Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated 31 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
05/12/2024 04:00 PM	Besiktas Alanyaspor	36.2% 37.0%	26.8%	+135 +174 +135 +180	1 1	-1.35720-1.36991	-1.31710
05/12/2024 04:00 PM	Kayserispor Fenerbahce	11.6% 71.2%	17.2%	+1300 -625 +1350 -650	0 3	-0.21311-0.19372	-0.33955
05/12/2024 04:00 PM	Antalyaspor Kasımpaşa	37.1% 35.6%	27.3%	+310 -134 +355 -135	1 3	-0.62790-0.60373	-1.03392
05/12/2024 04:00 PM	Ankaragucu Hatayspor	9.7% 74.7%	15.6%	+165 +155 +180 +155	1 2	-0.99777-0.98709	-0.29165
05/12/2024 04:00 PM	Trabzonspor Sivasspor	43.5% 29.9%	26.5%	+128 +210 +130 +225	1 0	-0.88639-0.88187	-0.83147
05/12/2024 04:00 PM	Galatasaray Karagumruk	46.5% 27.7%	25.9%	-238 +520 -235 +550	3 2	-0.42195-0.40470	-0.76606
05/06/2024 05:00 PM	Fenerbahce Konyaspor	54.2% 22.4%	23.4%	-250 +650 -245 +600	0 0	-1.58905-1.66919	-1.45261
05/05/2024 04:00 PM	Sivasspor Galatasaray	17.8% 59.6%	22.6%	+1200 -667 +1600 -750	1 6	-0.20594-0.17327	-0.51772
05/05/2024 04:00 PM	Hatayspor Gaziantep FK	40.6% 33.6%	25.8%	+215 +135 +235 +130	1 1	-1.20608-1.19690	-1.35577
05/05/2024 01:00 PM	Kasımpaşa Trabzonspor	15.3% 65.4%	19.3%	+270 +100 +255 +105	1 4	-0.75967-0.76776	-0.42509
05/04/2024 04:00 PM	Karagumruk Kayserispor	56.0% 20.7%	23.3%	+155 +165 +165 +155	2 2	-1.29605-1.31692	-1.45569
05/03/2024 05:00 PM	Alanyaspor Ankaragucu	68.8% 12.6%	18.6%	+220 +123 +225 +115	1 1	-1.28793-1.33025	-1.67981
05/03/2024 05:00 PM	Rizespor Besiktas	11.3% 72.4%	16.3%	+350 -139 +345 -140	2 3	-0.60360-0.58965	-0.32307
04/29/2024 05:00 PM	Antalyaspor Karagumruk	23.3% 52.4%	24.3%	+350 -145 +350 -130	1 4	-0.58661-0.61990	-0.64632
04/28/2024 04:00 PM	Ankaragucu Rizespor	24.3% 50.7%	25.0%	+255 +105 +295 -105	2 2	-1.27472-1.30258	-1.38729
04/28/2024 04:00 PM	Gaziantep FK Trabzonspor	26.4% 49.1%	24.5%	+500 -190 +500 -190	2 4	-0.48652-0.47329	-0.71101

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation
1	Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)	21.2	3.3	9.5	73.2	82.3%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
2	Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)	19.6	3.6	10.8	69.7	17.7%	99.3%	0.7%	0.0%
3	Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)	17.0	6.9	10.1	61.2	0.0%	0.7%	87.8%	0.0%
4	Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)	16.3	6.8	11.0	59.8	0.0%	0.0%	79.7%	0.0%
5	Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)	15.0	10.1	8.9	54.0	0.0%	0.0%	4.5%	0.0%
6	Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)	16.8	11.1	6.1	56.5	0.0%	0.0%	17.9%	0.0%
7	Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)	14.9	9.1	10.1	54.7	0.0%	0.0%	9.4%	0.0%
8	Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)	11.1	13.7	9.1	42.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
9	Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)	10.8	11.1	12.1	44.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
10	Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)	10.1	12.9	11.0	41.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
11	Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)	11.1	15.8	7.1	40.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%
12	Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)	8.8	15.4	9.8	36.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	4.2%
13	Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)	8.6	16.6	8.7	34.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	22.0%
14	Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)	8.7	17.5	7.8	33.8	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	47.4%
15	Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)	6.8	14.3	12.9	33.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	47.8%
16	Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)	8.2	16.7	9.1	33.6	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	38.1%
17	Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)	9.2	18.5	6.2	33.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	43.6%
18	Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)	6.0	17.0	11.0	29.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.