Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Galatasaray
Karagumruk
46.5%
27.7%
25.9%
-385
+850
-450
+950
3
1
-0.26724-0.25075-0.76606
Trabzonspor
Kayserispor
62.7%
16.3%
21.0%
+122
+240
+105
+240
3
0
-0.83547-0.76529-0.46756
Kasımpaşa
Trabzonspor
15.3%
65.4%
19.3%
+440
-170
+460
-180
1
2
-0.50637-0.49187-0.42509
Rizespor
Goztepe
27.0%
47.8%
25.2%
+300
+111
+315
+105
1
3
-0.79516-0.76791-0.73796
Kayserispor
Besiktas
9.2%
75.8%
15.0%
+579
-264
+600
-260
0
1
-0.38831-0.37448-0.27764
Fenerbahce
Alanyaspor
31.0%
43.3%
25.7%
-182
+475
-185
+480
3
2
-0.50491-0.48229-1.17147
Antalyaspor
Kasımpaşa
37.1%
35.6%
27.3%
+270
+120
+245
+120
0
0
-1.21066-1.22946-1.29722
Gaziantep FK
Galatasaray
20.5%
56.7%
22.8%
+1100
-556
+1375
-640
1
1
-2.04756-2.17869-1.47889
Karagumruk
Trabzonspor
27.0%
48.1%
24.8%
+550
-213
+510
-190
1
2
-0.44473-0.47322-0.73135
Trabzonspor
Genclerbirligi
64.3%
15.6%
20.1%
+138
+212
+135
+220
3
4
-1.17629-1.21244-1.85707
Gaziantep FK
Trabzonspor
26.4%
49.1%
24.5%
+380
-156
+420
-160
1
5
-0.55511-0.53582-0.71101
Kasımpaşa
Galatasaray
11.5%
71.4%
17.1%
+1000
-476
+870
-430
0
3
-0.24910-0.25921-0.33739
Karagumruk
Alanyaspor
25.0%
50.4%
24.6%
+385
-138
+375
-145
0
2
-0.59978-0.57556-0.68530
Rizespor
Besiktas
11.3%
72.4%
16.3%
+290
-115
+325
-130
0
1
-0.67873-0.61982-0.32307
Kayserispor
Konyaspor
24.6%
49.4%
25.9%
+240
+106
+310
-120
1
1
-1.33667-1.38617-1.34950
Konyaspor
Fenerbahce
16.6%
62.9%
20.5%
+1100
-470
+1150
-500
0
4
-0.25062-0.23231-0.46321
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)21.23.39.573.282.3%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)19.63.610.869.717.7%99.3%0.7%0.0%
3Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)17.06.910.161.20.0%0.7%87.8%0.0%
4Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)16.36.811.059.80.0%0.0%79.7%0.0%
5Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)15.010.18.954.00.0%0.0%4.5%0.0%
6Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)16.811.16.156.50.0%0.0%17.9%0.0%
7Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)14.99.110.154.70.0%0.0%9.4%0.0%
8Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)11.113.79.142.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)10.811.112.144.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)10.112.911.041.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)11.115.87.140.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
12Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)8.815.49.836.30.0%0.0%0.0%4.2%
13Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)8.616.68.734.70.0%0.0%0.0%22.0%
14Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)8.717.57.833.80.0%0.0%0.0%47.4%
15Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)6.814.312.933.30.0%0.0%0.0%47.8%
16Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)8.216.79.133.60.0%0.0%0.0%38.1%
17Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)9.218.56.233.90.0%0.0%0.0%43.6%
18Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)6.017.011.029.00.0%0.0%0.0%96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.