Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Kasımpaşa
Gaziantep FK
20.2%
58.2%
21.6%
+250
+115
+255
+110
1
2
-0.80943-0.79264-0.54146
Genclerbirligi
Fenerbahce
11.1%
72.7%
16.3%
+950
-385
+1100
-455
1
3
-0.26744-0.24869-0.31938
Alanyaspor
Besiktas
29.5%
45.2%
25.2%
+500
-185
+510
-200
2
2
-1.55008-1.56427-1.37646
Goztepe
Konyaspor
34.6%
37.4%
28.0%
+208
+160
+200
+160
0
0
-1.15833-1.14863-1.27222
Galatasaray
Rizespor
64.7%
15.0%
20.3%
-169
+450
-175
+415
3
0
-0.49423-0.49880-0.43519
Antalyaspor
Karagumruk
23.3%
52.4%
24.3%
+240
+140
+195
+165
0
1
-0.91031-1.02304-0.64632
Kayserispor
Galatasaray
9.0%
74.9%
16.1%
+950
-435
+1000
-475
0
4
-0.23970-0.24188-0.28843
Gaziantep FK
Genclerbirligi
57.1%
20.5%
22.4%
+224
+131
+215
+130
1
2
-0.87230-0.88242-1.58557
Konyaspor
Besiktas
13.2%
68.3%
18.4%
+625
-208
+455
-190
1
2
-0.42506-0.46986-0.38070
Karagumruk
Goztepe
43.8%
30.2%
25.9%
+600
-189
+635
-210
1
2
-0.45631-0.43708-1.19594
Rizespor
Trabzonspor
14.4%
66.3%
19.3%
+370
-137
+335
-125
2
2
-1.44515-1.38246-1.64507
Trabzonspor
Antalyaspor
50.4%
24.6%
24.9%
-113
+325
-120
+345
1
1
-1.30302-1.31751-1.38934
Goztepe
Fenerbahce
18.3%
60.9%
20.8%
+675
-238
+625
-230
1
1
-1.64206-1.57707-1.57036
Genclerbirligi
Antalyaspor
21.8%
54.0%
24.2%
+170
+195
+170
+180
1
2
-1.11529-1.07852-0.61693
Alanyaspor
Rizespor
60.2%
18.1%
21.7%
+355
-108
+310
+100
1
1
-1.25635-1.22895-1.52735
Konyaspor
Gaziantep FK
21.8%
54.5%
23.6%
+224
+131
+200
+140
1
1
-1.25878-1.25632-1.44215
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)21.23.39.573.282.3%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)19.63.610.869.717.7%99.3%0.7%0.0%
3Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)17.06.910.161.20.0%0.7%87.8%0.0%
4Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)16.36.811.059.80.0%0.0%79.7%0.0%
5Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)15.010.18.954.00.0%0.0%4.5%0.0%
6Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)16.811.16.156.50.0%0.0%17.9%0.0%
7Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)14.99.110.154.70.0%0.0%9.4%0.0%
8Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)11.113.79.142.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)10.811.112.144.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)10.112.911.041.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)11.115.87.140.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
12Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)8.815.49.836.30.0%0.0%0.0%4.2%
13Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)8.616.68.734.70.0%0.0%0.0%22.0%
14Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)8.717.57.833.80.0%0.0%0.0%47.4%
15Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)6.814.312.933.30.0%0.0%0.0%47.8%
16Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)8.216.79.133.60.0%0.0%0.0%38.1%
17Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)9.218.56.233.90.0%0.0%0.0%43.6%
18Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)6.017.011.029.00.0%0.0%0.0%96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.