Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated 3 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
10/25/2021 05:00 PM	Galatasaray Besiktas	35.7% 39.6%	24.7%	+225 +120 +210 +120	1 2	-0.82257-0.83829	-0.92675
10/24/2021 04:00 PM	Alanyaspor Fenerbahce	36.4% 39.3%	24.3%	+280 -110 +310 -125	2 1	-1.38657-1.46227	-1.01049
10/24/2021 01:00 PM	Trabzonspor Antalyaspor	47.1% 29.0%	23.9%	+145 +185 +155 +200	2 1	-0.95373-0.98808	-0.75360
10/24/2021 10:30 AM	Hatayspor Karagumruk	39.7% 36.1%	24.2%	+199 +119 +205 +120	1 1	-1.38782-1.36967	-1.41964
10/23/2021 04:00 PM	Trabzonspor Goztepe	47.5% 29.2%	23.3%	+123 +225 +120 +230	1 0	-0.84220-0.83884	-0.74423
10/23/2021 01:00 PM	Kayserispor Konyaspor	28.7% 46.3%	24.9%	+440 -156 +420 -155	0 2	-0.54820-0.54977	-0.76977
10/23/2021 10:30 AM	Kasımpaşa Rizespor	36.0% 39.5%	24.5%	+140 +201 +145 +185	1 2	-1.14825-1.09910	-0.92938
10/18/2021 05:00 PM	Kayserispor Alanyaspor	17.7% 64.5%	17.8%	+475 -160 +460 -185	3 6	-0.50713-0.48085	-0.43903
10/18/2021 05:00 PM	Gaziantep FK Hatayspor	30.5% 46.7%	22.8%	+330 -115 +340 -125	1 2	-0.66994-0.63609	-0.76104
10/17/2021 04:00 PM	Fenerbahce Trabzonspor	35.3% 40.7%	24.0%	+200 +144 +205 +140	1 3	-0.93283-0.92637	-0.89993
10/17/2021 01:00 PM	Konyaspor Galatasaray	19.3% 60.9%	19.7%	+450 -177 +540 -190	0 1	-0.50456-0.47119	-0.49540
10/17/2021 10:30 AM	Goztepe Kasımpaşa	38.3% 37.3%	24.5%	+254 +100 +230 +115	2 1	-1.31834-1.24258	-0.96043
10/16/2021 01:00 PM	Antalyaspor Sivasspor	30.4% 44.4%	25.2%	+345 -110 +360 -130	2 2	-1.32693-1.35985	-1.37856
10/15/2021 05:00 PM	Besiktas Trabzonspor	39.2% 36.6%	24.1%	+156 +165 +150 +170	2 3	-1.02304-1.04401	-1.00438
10/03/2021 04:00 PM	Galatasaray Rizespor	58.1% 21.6%	20.2%	-141 +380 -145 +375	3 2	-0.57793-0.56694	-0.54263
10/03/2021 01:00 PM	Kasımpaşa Fenerbahce	22.4% 59.4%	18.2%	+485 -190 +510 -185	1 2	-0.47684-0.48203	-0.52093

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation
1	Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)	21.2	3.3	9.5	73.2	82.3%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
2	Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)	19.6	3.6	10.8	69.7	17.7%	99.3%	0.7%	0.0%
3	Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)	17.0	6.9	10.1	61.2	0.0%	0.7%	87.8%	0.0%
4	Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)	16.3	6.8	11.0	59.8	0.0%	0.0%	79.7%	0.0%
5	Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)	15.0	10.1	8.9	54.0	0.0%	0.0%	4.5%	0.0%
6	Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)	16.8	11.1	6.1	56.5	0.0%	0.0%	17.9%	0.0%
7	Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)	14.9	9.1	10.1	54.7	0.0%	0.0%	9.4%	0.0%
8	Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)	11.1	13.7	9.1	42.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
9	Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)	10.8	11.1	12.1	44.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
10	Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)	10.1	12.9	11.0	41.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
11	Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)	11.1	15.8	7.1	40.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%
12	Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)	8.8	15.4	9.8	36.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	4.2%
13	Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)	8.6	16.6	8.7	34.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	22.0%
14	Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)	8.7	17.5	7.8	33.8	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	47.4%
15	Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)	6.8	14.3	12.9	33.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	47.8%
16	Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)	8.2	16.7	9.1	33.6	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	38.1%
17	Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)	9.2	18.5	6.2	33.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	43.6%
18	Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)	6.0	17.0	11.0	29.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.