Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Gaziantep FK
Trabzonspor
30.5%
46.2%
23.3%
+385
-145
+410
-155
0
3
-0.57444-0.54742-0.77180
Goztepe
Kayserispor
42.5%
32.4%
25.1%
+175
+162
+165
+170
1
1
-1.26666-1.24344-1.38178
Fenerbahce
Galatasaray
30.5%
45.8%
23.6%
+242
+129
+240
+120
2
1
-1.26574-1.27418-1.18600
Rizespor
Konyaspor
32.0%
42.8%
25.2%
+489
-175
+465
-170
0
3
-0.50026-0.51191-0.84868
Karagumruk
Kasımpaşa
46.6%
30.4%
23.0%
+172
+150
+175
+145
3
1
-1.04506-1.05999-0.76374
Besiktas
Alanyaspor
37.5%
38.1%
24.4%
+132
+205
+130
+190
0
2
-1.15417-1.11337-0.96522
Sivasspor
Trabzonspor
27.9%
48.7%
23.4%
+285
-102
+315
+100
1
2
-0.73881-0.74522-0.71922
Antalyaspor
Hatayspor
24.5%
54.3%
21.2%
+272
+100
+310
-110
1
3
-0.73722-0.69866-0.61042
Kayserispor
Fenerbahce
18.9%
63.9%
17.3%
+613
-250
+565
-235
2
2
-1.64621-1.65999-1.75591
Galatasaray
Karagumruk
44.3%
31.2%
24.5%
+114
+212
+110
+235
1
1
-1.38470-1.33211-1.40727
Konyaspor
Goztepe
32.8%
41.9%
25.3%
+195
+147
+195
+145
2
0
-1.11991-1.13075-1.11499
Trabzonspor
Besiktas
31.4%
45.4%
23.2%
+245
+100
+270
-110
2
1
-1.29135-1.35759-1.15839
Trabzonspor
Yeni Malatyaspor
48.6%
28.2%
23.2%
+119
+225
+115
+250
3
1
-0.83349-0.81792-0.72103
Kasımpaşa
Gaziantep FK
26.3%
52.8%
20.9%
+175
+155
+180
+150
0
2
-0.98481-0.96627-0.63837
Alanyaspor
Rizespor
54.4%
24.3%
21.3%
+125
+207
+125
+210
0
2
-1.16851-1.18280-1.41420
Rizespor
Trabzonspor
21.4%
59.5%
19.1%
+600
-225
+650
-240
1
2
-0.41241-0.39686-0.51945
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)21.23.39.573.282.3%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)19.63.610.869.717.7%99.3%0.7%0.0%
3Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)17.06.910.161.20.0%0.7%87.8%0.0%
4Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)16.36.811.059.80.0%0.0%79.7%0.0%
5Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)15.010.18.954.00.0%0.0%4.5%0.0%
6Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)16.811.16.156.50.0%0.0%17.9%0.0%
7Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)14.99.110.154.70.0%0.0%9.4%0.0%
8Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)11.113.79.142.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)10.811.112.144.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)10.112.911.041.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)11.115.87.140.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
12Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)8.815.49.836.30.0%0.0%0.0%4.2%
13Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)8.616.68.734.70.0%0.0%0.0%22.0%
14Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)8.717.57.833.80.0%0.0%0.0%47.4%
15Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)6.814.312.933.30.0%0.0%0.0%47.8%
16Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)8.216.79.133.60.0%0.0%0.0%38.1%
17Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)9.218.56.233.90.0%0.0%0.0%43.6%
18Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)6.017.011.029.00.0%0.0%0.0%96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.