Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated 31 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
06/06/2023 02:00 PM	Kayserispor Sivasspor	18.2% 59.0%	22.8%	+275 -104 +250 -110	1 1	-1.34396-1.46305	-1.47880
06/06/2023 02:00 PM	Kasımpaşa Karagumruk	19.6% 58.9%	21.5%	+150 +155 +150 +150	0 3	-0.97737-0.96509	-0.52901
06/04/2023 04:00 PM	Fenerbahce Galatasaray	26.5% 48.6%	24.8%	+235 +105 +235 +105	0 3	-0.75969-0.76947	-0.72134
06/03/2023 04:00 PM	Alanyaspor Trabzonspor	34.6% 38.1%	27.2%	+600 -275 +535 -240	1 5	-0.35905-0.39736	-0.96414
06/03/2023 04:00 PM	Ankaragucu Kayserispor	28.4% 44.5%	27.1%	+105 +235 +135 +180	1 0	-0.75969-0.90599	-1.26008
06/03/2023 04:00 PM	Besiktas Kasımpaşa	63.9% 16.6%	19.4%	-140 +320 -150 +340	4 2	-0.58906-0.56151	-0.44807
06/03/2023 01:00 PM	Karagumruk Konyaspor	46.2% 27.8%	26.0%	+329 -140 +295 -130	1 1	-1.50099-1.50828	-1.34604
05/30/2023 05:00 PM	Galatasaray Ankaragucu	72.4% 10.4%	17.2%	-160 +375 -180 +400	4 1	-0.53491-0.49176	-0.32318
05/30/2023 05:00 PM	Kayserispor Karagumruk	15.2% 64.4%	20.3%	+181 +120 +180 +120	0 2	-0.83582-0.83704	-0.43971
05/30/2023 05:00 PM	Konyaspor Sivasspor	24.7% 49.5%	25.8%	+300 -105 +285 -110	0 1	-0.70100-0.69563	-0.70277
05/30/2023 05:00 PM	Kasımpaşa Alanyaspor	14.0% 67.4%	18.6%	+200 +122 +210 +115	3 1	-1.14784-1.18101	-1.96618
05/30/2023 05:00 PM	Antalyaspor Fenerbahce	18.3% 60.3%	21.4%	+675 -280 +700 -290	0 2	-0.35357-0.34704	-0.50637
05/22/2023 05:00 PM	Karagumruk Trabzonspor	27.0% 48.1%	24.8%	+450 -195 +450 -190	1 4	-0.46185-0.47359	-0.73135
05/21/2023 04:00 PM	Trabzonspor Antalyaspor	50.4% 24.6%	24.9%	+376 -122 +360 -130	0 0	-1.34773-1.36983	-1.38934
05/20/2023 04:00 PM	Alanyaspor Kayserispor	64.6% 14.9%	20.4%	+215 +126 +210 +120	4 0	-1.17788-1.18123	-0.43618
05/20/2023 04:00 PM	Sivasspor Galatasaray	17.8% 59.6%	22.6%	+1214 -469 +1100 -500	0 2	-0.22904-0.23370	-0.51772

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation
1	Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)	21.2	3.3	9.5	73.2	82.3%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
2	Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)	19.6	3.6	10.8	69.7	17.7%	99.3%	0.7%	0.0%
3	Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)	17.0	6.9	10.1	61.2	0.0%	0.7%	87.8%	0.0%
4	Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)	16.3	6.8	11.0	59.8	0.0%	0.0%	79.7%	0.0%
5	Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)	15.0	10.1	8.9	54.0	0.0%	0.0%	4.5%	0.0%
6	Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)	16.8	11.1	6.1	56.5	0.0%	0.0%	17.9%	0.0%
7	Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)	14.9	9.1	10.1	54.7	0.0%	0.0%	9.4%	0.0%
8	Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)	11.1	13.7	9.1	42.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
9	Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)	10.8	11.1	12.1	44.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
10	Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)	10.1	12.9	11.0	41.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
11	Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)	11.1	15.8	7.1	40.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%
12	Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)	8.8	15.4	9.8	36.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	4.2%
13	Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)	8.6	16.6	8.7	34.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	22.0%
14	Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)	8.7	17.5	7.8	33.8	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	47.4%
15	Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)	6.8	14.3	12.9	33.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	47.8%
16	Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)	8.2	16.7	9.1	33.6	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	38.1%
17	Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)	9.2	18.5	6.2	33.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	43.6%
18	Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)	6.0	17.0	11.0	29.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.