Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated 31 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
12/21/2023 05:00 PM	Alanyaspor Besiktas	29.5% 45.2%	25.2%	+435 -155 +405 -160	3 1	-1.70507-1.67232	-1.21993
12/21/2023 05:00 PM	Hatayspor Ankaragucu	67.9% 13.5%	18.6%	+243 +125 +245 +120	0 0	-1.23220-1.22946	-1.68314
12/20/2023 05:00 PM	Kasımpaşa Antalyaspor	28.3% 46.1%	25.6%	+275 +101 +285 -110	0 0	-1.36004-1.37074	-1.36094
12/20/2023 05:00 PM	Karagumruk Galatasaray	21.1% 55.5%	23.4%	+900 -390 +1000 -425	0 1	-0.27682-0.25874	-0.58821
12/20/2023 02:00 PM	Fenerbahce Kayserispor	63.6% 16.1%	20.3%	-175 +475 -195 +500	4 3	-0.48159-0.46267	-0.45194
12/19/2023 02:00 PM	Sivasspor Trabzonspor	23.1% 52.6%	24.3%	+257 +121 +225 +120	1 3	-0.81769-0.83924	-0.64183
12/11/2023 05:00 PM	Sivasspor Konyaspor	40.6% 31.5%	27.9%	+282 +105 +270 +105	1 0	-1.38721-1.35922	-0.90081
12/11/2023 05:00 PM	Rizespor Ankaragucu	41.6% 31.2%	27.1%	+270 +105 +260 +105	1 1	-1.28518-1.30280	-1.30512
12/10/2023 04:00 PM	Trabzonspor Gaziantep FK	39.9% 33.7%	26.4%	+110 +285 +110 +255	3 1	-0.76740-0.79264	-0.91879
12/10/2023 01:00 PM	Hatayspor Trabzonspor	33.2% 40.8%	26.0%	+290 -105 +300 -105	0 1	-0.71812-0.71980	-0.89715
12/09/2023 04:00 PM	Fenerbahce Besiktas	27.9% 48.1%	24.0%	-120 +315 -115 +300	3 1	-0.64808-0.67598	-1.27651
12/09/2023 10:30 AM	Karagumruk Antalyaspor	43.3% 30.1%	26.6%	+300 -108 +300 -110	1 2	-0.70583-0.69693	-1.20091
11/27/2023 05:00 PM	Trabzonspor Sivasspor	43.5% 29.9%	26.5%	+130 +215 +135 +205	3 3	-1.26058-1.25956	-1.32629
11/26/2023 04:00 PM	Karagumruk Fenerbahce	26.9% 48.9%	24.1%	+1000 -435 +1000 -450	1 2	-0.25368-0.25132	-0.71478
11/26/2023 01:00 PM	Rizespor Antalyaspor	26.8% 47.3%	25.9%	+425 -150 +385 -130	0 0	-1.39707-1.31867	-1.35139
11/25/2023 04:00 PM	Alanyaspor Galatasaray	28.0% 45.6%	26.3%	+1035 -480 +1000 -450	0 4	-0.23797-0.24941	-0.78419

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation
1	Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)	21.2	3.3	9.5	73.2	82.3%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
2	Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)	19.6	3.6	10.8	69.7	17.7%	99.3%	0.7%	0.0%
3	Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)	17.0	6.9	10.1	61.2	0.0%	0.7%	87.8%	0.0%
4	Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)	16.3	6.8	11.0	59.8	0.0%	0.0%	79.7%	0.0%
5	Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)	15.0	10.1	8.9	54.0	0.0%	0.0%	4.5%	0.0%
6	Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)	16.8	11.1	6.1	56.5	0.0%	0.0%	17.9%	0.0%
7	Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)	14.9	9.1	10.1	54.7	0.0%	0.0%	9.4%	0.0%
8	Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)	11.1	13.7	9.1	42.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
9	Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)	10.8	11.1	12.1	44.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
10	Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)	10.1	12.9	11.0	41.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
11	Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)	11.1	15.8	7.1	40.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%
12	Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)	8.8	15.4	9.8	36.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	4.2%
13	Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)	8.6	16.6	8.7	34.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	22.0%
14	Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)	8.7	17.5	7.8	33.8	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	47.4%
15	Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)	6.8	14.3	12.9	33.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	47.8%
16	Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)	8.2	16.7	9.1	33.6	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	38.1%
17	Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)	9.2	18.5	6.2	33.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	43.6%
18	Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)	6.0	17.0	11.0	29.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.