Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated 1 day ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
12/11/2021 01:00 PM	Goztepe Rizespor	39.1% 35.9%	25.0%	+153 +185 +150 +185	1 3	-1.08350-1.09551	-1.02454
12/11/2021 10:30 AM	Konyaspor Karagumruk	26.5% 50.6%	22.8%	+200 +153 +175 +155	4 1	-1.11939-1.06031	-1.32678
12/06/2021 05:00 PM	Yeni Malatyaspor Konyaspor	34.9% 39.1%	25.9%	+405 -140 +460 -150	0 0	-1.38637-1.34596	-1.35000
12/06/2021 05:00 PM	Gaziantep FK Goztepe	42.1% 33.7%	24.2%	+260 +110 +240 +110	1 2	-0.78891-0.79264	-1.08717
12/05/2021 04:00 PM	Rizespor Fenerbahce	21.5% 60.3%	18.3%	+680 -274 +750 -280	0 4	-0.36648-0.35472	-0.50632
12/05/2021 01:00 PM	Trabzonspor Hatayspor	34.9% 41.0%	24.1%	+150 +170 +155 +175	3 0	-0.96779-0.98481	-1.05314
12/05/2021 10:30 AM	Antalyaspor Kayserispor	42.2% 32.0%	25.8%	+185 +148 +175 +160	0 2	-0.96124-1.00550	-1.13822
12/04/2021 10:30 AM	Sivasspor Alanyaspor	26.6% 50.4%	23.1%	+196 +150 +215 +140	1 0	-1.13712-1.19769	-1.32554
12/03/2021 05:00 PM	Besiktas Kasımpaşa	57.3% 23.7%	19.0%	-102 +270 -115 +275	1 1	-1.36277-1.43658	-1.66068
11/29/2021 05:00 PM	Fenerbahce Goztepe	48.1% 29.3%	22.5%	+130 +221 +115 +230	1 1	-1.27597-1.31557	-1.48992
11/28/2021 04:00 PM	Galatasaray Yeni Malatyaspor	54.0% 24.0%	22.0%	-110 +326 -115 +335	0 0	-1.29817-1.30203	-1.51308
11/28/2021 01:00 PM	Trabzonspor Karagumruk	39.3% 36.1%	24.6%	+109 +246 +115 +215	2 0	-0.79292-0.81697	-0.93356
11/28/2021 01:00 PM	Hatayspor Sivasspor	42.8% 32.8%	24.4%	+225 +126 +230 +125	0 4	-0.87251-0.86022	-1.11526
11/28/2021 10:30 AM	Konyaspor Gaziantep FK	27.1% 50.1%	22.8%	+200 +140 +210 +140	2 3	-0.95044-0.92591	-0.69041
11/27/2021 01:00 PM	Kayserispor Rizespor	31.3% 43.8%	24.9%	+212 +129 +205 +125	0 1	-0.88445-0.85982	-0.82540
11/27/2021 10:30 AM	Alanyaspor Antalyaspor	48.7% 27.6%	23.7%	+200 +156 +170 +155	0 3	-0.96396-0.98321	-1.28717

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation
1	Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)	21.2	3.3	9.5	73.2	82.3%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
2	Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)	19.6	3.6	10.8	69.7	17.7%	99.3%	0.7%	0.0%
3	Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)	17.0	6.9	10.1	61.2	0.0%	0.7%	87.8%	0.0%
4	Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)	16.3	6.8	11.0	59.8	0.0%	0.0%	79.7%	0.0%
5	Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)	15.0	10.1	8.9	54.0	0.0%	0.0%	4.5%	0.0%
6	Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)	16.8	11.1	6.1	56.5	0.0%	0.0%	17.9%	0.0%
7	Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)	14.9	9.1	10.1	54.7	0.0%	0.0%	9.4%	0.0%
8	Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)	11.1	13.7	9.1	42.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
9	Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)	10.8	11.1	12.1	44.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
10	Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)	10.1	12.9	11.0	41.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
11	Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)	11.1	15.8	7.1	40.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%
12	Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)	8.8	15.4	9.8	36.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	4.2%
13	Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)	8.6	16.6	8.7	34.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	22.0%
14	Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)	8.7	17.5	7.8	33.8	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	47.4%
15	Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)	6.8	14.3	12.9	33.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	47.8%
16	Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)	8.2	16.7	9.1	33.6	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	38.1%
17	Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)	9.2	18.5	6.2	33.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	43.6%
18	Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)	6.0	17.0	11.0	29.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.