Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 23, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Kayserispor
Goztepe 		22.7%
52.8%		24.5%
+300
-120
+335
-125
1.00
1.65		2.65
o2½-127
u2¾-120

Trabzonspor
Gaziantep FK 		39.9%
33.7%		26.4%
+121
+220
+120
+240
1.36
1.22		2.58
o2½-112
u2½-106

Games for Sep 22, 2024
Games for Sep 27, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Goztepe
Trabzonspor		18.5%
60.0%		21.5%
+381
-144
+410
-160
2
4		-0.56072-0.53389-0.51086
Rizespor
Kasımpaşa		31.3%
42.7%		26.0%
+530
-181
+430
-170
1
3		-0.45944-0.51224-0.85048
Karagumruk
Hatayspor		26.9%
48.8%		24.3%
+247
+116
+280
-105
0
3		-0.80867-0.72081-0.71756
Hatayspor
Gaziantep FK		40.6%
33.6%		25.8%
+239
+121
+215
+125
2
2		-1.29157-1.28884-1.35577
Trabzonspor
Besiktas		27.5%
47.9%		24.5%
+213
+146
+190
+150
2
2		-1.22680-1.22984-1.40495
Alanyaspor
Kayserispor		64.6%
14.9%		20.4%
+227
+135
+180
+150
2
1		-1.20992-1.07960-0.43618
Sivasspor
Antalyaspor		37.9%
33.8%		28.3%
+279
+124
+275
+115
0
1		-0.83384-0.81353-1.08373
Trabzonspor
Fenerbahce		32.7%
41.5%		25.8%
+227
+138
+215
+130
1
1		-1.24786-1.25846-1.35452
Galatasaray
Konyaspor		60.2%
17.4%		22.5%
+190
+154
+190
+145
0
2		-0.96430-0.94631-1.75014
Kasımpaşa
Goztepe		28.5%
46.5%		25.0%
+211
+135
+200
+135
3
2		-1.16690-1.15024-1.25569
Fenerbahce
Kasımpaşa		57.7%
20.7%		21.6%
+166
+169
+165
+155
2
1		-1.00422-1.02449-0.55012
Rizespor
Galatasaray		10.9%
71.9%		17.2%
+559
-188
+550
-200
2
4		-0.44774-0.45463-0.32930
Konyaspor
Alanyaspor		15.4%
63.8%		20.8%
+225
+131
+200
+135
1
5		-0.85545-0.90604-0.44961
Yeni Malatyaspor
Hatayspor		17.2%
62.1%		20.7%
+457
-147
+440
-160
2
5		-0.54273-0.53785-0.47644
Besiktas
Sivasspor		50.7%
24.9%		24.4%
+177
+184
+175
+165
3
2		-1.04415-1.05912-0.67940
Karagumruk
Trabzonspor		27.0%
48.1%		24.8%
+440
-155
+430
-155
2
1		-1.72266-1.71925-1.30807
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.39066 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.41075 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.29722
0.09344
0.11353

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)21.23.39.573.282.3%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)19.63.610.869.717.7%99.3%0.7%0.0%
3Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)17.06.910.161.20.0%0.7%87.8%0.0%
4Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)16.36.811.059.80.0%0.0%79.7%0.0%
5Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)15.010.18.954.00.0%0.0%4.5%0.0%
6Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)16.811.16.156.50.0%0.0%17.9%0.0%
7Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)14.99.110.154.70.0%0.0%9.4%0.0%
8Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)11.113.79.142.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)10.811.112.144.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)10.112.911.041.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)11.115.87.140.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
12Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)8.815.49.836.30.0%0.0%0.0%4.2%
13Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)8.616.68.734.70.0%0.0%0.0%22.0%
14Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)8.717.57.833.80.0%0.0%0.0%47.4%
15Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)6.814.312.933.30.0%0.0%0.0%47.8%
16Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)8.216.79.133.60.0%0.0%0.0%38.1%
17Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)9.218.56.233.90.0%0.0%0.0%43.6%
18Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)6.017.011.029.00.0%0.0%0.0%96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.