Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 25, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Hatayspor
Besiktas 		27.9%
47.9%		24.2%
+1000
-550

1.21
1.67		2.88
o3½-118
u3½-102

Games for Apr 24, 2025
Games for Apr 26, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Trabzonspor
Hatayspor		32.6%
41.4%		26.0%
-125
+383
-130
+375
1
2		-1.60028-1.60664-0.88216
Alanyaspor
Besiktas		29.5%
45.2%		25.2%
+427
-150
+415
-165
0
3		-0.53556-0.52197-0.79359
Ankaragucu
Konyaspor		21.3%
54.2%		24.4%
+246
+120
+245
+115
1
0		-1.27827-1.28630-1.54506
Karagumruk
Alanyaspor		25.0%
50.4%		24.6%
+290
-115
+285
-120
2
2		-1.42674-1.44953-1.40381
Besiktas
Kayserispor		69.2%
12.8%		18.0%
+113
+243
+110
+225
2
0		-0.78981-0.79125-0.36882
Sivasspor
Gaziantep FK		29.2%
44.9%		25.9%
+215
+144
+195
+145
2
1		-1.17818-1.13075-1.23182
Antalyaspor
Galatasaray		14.1%
65.6%		20.3%
+900
-309
+825
-300
1
2		-0.31114-0.33687-0.42170
Trabzonspor
Kasımpaşa		56.8%
20.9%		22.3%
+137
+222
+135
+210
3
1		-0.88834-0.90429-0.56546
Fenerbahce
Gaziantep FK		40.6%
33.7%		25.8%
-130
+376
-125
+325
2
1		-0.59860-0.63713-0.90202
Karagumruk
Kasımpaşa		49.7%
26.1%		24.1%
+205
+125
+215
+110
2
2		-1.32980-1.40007-1.42288
Trabzonspor
Trabzonspor		32.7%
40.8%		26.5%
+320
+109
+275
+105
0
1		-0.73622-0.76947-0.89654
Besiktas
Konyaspor		60.3%
18.2%		21.5%
+165
+173
+165
+155
2
1		-0.99883-1.02449-0.50549
Hatayspor
Galatasaray		26.5%
48.4%		25.1%
+950
-350

0
4		-0.27829-0.72559
Sivasspor
Kayserispor		50.3%
24.1%		25.6%
+240
+129

1
4		-0.85743-1.42258
Trabzonspor
Alanyaspor		30.6%
43.2%		26.2%
+130
+226
+120
+225
0
5		-1.20391-1.22550-0.83898
Galatasaray
Fenerbahce		39.5%
33.8%		26.8%
+249
+123
+240
+120
3
0		-1.25882-1.27418-0.92973
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)21.23.39.573.282.3%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)19.63.610.869.717.7%99.3%0.7%0.0%
3Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)17.06.910.161.20.0%0.7%87.8%0.0%
4Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)16.36.811.059.80.0%0.0%79.7%0.0%
5Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)15.010.18.954.00.0%0.0%4.5%0.0%
6Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)16.811.16.156.50.0%0.0%17.9%0.0%
7Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)14.99.110.154.70.0%0.0%9.4%0.0%
8Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)11.113.79.142.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)10.811.112.144.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)10.112.911.041.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)11.115.87.140.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
12Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)8.815.49.836.30.0%0.0%0.0%4.2%
13Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)8.616.68.734.70.0%0.0%0.0%22.0%
14Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)8.717.57.833.80.0%0.0%0.0%47.4%
15Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)6.814.312.933.30.0%0.0%0.0%47.8%
16Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)8.216.79.133.60.0%0.0%0.0%38.1%
17Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)9.218.56.233.90.0%0.0%0.0%43.6%
18Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)6.017.011.029.00.0%0.0%0.0%96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.