Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 23, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Kayserispor
Goztepe 		22.7%
52.8%		24.5%
+300
-120
+335
-125
1.00
1.65		2.65
o2½-127
u2¾-120

Trabzonspor
Gaziantep FK 		39.9%
33.7%		26.4%
+119
+220
+120
+240
1.36
1.22		2.58
o2½-112
u2½-106

Games for Sep 22, 2024
Games for Sep 27, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Besiktas
Konyaspor		54.5%
24.5%		21.0%
+160
+168
+160
+160
0
1		-1.02452-1.00518-1.40756
Sivasspor
Kayserispor		47.0%
28.4%		24.6%
+155
+194
+135
+210
0
3		-1.13482-1.18127-1.25773
Yeni Malatyaspor
Fenerbahce		23.8%
56.1%		20.1%
+732
-256
+830
-320
0
2		-0.36087-0.32191-0.57818
Karagumruk
Alanyaspor		29.5%
47.1%		23.4%
+241
+105
+250
+105
1
1		-1.34220-1.33094-1.45209
Gaziantep FK
Rizespor		47.0%
29.8%		23.2%
+157
+165
+165
+155
1
0		-1.01990-1.02449-0.75445
Trabzonspor
Trabzonspor		34.9%
40.5%		24.6%
+209
+135
+230
+120
0
0		-1.30748-1.27418-1.40303
Antalyaspor
Galatasaray		20.6%
58.9%		20.4%
+430
-139
+440
-150
0
2		-0.56768-0.56138-0.52867
Goztepe
Besiktas		21.8%
59.7%		18.5%
+525
-210
+560
-240
1
2		-0.43631-0.40040-0.51604
Kayserispor
Yeni Malatyaspor		28.4%
47.4%		24.3%
+205
+138
+210
+140
2
2		-1.24372-1.21362-1.41589
Fenerbahce
Karagumruk		39.8%
36.2%		24.0%
+107
+245
+135
+210
1
1		-1.32426-1.25453-1.42745
Alanyaspor
Gaziantep FK		41.5%
34.0%		24.4%
+180
+138
+210
+130
1
2		-0.93212-0.88312-1.07749
Konyaspor
Hatayspor		23.1%
56.4%		20.4%
+165
+160
+180
+160
3
1		-1.02831-1.07790-1.46486
Rizespor
Sivasspor		27.0%
49.9%		23.1%
+504
-175
+520
-185
1
1		-1.45766-1.47320-1.46348
Kasımpaşa
Antalyaspor		31.7%
44.0%		24.3%
+326
-115
+325
-115
1
1		-1.33945-1.31751-1.41453
Besiktas
Fenerbahce		39.3%
37.1%		23.6%
+196
+136
+210
+125
2
2		-1.28006-1.30416-1.44515
Gaziantep FK
Kayserispor		50.8%
26.7%		22.5%
+205
+138
+220
+130
0
0		-1.21083-1.24299-1.48952
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.39066 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.41075 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.29722
0.09344
0.11353

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)21.23.39.573.282.3%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)19.63.610.869.717.7%99.3%0.7%0.0%
3Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)17.06.910.161.20.0%0.7%87.8%0.0%
4Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)16.36.811.059.80.0%0.0%79.7%0.0%
5Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)15.010.18.954.00.0%0.0%4.5%0.0%
6Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)16.811.16.156.50.0%0.0%17.9%0.0%
7Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)14.99.110.154.70.0%0.0%9.4%0.0%
8Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)11.113.79.142.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)10.811.112.144.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)10.112.911.041.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)11.115.87.140.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
12Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)8.815.49.836.30.0%0.0%0.0%4.2%
13Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)8.616.68.734.70.0%0.0%0.0%22.0%
14Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)8.717.57.833.80.0%0.0%0.0%47.4%
15Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)6.814.312.933.30.0%0.0%0.0%47.8%
16Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)8.216.79.133.60.0%0.0%0.0%38.1%
17Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)9.218.56.233.90.0%0.0%0.0%43.6%
18Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)6.017.011.029.00.0%0.0%0.0%96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.