Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated 2 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
11/09/2024 04:00 PM	Trabzonspor Rizespor	58.0% 19.7%	22.3%	+180 +140 +170 +160	1 3	-0.93328-1.00761	-1.62450
11/09/2024 01:00 PM	Gaziantep FK Hatayspor	26.2% 49.9%	23.9%	+200 +129 +220 +125	1 3	-0.89482-0.86074	-0.69485
11/08/2024 05:00 PM	Kayserispor Kasımpaşa	26.7% 48.0%	25.2%	+320 -123 +280 -115	2 1	-1.50036-1.38494	-1.32039
11/03/2024 04:00 PM	Fenerbahce Trabzonspor	33.2% 40.9%	25.8%	-112 +300 -120 +325	3 2	-0.69265-0.65589	-1.10214
11/03/2024 10:30 AM	Trabzonspor Konyaspor	53.3% 22.5%	24.2%	+195 +145 +185 +155	2 3	-0.96843-0.98556	-1.49072
11/02/2024 04:00 PM	Kasımpaşa Besiktas	11.9% 71.7%	16.4%	+390 -175 +460 -195	3 1	-1.65235-1.77378	-2.12477
11/02/2024 10:30 AM	Rizespor Sivasspor	21.8% 54.2%	24.0%	+165 +165 +185 +150	1 2	-1.03510-0.96451	-0.61218
11/01/2024 05:00 PM	Goztepe Gaziantep FK	23.9% 52.3%	23.8%	+180 +140 +175 +155	1 2	-0.94117-0.98481	-0.64896
10/28/2024 05:00 PM	Besiktas Galatasaray	31.5% 42.2%	26.3%	+295 -135 +320 -135	1 2	-0.62064-0.60373	-0.86282
10/27/2024 01:00 PM	Antalyaspor Alanyaspor	17.0% 61.3%	21.7%	+275 +100 +290 -105	2 1	-1.38914-1.41005	-1.77113
10/27/2024 09:30 AM	Konyaspor Gaziantep FK	21.8% 54.5%	23.6%	+175 +160 +180 +155	1 3	-1.02887-0.98709	-0.60635
10/26/2024 04:00 PM	Trabzonspor Goztepe	51.0% 24.7%	24.3%	+180 +140 +195 +135	1 2	-0.93718-0.90342	-1.39845
10/26/2024 10:30 AM	Kayserispor Hatayspor	11.6% 71.0%	17.4%	+230 +112 +195 +135	1 0	-1.25653-1.13082	-2.15081
10/20/2024 04:00 PM	Kasımpaşa Alanyaspor	14.0% 67.4%	18.6%	+185 +150 +175 +150	2 1	-1.09982-1.05976	-1.96618
10/20/2024 01:00 PM	Konyaspor Besiktas	13.2% 68.3%	18.4%	+510 -210 +625 -230	0 2	-0.45828-0.41198	-0.38070
10/20/2024 10:30 AM	Hatayspor Sivasspor	44.2% 29.8%	26.0%	+210 +125 +235 +120	2 3	-0.87863-0.83873	-1.21160

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation
1	Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)	21.2	3.3	9.5	73.2	82.3%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
2	Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)	19.6	3.6	10.8	69.7	17.7%	99.3%	0.7%	0.0%
3	Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)	17.0	6.9	10.1	61.2	0.0%	0.7%	87.8%	0.0%
4	Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)	16.3	6.8	11.0	59.8	0.0%	0.0%	79.7%	0.0%
5	Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)	15.0	10.1	8.9	54.0	0.0%	0.0%	4.5%	0.0%
6	Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)	16.8	11.1	6.1	56.5	0.0%	0.0%	17.9%	0.0%
7	Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)	14.9	9.1	10.1	54.7	0.0%	0.0%	9.4%	0.0%
8	Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)	11.1	13.7	9.1	42.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
9	Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)	10.8	11.1	12.1	44.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
10	Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)	10.1	12.9	11.0	41.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
11	Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)	11.1	15.8	7.1	40.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%
12	Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)	8.8	15.4	9.8	36.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	4.2%
13	Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)	8.6	16.6	8.7	34.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	22.0%
14	Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)	8.7	17.5	7.8	33.8	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	47.4%
15	Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)	6.8	14.3	12.9	33.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	47.8%
16	Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)	8.2	16.7	9.1	33.6	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	38.1%
17	Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)	9.2	18.5	6.2	33.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	43.6%
18	Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)	6.0	17.0	11.0	29.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.