Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 21, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Sivasspor
Konyaspor 		40.6%
31.5%		27.9%
+235
+115
+250
+110
1.27
1.08		2.35
o2¼-114
u2¼-102

Galatasaray
Fenerbahce 		39.5%
33.8%		26.8%
+220
+115
+220
+110
1.33
1.20		2.53
o3+101
u3-118

Games for Sep 20, 2024
Games for Sep 22, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Trabzonspor
Rizespor		58.0%
19.7%		22.3%
+204
+140
+190
+145
0
1		-0.91864-0.94631-1.62450
Fenerbahce
Trabzonspor		33.2%
40.9%		25.8%
-205
+550
-210
+580
1
0		-0.44532-0.43992-1.10214
Sivasspor
Antalyaspor		37.9%
33.8%		28.3%
+500
-165
+465
-160
1
2		-0.52167-0.53631-1.08373
Karagumruk
Ankaragucu		60.9%
17.6%		21.5%
+250
+120
+245
+120
0
2		-0.83529-0.83924-1.73642
Konyaspor
Gaziantep FK		21.8%
54.5%		23.6%
+185
+163
+205
+150
1
1		-1.19040-1.18061-1.44215
Alanyaspor
Hatayspor		34.6%
38.8%		26.6%
+183
+160
+205
+135
1
1		-1.22980-1.25956-1.32550
Galatasaray
Trabzonspor		39.3%
33.2%		27.5%
-120
+323
-135
+350
5
1		-0.64497-0.60296-0.93364
Antalyaspor
Konyaspor		34.3%
36.9%		28.8%
+153
+200
+155
+205
1
1		-1.18130-1.15059-1.24605
Gaziantep FK
Sivasspor		36.0%
36.5%		27.5%
+285
+105
+315
+100
2
2		-1.25400-1.22615-1.28960
Trabzonspor
Karagumruk		39.0%
34.3%		26.7%
+185
+162
+220
+125
1
1		-1.19624-1.27357-1.32129
Rizespor
Alanyaspor		13.2%
68.2%		18.6%
+235
+115
+205
+135
1
2		-0.81362-0.90503-0.38340
Hatayspor
Kasımpaşa		57.5%
20.7%		21.8%
+250
+110
+265
-105
0
3		-0.77150-0.72054-1.57552
Kayserispor
Galatasaray		9.0%
74.9%		16.1%
+1300
-565
+1050
-460
1
2		-0.21183-0.24669-0.28843
Fenerbahce
Gaziantep FK		40.6%
33.7%		25.8%
-305
+750
-290
+750
1
0		-0.32640-0.34670-0.90202
Trabzonspor
Antalyaspor		50.4%
24.6%		24.9%
+210
+145
+155
+180
1
1		-1.19004-1.24493-1.38934
Karagumruk
Besiktas		22.1%
55.4%		22.5%
+300
-110
+270
-105
0
3		-0.67513-0.72044-0.59101
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.48921 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.46145 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.71886
-0.22965
-0.25741

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/06/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Basaksehir (19-3-9, 66 pts)21.23.39.573.282.3%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Trabzonspor (17-3-10, 61 pts)19.63.610.869.717.7%99.3%0.7%0.0%
3Sivasspor (15-6-9, 54 pts)17.06.910.161.20.0%0.7%87.8%0.0%
4Galatasaray (14-6-10, 52 pts)16.36.811.059.80.0%0.0%79.7%0.0%
5Fenerbahce (14-9-8, 50 pts)15.010.18.954.00.0%0.0%4.5%0.0%
6Besiktas (15-10-5, 50 pts)16.811.16.156.50.0%0.0%17.9%0.0%
7Alanyaspor (13-8-9, 48 pts)14.99.110.154.70.0%0.0%9.4%0.0%
8Goztepe (10-12-8, 38 pts)11.113.79.142.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Gaziantep FK (9-10-11, 38 pts)10.811.112.144.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Antalyaspor (9-11-10, 37 pts)10.112.911.041.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Kasımpaşa (10-14-6, 36 pts)11.115.87.140.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
12Genclerbirligi (8-14-9, 33 pts)8.815.49.836.30.0%0.0%0.0%4.2%
13Denizlispor (8-15-8, 32 pts)8.616.68.734.70.0%0.0%0.0%22.0%
14Kayserispor (8-15-7, 31 pts)8.717.57.833.80.0%0.0%0.0%47.4%
15Konyaspor (6-12-12, 30 pts)6.814.312.933.30.0%0.0%0.0%47.8%
16Yeni Malatyaspor (7-15-8, 29 pts)8.216.79.133.60.0%0.0%0.0%38.1%
17Rizespor (8-17-5, 29 pts)9.218.56.233.90.0%0.0%0.0%43.6%
18Ankaragucu (5-15-10, 25 pts)6.017.011.029.00.0%0.0%0.0%96.8%

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.