Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 23, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Kayserispor
Goztepe 		22.7%
52.8%		24.5%
+300
-120
+335
-125
1.00
1.65		2.65
o2½-127
u2¾-120

Trabzonspor
Gaziantep FK 		39.9%
33.7%		26.4%
+119
+220
+120
+240
1.36
1.22		2.58
o2½-112
u2½-106

Games for Sep 22, 2024
Games for Sep 27, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Kayserispor
Trabzonspor		11.8%
70.2%		17.9%
+570
-183
+580
-200
2
3		-0.46091-0.45871-0.35351
Konyaspor
Trabzonspor		16.8%
61.9%		21.3%
+373
-104
+350
-115
1
2		-0.67984-0.67566-0.47902
Galatasaray
Goztepe		58.2%
19.1%		22.6%
+163
+184
+155
+180
3
2		-0.98567-0.98709-0.54056
Hatayspor
Fenerbahce		33.1%
41.5%		25.4%
+310
-105
+305
-115
0
2		-0.68476-0.67647-0.88051
Sivasspor
Karagumruk		28.4%
45.5%		26.1%
+175
+170
+175
+160
0
1		-1.03685-1.00550-0.78728
Trabzonspor
Alanyaspor		30.6%
43.2%		26.2%
+176
+172
+170
+160
4
0		-1.03322-1.04537-1.18492
Antalyaspor
Yeni Malatyaspor		33.7%
38.2%		28.1%
+121
+257
+115
+245
2
1		-0.82021-0.81758-1.08827
Trabzonspor
Rizespor		58.0%
19.7%		22.3%
-112
+364
-110
+300
2
0		-0.66097-0.69693-0.54547
Kasımpaşa
Konyaspor		30.6%
43.0%		26.4%
+268
+112
+275
+100
4
4		-1.30192-1.30383-1.33268
Goztepe
Hatayspor		24.8%
55.1%		20.1%
+236
+130
+215
+125
1
2		-0.84690-0.86140-0.59673
Konyaspor
Trabzonspor		23.3%
56.3%		20.4%
+364
-110
+330
-110
1
2		-0.67376-0.69589-0.57396
Alanyaspor
Kasımpaşa		53.7%
25.4%		20.9%
+288
-101
+260
+100
2
2		-1.34630-1.34519-1.56528
Karagumruk
Antalyaspor		41.3%
32.2%		26.5%
+229
+131
+270
+105
0
3		-0.86860-0.76873-1.13289
Yeni Malatyaspor
Sivasspor		29.2%
45.4%		25.4%
+470
-144
+500
-170
1
2		-0.55504-0.51089-0.79063
Kayserispor
Galatasaray		16.0%
69.9%		14.1%
+447
-158
+400
-145
1
1		-1.48061-1.40809-1.95758
Gaziantep FK
Trabzonspor		30.1%
45.6%		24.3%
+418
-134
+400
-140
0
2		-0.58661-0.58780-0.78491
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.39066 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.41075 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.29722
0.09344
0.11353

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)21.23.39.573.282.3%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)19.63.610.869.717.7%99.3%0.7%0.0%
3Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)17.06.910.161.20.0%0.7%87.8%0.0%
4Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)16.36.811.059.80.0%0.0%79.7%0.0%
5Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)15.010.18.954.00.0%0.0%4.5%0.0%
6Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)16.811.16.156.50.0%0.0%17.9%0.0%
7Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)14.99.110.154.70.0%0.0%9.4%0.0%
8Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)11.113.79.142.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)10.811.112.144.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)10.112.911.041.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)11.115.87.140.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
12Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)8.815.49.836.30.0%0.0%0.0%4.2%
13Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)8.616.68.734.70.0%0.0%0.0%22.0%
14Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)8.717.57.833.80.0%0.0%0.0%47.4%
15Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)6.814.312.933.30.0%0.0%0.0%47.8%
16Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)8.216.79.133.60.0%0.0%0.0%38.1%
17Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)9.218.56.233.90.0%0.0%0.0%43.6%
18Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)6.017.011.029.00.0%0.0%0.0%96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.