Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 21, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Sivasspor
Konyaspor 		40.6%
31.5%		27.9%
+225
+116
+230
+120
1.27
1.08		2.35
o2¼-116
u2¼-102

Galatasaray
Fenerbahce 		39.5%
33.8%		26.8%
+220
+115
+225
+110
1.33
1.20		2.53
o3-104
u3-112

Games for Sep 20, 2024
Games for Sep 22, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Karagumruk
Kayserispor		56.0%
20.7%		23.3%
+155
+165
+165
+155
2
2		-1.29605-1.31692-1.45569
Alanyaspor
Ankaragucu		68.8%
12.6%		18.6%
+220
+123
+225
+115
1
1		-1.28793-1.33025-1.67981
Rizespor
Besiktas		11.3%
72.4%		16.3%
+350
-139
+345
-140
2
3		-0.60360-0.58965-0.32307
Antalyaspor
Karagumruk		23.3%
52.4%		24.3%
+350
-145
+350
-130
1
4		-0.58661-0.61990-0.64632
Ankaragucu
Rizespor		24.3%
50.7%		25.0%
+255
+105
+295
-105
2
2		-1.27472-1.30258-1.38729
Gaziantep FK
Trabzonspor		26.4%
49.1%		24.5%
+500
-190
+500
-190
2
4		-0.48652-0.47329-0.71101
Besiktas
Fenerbahce		38.8%
35.5%		25.7%
+620
-250
+590
-245
1
2		-0.40033-0.39218-1.03547
Trabzonspor
Hatayspor		32.6%
41.4%		26.0%
+144
+194
+140
+200
2
1		-0.95724-0.92712-1.12147
Konyaspor
Sivasspor		24.7%
49.5%		25.8%
+165
+195
+205
+145
0
1		-1.11505-0.94819-0.70277
Fenerbahce
Sivasspor		44.3%
29.9%		25.8%
-357
+775
-350
+950
2
2		-1.77916-1.77308-1.35456
Kasımpaşa
Gaziantep FK		20.2%
58.2%		21.6%
+155
+160
+155
+170
0
2		-1.02809-1.04432-0.54146
Hatayspor
Antalyaspor		51.1%
24.5%		24.4%
+270
-108
+290
-105
1
2		-0.72792-0.71812-1.40768
Rizespor
Trabzonspor		14.4%
66.3%		19.3%
+215
+120
+250
+110
0
2		-0.84847-0.79239-0.41157
Trabzonspor
Kayserispor		62.7%
16.3%		21.0%
+111
+220
+105
+235
2
1		-0.81635-0.76947-0.46756
Alanyaspor
Konyaspor		55.4%
20.8%		23.8%
+205
+128
+270
+105
2
0		-1.18669-1.35922-0.59066
Ankaragucu
Besiktas		7.7%
78.8%		13.5%
+275
-110
+315
-120
0
2		-0.72005-0.65452-0.23816
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.48921 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.46145 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.71886
-0.22965
-0.25741

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)21.23.39.573.282.3%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)19.63.610.869.717.7%99.3%0.7%0.0%
3Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)17.06.910.161.20.0%0.7%87.8%0.0%
4Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)16.36.811.059.80.0%0.0%79.7%0.0%
5Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)15.010.18.954.00.0%0.0%4.5%0.0%
6Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)16.811.16.156.50.0%0.0%17.9%0.0%
7Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)14.99.110.154.70.0%0.0%9.4%0.0%
8Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)11.113.79.142.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)10.811.112.144.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)10.112.911.041.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)11.115.87.140.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
12Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)8.815.49.836.30.0%0.0%0.0%4.2%
13Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)8.616.68.734.70.0%0.0%0.0%22.0%
14Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)8.717.57.833.80.0%0.0%0.0%47.4%
15Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)6.814.312.933.30.0%0.0%0.0%47.8%
16Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)8.216.79.133.60.0%0.0%0.0%38.1%
17Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)9.218.56.233.90.0%0.0%0.0%43.6%
18Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)6.017.011.029.00.0%0.0%0.0%96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.