Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Kayserispor
Goztepe
22.7%
52.8%
24.5%
+300
-120
+350
-125
0
3
-0.66310-0.63824-0.63803
Antalyaspor
Kasımpaşa
37.1%
35.6%
27.3%
+270
-110
+285
-115
0
0
-1.39066-1.41075-1.29722
Galatasaray
Fenerbahce
39.5%
33.8%
26.8%
+220
+121
+250
+110
3
1
-1.21655-1.30324-0.92973
Sivasspor
Konyaspor
40.6%
31.5%
27.9%
+320
-112
+355
-120
0
0
-1.26104-1.30247-1.27762
Kayserispor
Trabzonspor
11.8%
70.2%
17.9%
+440
-172
+400
-155
2
2
-1.48921-1.46145-1.71886
Gaziantep FK
Galatasaray
20.5%
56.7%
22.8%
+900
-476
+1250
-535
1
3
-0.27009-0.22007-0.56763
Besiktas
Trabzonspor
38.7%
35.0%
26.3%
+145
+180
+140
+190
1
1
-1.29204-1.28844-1.33499
Hatayspor
Alanyaspor
30.9%
43.1%
25.9%
+340
-132
+375
-135
0
0
-1.36258-1.37215-1.34904
Fenerbahce
Kasımpaşa
57.7%
20.7%
21.6%
-204
+460
-220
+515
2
0
-0.46601-0.42358-0.55012
Rizespor
Galatasaray
10.9%
71.9%
17.2%
+625
-300
+750
-330
0
5
-0.34627-0.31516-0.32930
Gaziantep FK
Sivasspor
36.0%
36.5%
27.5%
+240
+111
+230
+120
2
3
-0.81114-0.83884-1.00884
Sivasspor
Besiktas
18.7%
59.7%
21.6%
+700
-323
+750
-300
0
2
-0.34752-0.33596-0.51589
Antalyaspor
Trabzonspor
18.5%
59.3%
22.2%
+370
-125
+350
-125
2
5
-0.63286-0.63824-0.52256
Kayserispor
Konyaspor
24.6%
49.4%
25.9%
+270
+104
+295
-105
0
0
-1.28746-1.30258-1.34950
Kasımpaşa
Rizespor
34.3%
39.2%
26.5%
+245
+100
+240
+110
1
0
-1.30745-1.27075-1.07110
Alanyaspor
Fenerbahce
34.7%
38.9%
26.4%
+740
-345
+780
-340
0
3
-0.33105-0.30691-0.94446
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)21.23.39.573.282.3%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)19.63.610.869.717.7%99.3%0.7%0.0%
3Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)17.06.910.161.20.0%0.7%87.8%0.0%
4Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)16.36.811.059.80.0%0.0%79.7%0.0%
5Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)15.010.18.954.00.0%0.0%4.5%0.0%
6Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)16.811.16.156.50.0%0.0%17.9%0.0%
7Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)14.99.110.154.70.0%0.0%9.4%0.0%
8Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)11.113.79.142.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)10.811.112.144.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)10.112.911.041.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)11.115.87.140.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
12Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)8.815.49.836.30.0%0.0%0.0%4.2%
13Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)8.616.68.734.70.0%0.0%0.0%22.0%
14Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)8.717.57.833.80.0%0.0%0.0%47.4%
15Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)6.814.312.933.30.0%0.0%0.0%47.8%
16Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)8.216.79.133.60.0%0.0%0.0%38.1%
17Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)9.218.56.233.90.0%0.0%0.0%43.6%
18Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)6.017.011.029.00.0%0.0%0.0%96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.