Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 6, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Trabzonspor
Fenerbahce 		32.7%
41.5%		25.8%
+500
-222
+610
-245
1.25
1.43		2.68
o3-122
u3+110

Games for Apr 5, 2025
Games for Apr 7, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Galatasaray
Sivasspor		50.9%
23.7%		25.4%
-345
+750
-360
+825
3
2		-0.31243-0.29582-0.67556
Alanyaspor
Kayserispor		64.6%
14.9%		20.4%
+175
+145
+180
+150
0
2		-0.95594-0.96627-1.90073
Fenerbahce
Besiktas		27.9%
48.1%		24.0%
-110
+260
-115
+290
0
1		-1.34044-1.41075-0.73137
Antalyaspor
Konyaspor		34.3%
36.9%		28.8%
+270
+100
+285
+100
1
1		-1.26464-1.27626-1.24605
Kasımpaşa
Trabzonspor		15.3%
65.4%		19.3%
+275
-110
+290
-110
2
2		-1.35716-1.35759-1.64507
Gaziantep FK
Fenerbahce		26.2%
49.9%		23.8%
+1300
-667
+1000
-475
1
3		-0.20743-0.24101-0.69473
Besiktas
Hatayspor		38.7%
35.4%		25.9%
+106
+235
+110
+230
1
1		-1.34082-1.35662-1.35139
Kayserispor
Rizespor		27.9%
45.8%		26.3%
+370
-145
+345
-120
0
3		-0.58688-0.65670-0.78132
Trabzonspor
Alanyaspor		30.6%
43.2%		26.2%
+215
+123
+215
+125
1
2		-0.86029-0.85746-0.83898
Goztepe
Trabzonspor		18.5%
60.0%		21.5%
+215
+130
+225
+130
1
4		-0.90508-0.88187-0.51086
Sivasspor
Antalyaspor		37.9%
33.8%		28.3%
+240
+106
+250
+100
1
2		-0.78215-0.74421-1.08373
Goztepe
Besiktas		14.6%
66.6%		18.7%
+380
-149
+375
-150
4
2		-1.63296-1.60834-1.92278
Hatayspor
Konyaspor		54.0%
22.3%		23.6%
+310
-115
+315
-110
1
1		-1.29415-1.30203-1.44333
Kasımpaşa
Sivasspor		23.1%
53.0%		23.8%
+135
+195
+130
+195
0
0		-1.25927-1.33120-1.43435
Trabzonspor
Gaziantep FK		39.9%
33.7%		26.4%
+190
+145
+185
+150
0
3		-0.95954-0.96451-1.08889
Fenerbahce
Kayserispor		63.6%
16.1%		20.3%
-215
+475
-210
+500
6
2		-0.45766-0.43852-0.45194
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.01340 
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.00409 
DRatings21-0-1 (0.750)0-0.90543
0.10798
0.09866

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)21.23.39.573.282.3%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)19.63.610.869.717.7%99.3%0.7%0.0%
3Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)17.06.910.161.20.0%0.7%87.8%0.0%
4Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)16.36.811.059.80.0%0.0%79.7%0.0%
5Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)15.010.18.954.00.0%0.0%4.5%0.0%
6Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)16.811.16.156.50.0%0.0%17.9%0.0%
7Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)14.99.110.154.70.0%0.0%9.4%0.0%
8Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)11.113.79.142.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)10.811.112.144.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)10.112.911.041.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)11.115.87.140.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
12Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)8.815.49.836.30.0%0.0%0.0%4.2%
13Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)8.616.68.734.70.0%0.0%0.0%22.0%
14Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)8.717.57.833.80.0%0.0%0.0%47.4%
15Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)6.814.312.933.30.0%0.0%0.0%47.8%
16Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)8.216.79.133.60.0%0.0%0.0%38.1%
17Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)9.218.56.233.90.0%0.0%0.0%43.6%
18Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)6.017.011.029.00.0%0.0%0.0%96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.