Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 23, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Kayserispor
Goztepe 		22.7%
52.8%		24.5%
+300
-120
+335
-125
1.00
1.65		2.65
o2½-127
u2¾-120

Trabzonspor
Gaziantep FK 		39.9%
33.7%		26.4%
+121
+220
+120
+240
1.36
1.22		2.58
o2½-112
u2½-108

Games for Sep 22, 2024
Games for Sep 27, 2024

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Antalyaspor
Kasımpaşa 		37.1%
35.6%		27.3%
+270
-110
+285
-115
2.45
o3-105
u3-112

2nd H
72:00		0
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Goztepe
Konyaspor		34.6%
37.4%		28.0%
+365
-126
+300
-115
0
3		-0.60905-0.67598-0.98374
Gaziantep FK
Kasımpaşa		49.0%
26.9%		24.2%
+320
-112
+310
-115
1
2		-0.66324-0.67712-1.31453
Karagumruk
Galatasaray		21.1%
55.5%		23.4%
+419
-160
+380
-145
0
2		-0.53561-0.57346-0.58821
Fenerbahce
Kayserispor		63.6%
16.1%		20.3%
-106
+286
-105
+255
4
0		-0.69213-0.72128-0.45194
Konyaspor
Fenerbahce		16.6%
62.9%		20.5%
+425
-155
+360
-135
1
2		-0.51530-0.60462-0.46321
Galatasaray
Gaziantep FK		47.6%
27.1%		25.3%
+168
+174
+145
+185
1
3		-1.05182-1.09910-1.30730
Hatayspor
Besiktas		27.9%
47.9%		24.2%
+415
-154
+420
-160
1
1		-1.49290-1.46132-1.42055
Alanyaspor
Goztepe		53.2%
22.8%		23.9%
+183
+135
+185
+145
2
0		-1.09106-1.09910-0.63021
Kasımpaşa
Yeni Malatyaspor		29.8%
44.3%		25.9%
-118
+321
-105
+275
2
0		-0.65101-0.72054-1.21013
Kayserispor
Karagumruk		15.2%
64.4%		20.3%
+275
-105
+230
+115
0
3		-0.72414-0.81792-0.43971
Trabzonspor
Rizespor		58.0%
19.7%		22.3%
-130
+335
-155
+405
2
3		-1.51668-1.67083-1.62450
Besiktas
Galatasaray		31.5%
42.2%		26.3%
+212
+137
+205
+135
1
2		-0.88753-0.90503-0.86282
Antalyaspor
Trabzonspor		18.5%
59.3%		22.2%
+277
+115
+360
-120
1
0		-1.37381-1.57741-1.68653
Fenerbahce
Alanyaspor		31.0%
43.3%		25.7%
+162
+176
+160
+170
5
2		-0.98854-1.00343-1.17147
Konyaspor
Kayserispor		40.5%
31.4%		28.0%
+131
+210
+140
+195
3
2		-0.87919-0.92821-0.90278
Goztepe
Trabzonspor		18.5%
60.0%		21.5%
+381
-144
+410
-160
2
4		-0.56072-0.53389-0.51086
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.21655 
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.30324 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.92973
0.28682
0.37351

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)21.23.39.573.282.3%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)19.63.610.869.717.7%99.3%0.7%0.0%
3Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)17.06.910.161.20.0%0.7%87.8%0.0%
4Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)16.36.811.059.80.0%0.0%79.7%0.0%
5Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)15.010.18.954.00.0%0.0%4.5%0.0%
6Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)16.811.16.156.50.0%0.0%17.9%0.0%
7Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)14.99.110.154.70.0%0.0%9.4%0.0%
8Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)11.113.79.142.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)10.811.112.144.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)10.112.911.041.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)11.115.87.140.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
12Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)8.815.49.836.30.0%0.0%0.0%4.2%
13Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)8.616.68.734.70.0%0.0%0.0%22.0%
14Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)8.717.57.833.80.0%0.0%0.0%47.4%
15Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)6.814.312.933.30.0%0.0%0.0%47.8%
16Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)8.216.79.133.60.0%0.0%0.0%38.1%
17Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)9.218.56.233.90.0%0.0%0.0%43.6%
18Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)6.017.011.029.00.0%0.0%0.0%96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.