Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 21, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Sivasspor
Konyaspor 		40.6%
31.5%		27.9%
+225
+116
+250
+110
1.27
1.08		2.35
o2¼-116
u2¼-102

Galatasaray
Fenerbahce 		39.5%
33.8%		26.8%
+220
+115
+220
+110
1.33
1.20		2.53
o3-104
u3-112

Games for Sep 20, 2024
Games for Sep 22, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Galatasaray
Alanyaspor		36.8%
35.2%		28.0%
-217
+470
-210
+490
4
0		-0.45136-0.43920-0.99916
Fenerbahce
Karagumruk		39.6%
34.4%		26.0%
-238
+560
-230
+650
2
1		-0.43044-0.41220-0.92553
Antalyaspor
Rizespor		38.4%
33.8%		27.8%
+285
-120
+300
-120
0
3		-0.66906-0.65670-1.08447
Gaziantep FK
Ankaragucu		60.2%
18.1%		21.6%
+330
-120
+375
-125
1
3		-0.66791-0.63828-1.70705
Konyaspor
Kasımpaşa		34.5%
38.1%		27.4%
+270
-105
+280
-105
2
0		-1.37817-1.38677-1.06514
Sivasspor
Trabzonspor		23.1%
52.6%		24.3%
+600
-238
+620
-230
1
0		-2.00828-2.02374-1.46603
Besiktas
Trabzonspor		38.7%
35.0%		26.3%
+160
+165
+150
+180
1
1		-1.27834-1.27379-1.33499
Trabzonspor
Konyaspor		53.3%
22.5%		24.2%
+116
+225
+125
+230
3
1		-0.84121-0.86022-0.62929
Kasımpaşa
Kayserispor		39.0%
33.9%		27.1%
+215
+105
+265
-105
2
0		-1.21686-1.34289-0.94197
Karagumruk
Sivasspor		36.6%
35.6%		27.8%
+185
+151
+195
+145
0
1		-0.98489-0.94505-1.03327
Hatayspor
Galatasaray		26.5%
48.4%		25.1%
+1200
-585
+1475
-625
0
1		-0.22901-0.19924-0.72559
Alanyaspor
Gaziantep FK		42.3%
31.5%		26.2%
+210
+125
+240
+120
3
0		-1.19912-1.27418-0.86008
Ankaragucu
Antalyaspor		19.4%
57.2%		23.4%
+265
+100
+325
-110
1
1		-1.31074-1.28616-1.45239
Fenerbahce
Trabzonspor		33.2%
40.9%		25.8%
+105
+260
-105
+270
3
2		-0.75519-0.71701-1.10214
Galatasaray
Kasımpaşa		63.8%
15.9%		20.2%
-200
+490
-215
+500
4
3		-0.45323-0.43385-0.44868
Gaziantep FK
Rizespor		50.3%
25.4%		24.3%
+320
-108
+370
-125
1
3		-0.70152-0.63660-1.37125
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.48921 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.46145 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.71886
-0.22965
-0.25741

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)21.23.39.573.282.3%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)19.63.610.869.717.7%99.3%0.7%0.0%
3Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)17.06.910.161.20.0%0.7%87.8%0.0%
4Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)16.36.811.059.80.0%0.0%79.7%0.0%
5Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)15.010.18.954.00.0%0.0%4.5%0.0%
6Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)16.811.16.156.50.0%0.0%17.9%0.0%
7Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)14.99.110.154.70.0%0.0%9.4%0.0%
8Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)11.113.79.142.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)10.811.112.144.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)10.112.911.041.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)11.115.87.140.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
12Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)8.815.49.836.30.0%0.0%0.0%4.2%
13Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)8.616.68.734.70.0%0.0%0.0%22.0%
14Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)8.717.57.833.80.0%0.0%0.0%47.4%
15Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)6.814.312.933.30.0%0.0%0.0%47.8%
16Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)8.216.79.133.60.0%0.0%0.0%38.1%
17Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)9.218.56.233.90.0%0.0%0.0%43.6%
18Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)6.017.011.029.00.0%0.0%0.0%96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.