Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 21, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Sivasspor
Konyaspor 		40.6%
31.5%		27.9%
+225
+116
+230
+120
1.27
1.08		2.35
o2¼-116
u2¼-102

Galatasaray
Fenerbahce 		39.5%
33.8%		26.8%
+220
+115
+225
+110
1.33
1.20		2.53
o3-104
u3-112

Games for Sep 20, 2024
Games for Sep 22, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Fenerbahce
Galatasaray		26.5%
48.6%		24.8%
+180
+125
+185
+130
1
0		-1.08913-1.09832-1.32674
Karagumruk
Gaziantep FK		33.5%
40.1%		26.3%
+145
+176
+150
+170
1
3		-1.06991-1.04401-0.91335
Hatayspor
Besiktas		27.9%
47.9%		24.2%
+540
-210
+475
-200
2
2		-1.54080-1.60794-1.42055
Trabzonspor
Trabzonspor		32.7%
40.8%		26.5%
+210
+133
+220
+125
1
0		-1.17626-1.21295-1.11795
Konyaspor
Kayserispor		40.5%
31.4%		28.0%
+195
+185
+225
+185
2
2		-0.95036-0.98556-1.27161
Kasımpaşa
Rizespor		34.3%
39.2%		26.5%
+190
+129
+190
+125
0
0		-1.39821-1.39594-1.32689
Besiktas
Alanyaspor		36.2%
37.0%		26.8%
+135
+174
+135
+180
1
1		-1.35720-1.36991-1.31710
Kayserispor
Fenerbahce		11.6%
71.2%		17.2%
+1300
-625
+1350
-650
0
3		-0.21311-0.19372-0.33955
Antalyaspor
Kasımpaşa		37.1%
35.6%		27.3%
+310
-134
+355
-135
1
3		-0.62790-0.60373-1.03392
Ankaragucu
Hatayspor		9.7%
74.7%		15.6%
+165
+155
+180
+155
1
2		-0.99777-0.98709-0.29165
Trabzonspor
Sivasspor		43.5%
29.9%		26.5%
+128
+210
+130
+225
1
0		-0.88639-0.88187-0.83147
Galatasaray
Karagumruk		46.5%
27.7%		25.9%
-238
+520
-235
+550
3
2		-0.42195-0.40470-0.76606
Fenerbahce
Konyaspor		54.2%
22.4%		23.4%
-250
+650
-245
+600
0
0		-1.58905-1.66919-1.45261
Sivasspor
Galatasaray		17.8%
59.6%		22.6%
+1200
-667
+1600
-750
1
6		-0.20594-0.17327-0.51772
Hatayspor
Gaziantep FK		40.6%
33.6%		25.8%
+215
+135
+235
+130
1
1		-1.20608-1.19690-1.35577
Kasımpaşa
Trabzonspor		15.3%
65.4%		19.3%
+270
+100
+255
+105
1
4		-0.75967-0.76776-0.42509
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.48921 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.46145 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.71886
-0.22965
-0.25741

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)21.23.39.573.282.3%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)19.63.610.869.717.7%99.3%0.7%0.0%
3Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)17.06.910.161.20.0%0.7%87.8%0.0%
4Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)16.36.811.059.80.0%0.0%79.7%0.0%
5Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)15.010.18.954.00.0%0.0%4.5%0.0%
6Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)16.811.16.156.50.0%0.0%17.9%0.0%
7Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)14.99.110.154.70.0%0.0%9.4%0.0%
8Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)11.113.79.142.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)10.811.112.144.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)10.112.911.041.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)11.115.87.140.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
12Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)8.815.49.836.30.0%0.0%0.0%4.2%
13Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)8.616.68.734.70.0%0.0%0.0%22.0%
14Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)8.717.57.833.80.0%0.0%0.0%47.4%
15Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)6.814.312.933.30.0%0.0%0.0%47.8%
16Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)8.216.79.133.60.0%0.0%0.0%38.1%
17Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)9.218.56.233.90.0%0.0%0.0%43.6%
18Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)6.017.011.029.00.0%0.0%0.0%96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.