Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated 31 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
04/27/2024 04:00 PM	Besiktas Fenerbahce	38.8% 35.5%	25.7%	+620 -250 +590 -245	1 2	-0.40033-0.39218	-1.03547
04/27/2024 04:00 PM	Trabzonspor Hatayspor	32.6% 41.4%	26.0%	+144 +194 +140 +200	2 1	-0.95724-0.92712	-1.12147
04/27/2024 01:00 PM	Konyaspor Sivasspor	24.7% 49.5%	25.8%	+165 +195 +205 +145	0 1	-1.11505-0.94819	-0.70277
04/22/2024 05:00 PM	Fenerbahce Sivasspor	44.3% 29.9%	25.8%	-357 +775 -350 +950	2 2	-1.77916-1.77308	-1.35456
04/21/2024 04:00 PM	Kasımpaşa Gaziantep FK	20.2% 58.2%	21.6%	+155 +160 +155 +170	0 2	-1.02809-1.04432	-0.54146
04/21/2024 04:00 PM	Hatayspor Antalyaspor	51.1% 24.5%	24.4%	+270 -108 +290 -105	1 2	-0.72792-0.71812	-1.40768
04/21/2024 10:30 AM	Rizespor Trabzonspor	14.4% 66.3%	19.3%	+215 +120 +250 +110	0 2	-0.84847-0.79239	-0.41157
04/20/2024 04:00 PM	Trabzonspor Kayserispor	62.7% 16.3%	21.0%	+111 +220 +105 +235	2 1	-0.81635-0.76947	-0.46756
04/20/2024 01:00 PM	Alanyaspor Konyaspor	55.4% 20.8%	23.8%	+205 +128 +270 +105	2 0	-1.18669-1.35922	-0.59066
04/19/2024 05:00 PM	Ankaragucu Besiktas	7.7% 78.8%	13.5%	+275 -110 +315 -120	0 2	-0.72005-0.65452	-0.23816
04/15/2024 05:00 PM	Galatasaray Alanyaspor	36.8% 35.2%	28.0%	-217 +470 -210 +490	4 0	-0.45136-0.43920	-0.99916
04/14/2024 04:00 PM	Fenerbahce Karagumruk	39.6% 34.4%	26.0%	-238 +560 -230 +650	2 1	-0.43044-0.41220	-0.92553
04/14/2024 01:00 PM	Antalyaspor Rizespor	38.4% 33.8%	27.8%	+285 -120 +300 -120	0 3	-0.66906-0.65670	-1.08447
04/13/2024 01:00 PM	Gaziantep FK Ankaragucu	60.2% 18.1%	21.6%	+330 -120 +375 -125	1 3	-0.66791-0.63828	-1.70705
04/13/2024 10:30 AM	Konyaspor Kasımpaşa	34.5% 38.1%	27.4%	+270 -105 +280 -105	2 0	-1.37817-1.38677	-1.06514
04/12/2024 05:00 PM	Sivasspor Trabzonspor	23.1% 52.6%	24.3%	+600 -238 +620 -230	1 0	-2.00828-2.02374	-1.46603

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation
1	Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)	21.2	3.3	9.5	73.2	82.3%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
2	Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)	19.6	3.6	10.8	69.7	17.7%	99.3%	0.7%	0.0%
3	Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)	17.0	6.9	10.1	61.2	0.0%	0.7%	87.8%	0.0%
4	Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)	16.3	6.8	11.0	59.8	0.0%	0.0%	79.7%	0.0%
5	Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)	15.0	10.1	8.9	54.0	0.0%	0.0%	4.5%	0.0%
6	Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)	16.8	11.1	6.1	56.5	0.0%	0.0%	17.9%	0.0%
7	Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)	14.9	9.1	10.1	54.7	0.0%	0.0%	9.4%	0.0%
8	Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)	11.1	13.7	9.1	42.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
9	Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)	10.8	11.1	12.1	44.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
10	Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)	10.1	12.9	11.0	41.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
11	Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)	11.1	15.8	7.1	40.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%
12	Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)	8.8	15.4	9.8	36.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	4.2%
13	Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)	8.6	16.6	8.7	34.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	22.0%
14	Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)	8.7	17.5	7.8	33.8	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	47.4%
15	Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)	6.8	14.3	12.9	33.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	47.8%
16	Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)	8.2	16.7	9.1	33.6	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	38.1%
17	Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)	9.2	18.5	6.2	33.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	43.6%
18	Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)	6.0	17.0	11.0	29.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.