Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 23, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Kayserispor
Goztepe 		22.7%
52.8%		24.5%
+300
-120
+335
-125
1.00
1.65		2.65
o2½-127
u2¾-120

Trabzonspor
Gaziantep FK 		39.9%
33.7%		26.4%
+119
+220
+120
+240
1.36
1.22		2.58
o2½-112
u2½-106

Games for Sep 22, 2024
Games for Sep 27, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Antalyaspor
Besiktas		21.7%
59.1%		19.2%
+310
-109
+330
-115
0
0		-1.30678-1.30457-1.65188
Galatasaray
Alanyaspor		37.8%
36.6%		25.7%
+175
+154
+175
+145
1
1		-1.28659-1.31908-1.36004
Trabzonspor
Fenerbahce		35.0%
41.1%		23.9%
+231
+125
+250
+120
1
0		-1.24535-1.29960-1.05011
Yeni Malatyaspor
Karagumruk		27.2%
50.1%		22.7%
+390
-133
+330
-125
0
1		-0.59937-0.64112-0.69107
Kasımpaşa
Trabzonspor		22.4%
58.7%		19.0%
+365
-140
+350
-135
0
1		-0.59359-0.60605-0.53353
Sivasspor
Gaziantep FK		32.3%
43.2%		24.5%
+190
+165
+245
+130
1
5		-1.02966-0.88409-0.83870
Hatayspor
Kayserispor		57.1%
22.8%		20.1%
+240
+117
+250
+110
3
4		-0.81776-0.78845-1.48030
Trabzonspor
Galatasaray		30.1%
45.6%		24.3%
+197
+153
+200
+140
2
1		-1.13206-1.14599-1.20045
Gaziantep FK
Antalyaspor		41.7%
33.5%		24.8%
+265
+120
+275
+100
0
0		-1.19237-1.30383-1.39344
Rizespor
Hatayspor		21.4%
60.1%		18.5%
+355
-120
+320
-120
0
0		-1.33518-1.37074-1.68816
Kayserispor
Kasımpaşa		30.6%
45.4%		24.0%
+306
-105
+275
-105
1
3		-0.72198-0.72054-0.78920
Goztepe
Trabzonspor		24.7%
54.2%		21.1%
+370
-118
+390
-115
2
1		-1.60654-1.63943-1.39804
Fenerbahce
Sivasspor		42.9%
32.9%		24.2%
+180
+200
+180
+170
1
1		-1.08782-1.18026-1.41902
Besiktas
Yeni Malatyaspor		54.0%
25.1%		20.9%
-135
+420
-155
+420
1
1		-1.39538-1.43523-1.56647
Kasımpaşa
Galatasaray		18.7%
63.9%		17.4%
+321
-110
+370
-130
3
1		-1.45633-1.59470-1.67702
Hatayspor
Alanyaspor		33.7%
42.1%		24.2%
+205
+123
+215
+125
0
6		-0.84476-0.86140-0.86491
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.39066 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.41075 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.29722
0.09344
0.11353

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)21.23.39.573.282.3%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)19.63.610.869.717.7%99.3%0.7%0.0%
3Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)17.06.910.161.20.0%0.7%87.8%0.0%
4Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)16.36.811.059.80.0%0.0%79.7%0.0%
5Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)15.010.18.954.00.0%0.0%4.5%0.0%
6Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)16.811.16.156.50.0%0.0%17.9%0.0%
7Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)14.99.110.154.70.0%0.0%9.4%0.0%
8Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)11.113.79.142.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)10.811.112.144.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)10.112.911.041.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)11.115.87.140.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
12Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)8.815.49.836.30.0%0.0%0.0%4.2%
13Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)8.616.68.734.70.0%0.0%0.0%22.0%
14Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)8.717.57.833.80.0%0.0%0.0%47.4%
15Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)6.814.312.933.30.0%0.0%0.0%47.8%
16Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)8.216.79.133.60.0%0.0%0.0%38.1%
17Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)9.218.56.233.90.0%0.0%0.0%43.6%
18Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)6.017.011.029.00.0%0.0%0.0%96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.