Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 21, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Sivasspor
Konyaspor 		40.6%
31.5%		27.9%
+225
+116
+250
+110
1.27
1.08		2.35
o2¼-116
u2¼-102

Galatasaray
Fenerbahce 		39.5%
33.8%		26.8%
+220
+115
+220
+110
1.33
1.20		2.53
o3-104
u3-112

Games for Sep 20, 2024
Games for Sep 22, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Antalyaspor
Galatasaray		14.1%
65.6%		20.3%
+800
-325
+860
-350
1
2		-0.31680-0.30147-0.42170
Alanyaspor
Karagumruk		41.2%
32.1%		26.6%
+338
-115
+340
-115
1
1		-1.31085-1.28906-1.32306
Kasımpaşa
Fenerbahce		15.1%
66.3%		18.6%
+1000
-500
+1150
-525
1
2		-0.23189-0.22464-0.41118
Hatayspor
Konyaspor		54.0%
22.3%		23.6%
+252
+126
+240
+130
0
2		-0.86334-0.88312-1.49937
Trabzonspor
Gaziantep FK		39.9%
33.7%		26.4%
+157
+180
+170
+175
2
0		-0.99198-1.04344-0.91879
Ankaragucu
Kayserispor		28.4%
44.5%		27.1%
+255
+120
+210
+125
2
3		-0.83144-0.85849-0.80982
Kayserispor
Trabzonspor		11.8%
70.2%		17.9%
+310
-105
+360
-125
3
2		-1.44808-1.57557-2.13394
Konyaspor
Besiktas		13.2%
68.3%		18.4%
+540
-180
+550
-195
0
2		-0.48394-0.46291-0.38070
Galatasaray
Ankaragucu		72.4%
10.4%		17.2%
-135
+380
-145
+375
3
0		-0.59533-0.57556-0.32318
Fenerbahce
Rizespor		59.0%
19.5%		21.4%
-230
+580
-240
+600
3
1		-0.41002-0.39591-0.52690
Sivasspor
Hatayspor		22.9%
53.4%		23.7%
+245
+130
+215
+135
1
1		-1.18866-1.22809-1.43864
Karagumruk
Kasımpaşa		49.7%
26.1%		24.1%
+130
+200
+160
+155
1
1		-1.31763-1.34423-1.42288
Besiktas
Kayserispor		69.2%
12.8%		18.0%
+115
+226
+110
+240
0
0		-1.36352-1.32787-1.71469
Hatayspor
Trabzonspor		33.2%
40.8%		26.0%
+500
-168
+510
-175
0
2		-0.51575-0.50407-0.89715
Alanyaspor
Fenerbahce		34.7%
38.9%		26.4%
+1450
-575
+1500
-650
2
2		-2.13631-2.15935-1.33366
Ankaragucu
Konyaspor		21.3%
54.2%		24.4%
+175
+190
+185
+180
0
1		-1.11106-1.08114-0.61230
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.48921 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.46145 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.71886
-0.22965
-0.25741

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)21.23.39.573.282.3%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)19.63.610.869.717.7%99.3%0.7%0.0%
3Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)17.06.910.161.20.0%0.7%87.8%0.0%
4Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)16.36.811.059.80.0%0.0%79.7%0.0%
5Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)15.010.18.954.00.0%0.0%4.5%0.0%
6Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)16.811.16.156.50.0%0.0%17.9%0.0%
7Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)14.99.110.154.70.0%0.0%9.4%0.0%
8Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)11.113.79.142.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)10.811.112.144.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)10.112.911.041.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)11.115.87.140.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
12Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)8.815.49.836.30.0%0.0%0.0%4.2%
13Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)8.616.68.734.70.0%0.0%0.0%22.0%
14Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)8.717.57.833.80.0%0.0%0.0%47.4%
15Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)6.814.312.933.30.0%0.0%0.0%47.8%
16Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)8.216.79.133.60.0%0.0%0.0%38.1%
17Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)9.218.56.233.90.0%0.0%0.0%43.6%
18Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)6.017.011.029.00.0%0.0%0.0%96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.