Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 7, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Besiktas
Kasımpaşa 		63.9%
16.6%		19.4%
+115
+210
+115
+225
2.20
1.04		3.24
o2¾-115
u2¾-104

Gaziantep FK
Goztepe 		43.0%
31.0%		26.0%
+355
-140
+350
-140
1.45
1.18		2.63
o2½-117
u2½-102

Games for Apr 6, 2025
Games for Apr 12, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Fenerbahce
Kayserispor		63.6%
16.1%		20.3%
-215
+475
-210
+500
6
2		-0.45766-0.43852-0.45194
Sivasspor
Fenerbahce		22.9%
53.5%		23.5%
+1200
-625
+1000
-475
0
4		-0.22342-0.24015-0.62482
Besiktas
Trabzonspor		38.7%
35.0%		26.3%
+120
+225
+120
+230
0
0		-1.26794-1.27418-1.33499
Konyaspor
Goztepe		30.0%
43.0%		26.9%
+275
-105
+300
-105
0
2		-0.73948-0.71980-0.84344
Trabzonspor
Rizespor		58.0%
19.7%		22.3%
+180
+140
+170
+160
1
3		-0.93328-1.00761-1.62450
Gaziantep FK
Hatayspor		26.2%
49.9%		23.9%
+200
+129
+220
+125
1
3		-0.89482-0.86074-0.69485
Kayserispor
Kasımpaşa		26.7%
48.0%		25.2%
+320
-123
+280
-115
2
1		-1.50036-1.38494-1.32039
Fenerbahce
Trabzonspor		33.2%
40.9%		25.8%
-112
+300
-120
+325
3
2		-0.69265-0.65589-1.10214
Trabzonspor
Konyaspor		53.3%
22.5%		24.2%
+195
+145
+185
+155
2
3		-0.96843-0.98556-1.49072
Kasımpaşa
Besiktas		11.9%
71.7%		16.4%
+390
-175
+460
-195
3
1		-1.65235-1.77378-2.12477
Rizespor
Sivasspor		21.8%
54.2%		24.0%
+165
+165
+185
+150
1
2		-1.03510-0.96451-0.61218
Goztepe
Gaziantep FK		23.9%
52.3%		23.8%
+180
+140
+175
+155
1
2		-0.94117-0.98481-0.64896
Besiktas
Galatasaray		31.5%
42.2%		26.3%
+295
-135
+320
-135
1
2		-0.62064-0.60373-0.86282
Antalyaspor
Alanyaspor		17.0%
61.3%		21.7%
+275
+100
+290
-105
2
1		-1.38914-1.41005-1.77113
Konyaspor
Gaziantep FK		21.8%
54.5%		23.6%
+175
+160
+180
+155
1
3		-1.02887-0.98709-0.60635
Trabzonspor
Goztepe		51.0%
24.7%		24.3%
+180
+140
+195
+135
1
2		-0.93718-0.90342-1.39845
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.45034 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.39205 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.87943
-0.42909
-0.48738

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)21.23.39.573.282.3%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)19.63.610.869.717.7%99.3%0.7%0.0%
3Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)17.06.910.161.20.0%0.7%87.8%0.0%
4Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)16.36.811.059.80.0%0.0%79.7%0.0%
5Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)15.010.18.954.00.0%0.0%4.5%0.0%
6Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)16.811.16.156.50.0%0.0%17.9%0.0%
7Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)14.99.110.154.70.0%0.0%9.4%0.0%
8Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)11.113.79.142.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)10.811.112.144.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)10.112.911.041.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)11.115.87.140.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
12Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)8.815.49.836.30.0%0.0%0.0%4.2%
13Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)8.616.68.734.70.0%0.0%0.0%22.0%
14Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)8.717.57.833.80.0%0.0%0.0%47.4%
15Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)6.814.312.933.30.0%0.0%0.0%47.8%
16Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)8.216.79.133.60.0%0.0%0.0%38.1%
17Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)9.218.56.233.90.0%0.0%0.0%43.6%
18Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)6.017.011.029.00.0%0.0%0.0%96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.