.12477
Kayserispor
Antalyaspor		22.6%
52.3%		25.2%
+472
-155
+460
-165
1
1		-1.42791-1.43624-1.37976
Hatayspor
Trabzonspor		33.2%
40.8%		26.0%
+495
-161
+500
-170
0
3		-0.51213-0.51400-0.89715
Konyaspor
Yeni Malatyaspor		31.3%
41.0%		27.6%
-167
+480
-185
+485
3
2		-0.49819-0.48342-1.16047
Goztepe
Gaziantep FK		23.9%
52.3%		23.8%
+343
-128
+320
-125
1
1		-1.42841-1.40011-1.43586
Fenerbahce
Rizespor		59.0%
19.5%		21.4%
-155
+425
-175
+450
6
0		-0.52567-0.50408-0.52690
Yeni Malatyaspor
Galatasaray		13.2%
67.5%		19.3%
+1435
-492
+1300
-500
0
2		-0.21539-0.23389-0.39349
Gaziantep FK
Konyaspor		45.4%
28.5%		26.1%
+347
-114
+320
-120
1
4		-0.65541-0.65514-1.25600
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks20-1-1 (0.250)0-1.23880 
Sportsbooks20-1-1 (0.250)0-1.30286 
DRatings21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.10368
0.13512
0.19918

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)21.23.39.573.282.3%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)19.63.610.869.717.7%99.3%0.7%0.0%
3Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)17.06.910.161.20.0%0.7%87.8%0.0%
4Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)16.36.811.059.80.0%0.0%79.7%0.0%
5Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)15.010.18.954.00.0%0.0%4.5%0.0%
6Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)16.811.16.156.50.0%0.0%17.9%0.0%
7Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)14.99.110.154.70.0%0.0%9.4%0.0%
8Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)11.113.79.142.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)10.811.112.144.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)10.112.911.041.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)11.115.87.140.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
12Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)8.815.49.836.30.0%0.0%0.0%4.2%
13Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)8.616.68.734.70.0%0.0%0.0%22.0%
14Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)8.717.57.833.80.0%0.0%0.0%47.4%
15Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)6.814.312.933.30.0%0.0%0.0%47.8%
16Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)8.216.79.133.60.0%0.0%0.0%38.1%
17Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)9.218.56.233.90.0%0.0%0.0%43.6%
18Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)6.017.011.029.00.0%0.0%0.0%96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.