Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 23, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Kayserispor
Goztepe 		22.7%
52.8%		24.5%
+300
-120
+335
-125
1.00
1.65		2.65
o2½-127
u2¾-120

Trabzonspor
Gaziantep FK 		39.9%
33.7%		26.4%
+119
+220
+120
+240
1.36
1.22		2.58
o2½-112
u2½-106

Games for Sep 22, 2024
Games for Sep 27, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Trabzonspor
Kayserispor		56.5%
22.8%		20.8%
+126
+232
+130
+250
0
1		-1.25558-1.30001-1.48056
Sivasspor
Goztepe		38.8%
35.8%		25.4%
+262
+116
+220
+135
1
2		-0.81595-0.90372-1.02739
Besiktas
Karagumruk		44.1%
32.5%		23.4%
-141
+350
-150
+400
1
0		-0.58315-0.55961-0.81896
Galatasaray
Hatayspor		39.5%
35.6%		24.9%
+125
+231
+115
+230
2
4		-1.22251-1.24258-1.03311
Fenerbahce
Antalyaspor		47.7%
29.1%		23.2%
+130
+211
+130
+205
1
1		-1.27931-1.28953-1.46309
Rizespor
Karagumruk		24.7%
54.2%		21.0%
+350
-130
+330
-120
0
2		-0.61730-0.65682-0.61162
Trabzonspor
Sivasspor		42.3%
32.8%		24.9%
+161
+200
+145
+210
1
1		-1.14948-1.18335-1.39030
Goztepe
Yeni Malatyaspor		35.7%
39.1%		25.2%
+129
+210
+125
+230
2
1		-0.87892-0.86022-1.02985
Gaziantep FK
Besiktas		27.3%
51.5%		21.2%
+400
-170
+450
-165
0
1		-0.52816-0.52101-0.66363
Besiktas
Rizespor		58.2%
22.7%		19.1%
+133
+201
+130
+205
2
2		-1.28208-1.28953-1.65559
Antalyaspor
Goztepe		34.5%
40.0%		25.4%
+225
+128
+245
+115
0
4		-0.86800-0.81758-0.91542
Sivasspor
Konyaspor		40.2%
33.7%		26.0%
+278
+110
+275
+105
1
0		-1.37702-1.37338-0.91033
Hatayspor
Kasımpaşa		52.4%
26.7%		20.9%
+280
-108
+205
+120
1
3		-0.69929-0.83979-1.32092
Trabzonspor
Alanyaspor		33.3%
42.1%		24.6%
+125
+225
+125
+210
1
1		-1.29609-1.30416-1.40234
Karagumruk
Gaziantep FK		35.6%
40.1%		24.3%
+220
+125
+260
+105
1
3		-0.85668-0.76787-0.91260
Yeni Malatyaspor
Trabzonspor		23.7%
55.3%		20.9%
+871
-323
+800
-300
0
1		-0.31542-0.33798-0.59178
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.39066 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.41075 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.29722
0.09344
0.11353

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)21.23.39.573.282.3%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)19.63.610.869.717.7%99.3%0.7%0.0%
3Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)17.06.910.161.20.0%0.7%87.8%0.0%
4Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)16.36.811.059.80.0%0.0%79.7%0.0%
5Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)15.010.18.954.00.0%0.0%4.5%0.0%
6Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)16.811.16.156.50.0%0.0%17.9%0.0%
7Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)14.99.110.154.70.0%0.0%9.4%0.0%
8Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)11.113.79.142.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)10.811.112.144.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)10.112.911.041.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)11.115.87.140.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
12Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)8.815.49.836.30.0%0.0%0.0%4.2%
13Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)8.616.68.734.70.0%0.0%0.0%22.0%
14Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)8.717.57.833.80.0%0.0%0.0%47.4%
15Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)6.814.312.933.30.0%0.0%0.0%47.8%
16Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)8.216.79.133.60.0%0.0%0.0%38.1%
17Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)9.218.56.233.90.0%0.0%0.0%43.6%
18Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)6.017.011.029.00.0%0.0%0.0%96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.