Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 21, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Sivasspor
Konyaspor 		40.6%
31.5%		27.9%
+225
+116
+250
+110
1.27
1.08		2.35
o2¼-116
u2¼-102

Galatasaray
Fenerbahce 		39.5%
33.8%		26.8%
+220
+115
+220
+110
1.33
1.20		2.53
o3+101
u3-112

Games for Sep 20, 2024
Games for Sep 22, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Rizespor
Sivasspor		21.8%
54.2%		24.0%
+185
+148
+190
+145
0
1		-0.95784-0.94631-0.61218
Trabzonspor
Galatasaray		26.2%
48.3%		25.5%
+855
-325
+925
-375
0
2		-0.30372-0.28610-0.72741
Trabzonspor
Besiktas		27.5%
47.9%		24.5%
+340
-105
+340
-105
0
2		-0.70631-0.71970-0.73543
Alanyaspor
Kasımpaşa		59.1%
19.2%		21.7%
+170
+148
+170
+145
1
2		-0.94980-0.94727-1.64964
Kayserispor
Gaziantep FK		15.7%
64.0%		20.3%
+250
+110
+235
+120
1
1		-1.29302-1.25924-1.59450
Fenerbahce
Antalyaspor		51.3%
24.5%		24.2%
-190
+515
-185
+500
2
0		-0.47044-0.48196-0.66742
Konyaspor
Rizespor		35.6%
36.1%		28.3%
+400
-130
+365
-130
0
0		-1.31278-1.34757-1.26157
Karagumruk
Hatayspor		26.9%
48.8%		24.3%
+177
+178
+160
+180
1
3		-1.06991-1.08246-0.71756
Sivasspor
Ankaragucu		55.1%
20.8%		24.1%
+318
-105
+320
-110
0
0		-1.25769-1.28884-1.42445
Kasımpaşa
Trabzonspor		15.3%
65.4%		19.3%
+340
-135
+350
-145
3
2		-1.51905-1.55225-1.87647
Gaziantep FK
Galatasaray		20.5%
56.7%		22.8%
+1450
-665
+1400
-650
1
2		-0.18768-0.19283-0.56763
Antalyaspor
Kayserispor		43.4%
29.1%		27.5%
+136
+205
+135
+205
1
1		-1.25998-1.25956-1.29077
Ankaragucu
Fenerbahce		9.7%
74.9%		15.4%
+1300
-525
+1450
-575
1
2		-0.22344-0.20885-0.28871
Rizespor
Karagumruk		18.5%
60.0%		21.5%
+220
+130
+220
+125
0
4		-0.87683-0.86074-0.51038
Besiktas
Sivasspor		50.7%
24.9%		24.4%
+130
+215
+125
+215
0
1		-1.19274-1.19786-1.38846
Trabzonspor
Konyaspor		53.3%
22.5%		24.2%
+168
+185
+165
+180
3
2		-1.03136-1.02521-0.62929
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.48921 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.46145 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.71886
-0.22965
-0.25741

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)21.23.39.573.282.3%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)19.63.610.869.717.7%99.3%0.7%0.0%
3Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)17.06.910.161.20.0%0.7%87.8%0.0%
4Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)16.36.811.059.80.0%0.0%79.7%0.0%
5Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)15.010.18.954.00.0%0.0%4.5%0.0%
6Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)16.811.16.156.50.0%0.0%17.9%0.0%
7Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)14.99.110.154.70.0%0.0%9.4%0.0%
8Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)11.113.79.142.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)10.811.112.144.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)10.112.911.041.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)11.115.87.140.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
12Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)8.815.49.836.30.0%0.0%0.0%4.2%
13Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)8.616.68.734.70.0%0.0%0.0%22.0%
14Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)8.717.57.833.80.0%0.0%0.0%47.4%
15Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)6.814.312.933.30.0%0.0%0.0%47.8%
16Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)8.216.79.133.60.0%0.0%0.0%38.1%
17Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)9.218.56.233.90.0%0.0%0.0%43.6%
18Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)6.017.011.029.00.0%0.0%0.0%96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.