Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 22, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Antalyaspor
Kasımpaşa 		37.1%
35.6%		27.3%
+265
-110
+275
-110
1.24
1.21		2.45
o3-104
u3-112

Games for Sep 21, 2024
Games for Sep 23, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Goztepe
Fenerbahce		18.3%
60.9%		20.8%
+710
-252
+800
-300
0
2		-0.36015-0.33627-0.49551
Antalyaspor
Alanyaspor		17.0%
61.3%		21.7%
+258
+114
+260
+105
3
1		-1.30173-1.33094-1.77113
Sivasspor
Hatayspor		22.9%
53.4%		23.7%
+278
+111
+225
+120
1
1		-1.28489-1.28913-1.43864
Rizespor
Kayserispor		36.9%
35.0%		28.0%
+269
+105
+265
+105
1
1		-1.35085-1.28870-1.27193
Karagumruk
Trabzonspor		27.0%
48.1%		24.8%
+583
-205
+580
-230
1
1		-1.56136-1.59430-1.39300
Hatayspor
Antalyaspor		51.1%
24.5%		24.4%
+294
+102
+275
+100
1
4		-0.72493-0.74421-1.40768
Galatasaray
Fenerbahce		39.5%
33.8%		26.8%
+263
+117
+235
+115
0
2		-0.79334-0.81362-1.08578
Trabzonspor
Sivasspor		43.5%
29.9%		26.5%
+187
+169
+170
+170
2
0		-1.08181-1.04512-0.83147
Alanyaspor
Besiktas		29.5%
45.2%		25.2%
+390
-146
+385
-155
1
4		-0.55036-0.54867-0.79359
Trabzonspor
Gaziantep FK		39.9%
33.7%		26.4%
+128
+236
+115
+225
0
0		-1.28674-1.32002-1.33075
Konyaspor
Rizespor		35.6%
36.1%		28.3%
+111
+246
+100
+250
1
2		-1.27465-1.30383-1.01902
Kayserispor
Goztepe		22.7%
52.8%		24.5%
+264
+103
+245
+100
2
1		-1.31804-1.29000-1.48329
Kasımpaşa
Karagumruk		19.6%
58.9%		21.5%
+138
+195
+155
+170
2
3		-1.12184-1.04432-0.52901
Yeni Malatyaspor
Trabzonspor		17.4%
61.3%		21.3%
+1000
-294
+850
-300
0
1		-0.31448-0.33774-0.48874
Besiktas
Trabzonspor		38.7%
35.0%		26.3%
+252
+113
+260
+100
1
1		-1.32392-1.34519-1.33499
Rizespor
Alanyaspor		13.2%
68.2%		18.6%
+469
-175
+445
-175
1
2		-0.47925-0.50307-0.38340
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks20-1-1 (0.250)0-1.23880 
Sportsbooks20-1-1 (0.250)0-1.30286 
DRatings21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.10368
0.13512
0.19918

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)21.23.39.573.282.3%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)19.63.610.869.717.7%99.3%0.7%0.0%
3Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)17.06.910.161.20.0%0.7%87.8%0.0%
4Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)16.36.811.059.80.0%0.0%79.7%0.0%
5Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)15.010.18.954.00.0%0.0%4.5%0.0%
6Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)16.811.16.156.50.0%0.0%17.9%0.0%
7Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)14.99.110.154.70.0%0.0%9.4%0.0%
8Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)11.113.79.142.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)10.811.112.144.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)10.112.911.041.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)11.115.87.140.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
12Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)8.815.49.836.30.0%0.0%0.0%4.2%
13Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)8.616.68.734.70.0%0.0%0.0%22.0%
14Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)8.717.57.833.80.0%0.0%0.0%47.4%
15Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)6.814.312.933.30.0%0.0%0.0%47.8%
16Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)8.216.79.133.60.0%0.0%0.0%38.1%
17Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)9.218.56.233.90.0%0.0%0.0%43.6%
18Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)6.017.011.029.00.0%0.0%0.0%96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.